Canada cuts 2022/23 deficit forecasts, pledges targeted new spending

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Canada's Deputy Prime Minister and Minister of Finance Chrystia Freeland and Canada's Prime Minister Justin Trudeau stop for a photo before delivering the fall economic statement on Parliament Hill in Ottawa

OTTAWA (Reuters) – Canada set out on Thursday C$11.3 billion ($8.2 billion) in new spending this year and next, and slashed its budget deficit forecast by nearly a third for the current fiscal year, in an economic update it promised would not push up inflation further.

The finance ministry said the deficit for this fiscal year would be C$36.4 billion, down more than 30% from the C$52.8 billion forecast in April. The ruling Liberals also forecast a small surplus in 2027/28, in what would be their first balanced budget forecast since 2015.

But the government slashed its 2023 real GDP forecast to 0.7% from 3.1% in April, though it said the economy would avoid a recession in its baseline scenario. Growth is slowing sharply as the Bank of Canada hikes rates to calm hot inflation.

“As the central bank fights inflation, we will not make its job harder,” Finance Minister Chrystia Freeland said in prepared remarks.

“We are providing targeted relief, because that is the right thing to do.”

The fiscal update document forecast Canada’s debt-to-GDP ratio would be 42.3% in 2022/23, versus 45.1% forecast in April, falling to 37.3% in 2027/28.

(Reporting by Julie Gordon and Steve Scherer in Ottawa, Editing by Deepa Babington)

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