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Breaking NewsOhio NewsPolice Blotter

Officer Injured, Suspect Dead in Columbus Shopping Center Gunfight

by Ryan Dickinson August 10, 2023
By Ryan Dickinson

COLUMBUS, OH – On Wednesday, at around 6:51 a.m., Columbus Police officers were dispatched to the Great Southern Shopping Center on the 40 block of Great Southern Boulevard following a report of an ongoing robbery. The caller informed 911 that a male was robbing another individual at gunpoint.

Upon arrival, officers confronted the armed suspect in the parking lot, leading to an exchange of gunfire. Both an officer and the suspect sustained injuries.

Additional officers arriving at the scene provided immediate assistance to the injured parties. Both the officer and the suspect were transported to Grant Medical Center. While the officer is in stable condition, the suspect, an adult male, was declared deceased at approximately 7:21 a.m.

The suspect’s identity remains undisclosed until the next of kin is notified. Another individual was detained at the scene and is currently being questioned by detectives to ascertain their involvement.

The Ohio Bureau of Criminal Investigation is overseeing the investigation into the officer-involved shooting by the Columbus Division of Police.

August 10, 2023 0 comments
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Breaking NewsNew York NewsPolice Blotter

Man Indicted for Attempted Rape on J-Train

by Adam Devine August 10, 2023
By Adam Devine

MANHATTAN, NY – Patrick Robles, 44, has been indicted by the Manhattan District Attorney’s office for allegedly attempting to rape a woman on a northbound J train at the Chambers Street station.

The charges against Robles include Attempted Rape in the First Degree and Robbery in the Second Degree, among others.

On Wednesday, around 9 p.m., Robles reportedly approached a 29-year-old woman on the train with his pants undone. As she tried to flee, Robles is said to have grabbed her and pulled her back into the subway car.

Following this, he allegedly assaulted her and attempted to rape her. The woman offered money in hopes of stopping the assault, which Robles took. She managed to escape at Fulton Street, where a bystander called 911. NYPD officers later identified and apprehended Robles using surveillance footage.

The case is being prosecuted by Assistant D.A.s Mirah Curzer and Katelyn Colman, with the support of other members of the Intimate Partner and Sexual Violence Bureau. The NYPD, especially Detective Michael Orlando of the Transit Special Victims Squad, has been acknowledged for their efforts in the case.

August 10, 2023 0 comments
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US and World News

Virginia becomes eighth US state to exit voter data-sharing pact

by Reuters August 10, 2023
By Reuters

By Josephine Walker

WASHINGTON (Reuters) – Virginia on Thursday became the eighth Republican-led U.S. state to leave a non-partisan voting-integrity partnership that has been undermined by unsubstantiated far-right charges that it favored Democrats.

Member states of the Electronic Registration Information Center, or ERIC, partnership share voter registration and identification data to avoid having people registered to vote in multiple states.

While voter fraud is vanishingly rare in U.S. elections, the nation’s state-by-state elections system raises the risk that people who move from one state to another may remain registered to vote in two states at once.

Virginia follows Ohio, Iowa, Florida, Missouri, West Virginia, Louisiana and Alabama in leaving the partnership.

At its peak, ERIC included 33 states plus the District of Columbia.

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There are now only seven Republican-led states among the 25 remaining in the compact. One of those, Texas, is due to withdraw in October.

Former U.S. President Donald Trump’s false claims that his 2020 election defeat was the result of widespread fraud have been echoed by many of his Republican allies. Trump said without evidence in a March post on his Truth Social site that ERIC “pumps the rolls” for Democrats.

Many Republican-led states have also tightened voting rules in recent years in what they describe as an effort to prevent fraud.

Virginia’s commissioner of elections, Susan Beals, said in a May letter seen by Reuters that “uncertain costs resulting from the exit of ~20% of ERIC members” were one of the state’s reasons for leaving.

Beals, an appointee of Republican Virginia Governor Glenn Youngkin, also said ERIC’s mandate has expanded beyond its original intent of improving the accuracy of voter rolls.

ERIC’s executive director, Shane Hamlin, said Virginia’s withdrawal takes effect Thursday.

“We will continue our work on behalf of our remaining member states in improving the accuracy of America’s voter rolls and increasing access to voter registration for all eligible citizens,” Hamlin said.

Alice Clapman, a voting-rights attorney at New York University’s Brennan Center for Justice, said the departures illustrate the self-reinforcing power of election misinformation, with some states now citing others’ earlier departures as reasons to leave the group.

“It really exposes the hypocrisy of states that are talking the most about voter fraud,” Clapman said. “They’re inflating concerns about voter fraud and are also pulling out of and damaging the best tool that states have to detect voter fraud.”

(Reporting by Josephine Walker; Editing by Scott Malone and Andy Sullivan)

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Business News

Marketmind: A sticky inflation situation

by Reuters August 10, 2023
By Reuters

A look at the day ahead in U.S. and global markets by Amanda Cooper

Everyone is laser-focused on U.S. inflation right now. With a relentless set of rate hikes, the Federal Reserve has managed to drive consumer price increases down to 3%, from last June’s 9.1%. Part of the decline has been down to base effects, where prices this year aren’t much higher than they were during 2022’s huge surges.

The uptick in the cost of natural gas, gasoline and crude oil over the past few weeks has prompted economists to forecast a rise in Thursday’s headline rate of inflation in July to 3.3%, from the previous month’s 3.0%, which would mark the first increase since June 2022.

Gasoline prices at the pump are up 8% on where they were a month ago, according to the American Automobile Association – an unwelcome development right in the middle of the summer driving season. However, they’re still down 5% from last year and well below the eye-watering $5 a gallon in June 2022. Crude oil has risen 15% in the last month, offering a reminder of how the world’s biggest exporters might not be able to regulate demand, but they can tweak supply. Natural gas futures have risen to five-month highs as hot weather has kept everyone cranking up the A/C. But they’re not only down 65% from this time last year, on a seasonal basis, they’re largely back in line with pre-pandemic levels.

Traders are all but convinced the Fed will raise rates one last time in September and then look to cut rates some time in 2024. So a higher headline print might, on the surface, risk muddying that view.

Looking at stickier measures of inflation, a number of those have been dropping dramatically lately, which would suggest that the broad-based rise in energy prices might not unsettle investors too much.

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Rent, used-car prices and the cost of “stickier” goods are dropping fast. Annual wage growth is almost half what it was in 2020 and the red-hot housing market is losing some steam.

Economists at Japanese bank MUFG point to the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland’s index of rent for new tenants – a new tenancy will typically see a higher price rise than a rolling one. The broader CPI rental component tends to lag the Cleveland Fed’s new-tenant rental index by six months, they say, meaning that rents could well be the next shoe to drop in the inflation story and could help offset upside risk from energy prices, MUFG say.

The Atlanta Fed compiles an index of core sticky consumer prices – goods or services for which the cost changes far more slowly. In June, the index showed a rise of 5.6%. This was up from last June’s 5.4% rate, but it marked the slowest annual increase since August 2021, of just 20 basis points.

The Atlanta Fed includes a variety of goods and services in the index and assigns them a rating based on their influence on overall CPI. The biggest weight is food away from home, with a score of 6.5, followed by rent for primary residence, at 6.0 and recreation at 5.7. The index includes baby and toddler clothes, vehicle maintenance and repair and car insurance among others.

Used cars were one of the major inflationary goods when the pandemic struck, as global supply chains snarled up and and created a huge shortage of new vehicles.

Second-hand car prices fell for 11 months in a row in July. This is their longest consecutive stretch of declines in a decade, after an unbroken 27 months of increases to August 2022 and are now nearly 12% below where they were this time last year, according to the most recent Manheim used vehicle index. In April 2021, the index showed an annual rise of 54%.

Key developments that should provide more direction to U.S. markets later on Thursday:

* July consumer price index (CPI)

* Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco President Mary Daly is interviewed on Yahoo Finance, 0800 PDT/1100 EDT/1500 GMT.

* Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta President Raphael Bostic gives welcome remarks at a webinar, 1500 EDT/1900 GMT.

(Reporting by Amanda Cooper; Editing by Tomasz Janowski)

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Breaking NewsOhio NewsPolice Blotter

Man Shot and Killed During East Side Home Invasion

by Leo Canega August 10, 2023
By Leo Canega

COLUMBUS, OH – Early Wednesday morning, an incident unfolded on the east side of Columbus. The Columbus Police Department responded to a reported robbery and shooting on the 1200 block of Elderwood Avenue in Beechwood at 12:54 a.m.

Upon arrival, officers discovered Shermon Lindsey Jr., 46, with a gunshot wound. Medical personnel declared Lindsey dead at the scene by 1:07 a.m.

According to the Columbus Division of Police, there were two potential suspects involved in the incident. Alongside Lindsey, three other individuals were victimized during the event.

Before fleeing the scene, the suspects assaulted another adult, who was later transported to a local hospital for medical attention. The remaining two victims, an adult and a juvenile, did not sustain any injuries.

The preliminary investigation by the Columbus Division of Police suggests that the suspects shot Lindsey during the course of a home invasion. As of now, the motive behind the robbery remains unclear, with no confirmation on whether it was a targeted incident. The investigation is ongoing, and as of Wednesday, no suspect information has been released.

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Breaking News

Harford County Man Wins $50k After Wife Makes Him Fuel Up Before Big Storm

by Jessica Woods August 10, 2023
By Jessica Woods

JOPPA, MD – A Harford County local attributes his unexpected fortune of $50,000 on a Ca$h Multiplier scratch-off to an unusual request from his wife: to fuel up her vehicle with gas before an impending storm hit the area.

According to him, his wife’s request was prompted by the news of an incoming storm. He shared, “My wife asked me to get gas, but she never asks me to get her gas. It was the strangest thing.”

Following his gas stop at Sheetz #316 in Joppa, the 63-year-old gentleman decided to venture inside and purchase a handful of scratch-offs. His journey to luck began with a $5 win, which swiftly turned into $10. Fuelled by these early successes, he redeemed his instant winnings to acquire more scratch-offs.

Although he generally refrains from gambling with his own money, the Harford County resident decided to take a chance with his newfound winnings. And what a fortuitous decision it turned out to be! Matching the number 9 on his scratch-off with the winning number 9, he initially discovered a listed prize of $5,000. However, the magic didn’t stop there, as a 10X cash multiplier elevated his reward to a staggering $50,000.

His reaction? A mixture of disbelief and humility. “I said, ‘Are you kidding me?’ I couldn’t believe it. I am very humbled,” he expressed.

The fortunate player is still deliberating on how he intends to utilize his newfound windfall. Additionally, in recognition of their role in selling the winning $50,000 top-prize scratch-off, Sheetz #316 at 601 Pulaski Highway in Harford County will receive a $500 bonus from the Lottery.

The $5 Ca$h Multiplier game, introduced on June 19, has already revealed its third top-prize winner in this short span. Among the remaining unclaimed prizes are five $50,000 top rewards, along with various others ranging from $5 to $5,000.

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Columbus Police Department - File Photo
Breaking NewsOhio NewsPolice Blotter

Man Shot In East Side Apartment One Hour After Deadly Home Invasion

by Ryan Dickinson August 10, 2023
By Ryan Dickinson

COLUMBUS, OH – A shooting incident occurred early Wednesday morning at an apartment complex located on the 3100 block of East Livingston Avenue in Eastmoor.

The incident took place just after 2 a.m., where an individual was shot inside an apartment. The victim, who sustained injuries to the upper body, was transported to Grant Medical Center. Initially in critical condition, the victim’s health status has since been upgraded to stable.

The Columbus Police Department reported no evidence of forced entry into the apartment.

In connection with the incident, three individuals have been detained for further questioning.

This shooting incident occurred approximately an hour after a fatal home invasion took place about a mile and a half east in Beechwood.

August 10, 2023 0 comments
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Breaking NewsPennsylvania NewsPolice Blotter

Cops Offered to Drive Drunken Woman Home, But She Ended Up in Jail

by Ryan Dickinson August 10, 2023
By Ryan Dickinson

CARLISLE, PA – On Wednesday, at around 2:15 am, Carlisle Police responded to a report of a screaming female in the 1st Block of South Bedford Street.

Officers made contact with the woman, identified as Amy Patterson.

Initially, officers attempted to get Patterson a ride home but were forced to take her into custody due to her continuous screaming, tumultuous behavior, and level of intoxication.

Patterson physically resisted arrest before being transported to CCP.

Patterson has been charged with Resisting Arrest, Public Drunkenness, and Disorderly Conduct. The charges include Disorderly Conduct and Public Drunkenness & Resisting Arrest.

August 10, 2023 0 comments
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Breaking NewsPennsylvania NewsPolice Blotter

Police Investigating Theft at Brodie’s Ice Cream

by Ryan Dickinson August 10, 2023
By Ryan Dickinson

BENSALEM, PA – Bensalem Police are looking into a theft that took place at Brodie’s Ice Cream on Monday.

The incident took place around 2:30 a.m.

An unidentified older white male is reported to have approached the patio area and stolen a red power washer before fleeing.

The police have released a video of the incident and are asking the public to view it closely.

Anyone with information about the suspect’s identity is asked to contact Bensalem Police at 215-633-3719 or provide an anonymous tip.

Police Investigating Theft at Brodie's Ice Cream
August 10, 2023 0 comments
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Breaking NewsPennsylvania NewsPolice Blotter

Man Sentenced for Armed Robbery of Middletown Smoke Shop

by Ryan Dickinson August 10, 2023
By Ryan Dickinson

MIDDLETOWN TOWNSHIP, PA – Gerald Michael Majchrzak, 66, of Bristol Township, was sentenced to five to ten years in state prison on Tuesday, for the armed robbery of Infinity Smoke Shop in Middletown Township in May 2022.

Majchrzak was found guilty of robbery, conspiracy to commit robbery, theft, and weapon possession after a two-day trial.

On May 5, 2022, around 11:41 a.m., Middletown Township police responded to an emergency call from the smoke shop.

Surveillance footage showed a man, later identified as Majchrzak, brandishing a handgun at employees and leaving with $3,000, a cigarette lighter, two cartons of cigarettes, and a pack of condoms.

He was seen fleeing in a silver Hyundai Elantra. Timothy Allen Baker, 46, of Bensalem Township, identified as the getaway driver, pleaded guilty to conspiracy to commit robbery and awaits sentencing.

Man Sentenced for Armed Robbery of Middletown Smoke Shop
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Business News

Turkey’s inflation will fall permanently after transition period – Simsek

by Reuters August 10, 2023
By Reuters

ISTANBUL (Reuters) – Turkey aims to lower soaring inflation permanently after a transitional period where prices remain high, Finance Minister Mehmet Simsek said on Thursday in an interview with the Yeni Safak newspaper.

“Our goal is to bring down inflation permanently after a transitional period,” Simsek said.

The sustained price pressure, driven by a drop in the lira currency and tax hikes, comes as President Tayyip Erdogan’s new finance minister Simsek and central bank chief orchestrate a policy U-turn, including interest rate hikes, that are expected to slow domestic demand.

The monetary tightening – after years of aggressive rate cuts – is meant to cool inflation by mid-2024. But in the meantime the U-turn has hammered the currency and left authorities asking already stretched households for patience.

“As you can see from the central bank’s projections, inflation will continue to rise temporarily due to certain factors in the coming months,” Simsek said.

“We have implemented some tax regulations to improve budget balances and address the aftermath of the earthquake. These tax adjustments are indeed inflationary, but they will not be repeated. These are one-time adjustments we have made.”

The central bank under new governor, Hafize Gaye Erkan, has raised its key rate by 900 basis points to 17.5% since June, though the pace of tightening missed market expectations. Last week it more than doubled its year-end inflation forecast to 58%, meeting expectations.

Inflation touched a 24-year peak of 85.5% last October. It subsequently eased due to a relatively stable currency and the so-called base effect but then rose sharply again in July to nearly 48%.

Simsek said increasing the predictability of economic policies was one of the main goals in order to attract foreign investment into the country.

“As uncertainty decreases and current account deficit narrows in the coming period, there will be an increase in capital inflows to Turkey. I believe we will move towards relative stability in the exchange rate, and this will also have a positive impact on the inflation outlook.”

Simsek also said he expected the “productive discussions” Turkey had last month with Gulf countries regarding investments to bear fruit starting this year.

(Reporting by Burcu Karakas; Writing by Ece Toksabay; Editing by Sharon Singleton)

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Business News

Palm oil demand boosted as rival oil prices jump on supply woes

by Reuters August 10, 2023
By Reuters

By Rajendra Jadhav

MUMBAI (Reuters) -Demand for palm oil has been increasing as its discount to soyoil and sunoil has grown, driven by the recent price rise in rival oils due to production concerns in the U.S. and supply disruptions from the Black Sea region, industry officials said.

This surge in demand is expected to assist Indonesia and Malaysia in bringing down their palm oil inventories, simultaneously bolstering Malaysian palm oil futures.

“Aggressive pricing has been aiding palm oil as buyers are shifting toward palm oil from other oils for near-month shipments,” said Sanjeev Asthana, chief executive officer at Patanjali Foods Ltd, India’s top palm oil buyer.

India, the world’s biggest buyer of edible oils, imported 1.09 million metric tons of palm oil in July, nearly 60% more than June and the highest in seven months.

India’s imports would remain robust during August and September as well, Asthana said.

Crude palm oil is offered at $910 a tonne including cost, insurance and freight (CIF) to India for September shipments, compared with $1,050 and $1,010 for crude soyoil and crude sunflower oil respectively, dealers said.

Soyoil prices jumped in the last one month on production concerns in the United States and lower supplies from top exporting Argentina, while sunflower oil became expensive after Russia withdrew from the Black Sea grains deal, said a New Delhi based dealer with a global trade house.

The Black Sea region accounts for 60% of world sunflower oil output and 76% of exports.

“Palm oil prices didn’t rise; instead, they came down due to rising stocks in the producing countries and become even more cheaper for buyers,” the dealer said.

Price-sensitive Asian buyers traditionally rely on palm oil because of low costs and quick shipping times.

Along with India, China, Bangladesh, and Pakistan have also been raising palm oil purchases for August and September shipments, said a Mumbai-based trader.

China’s July vegetable oil imports, which mainly consist palm oil, jumped 48% from a year ago to 778,000 tonnes.

Palm oil’s discount to rival oils is likely to come down gradually as rising exports would bring down the inventories in both Malaysia and Indonesia, the trader said.

Malaysia’s palm oil exports rose 15.55% to 1.35 million tons in July, according to the Malaysian Palm Oil Board. In the first ten days of August, exports of Malaysian palm oil products rose 17.5% to 383,795 tons, AmSpec Agri Malaysia said on Thursday.

(Reporting by Rajendra Jadhav; editing by David Evans)

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Business News

Disney creates task force to explore AI and cut costs -sources

by Reuters August 10, 2023
By Reuters

By Dawn Chmielewski and Krystal Hu

(Reuters) – Walt Disney has created a task force to study artificial intelligence and how it can be applied across the entertainment conglomerate, even as Hollywood writers and actors battle to limit the industry’s exploitation of the technology.

Launched earlier this year, before the Hollywood writers’ strike, the group is looking to develop AI applications in-house as well as form partnerships with startups, three sources told Reuters.

As evidence of its interest, Disney has 11 current job openings seeking candidates with expertise in artificial intelligence or machine learning.

The positions touch virtually every corner of the company – from Walt Disney Studios to the company’s theme parks and engineering group, Walt Disney Imagineering, to Disney-branded television and the advertising team, which is looking to build a “next-generation” AI-powered ad system, according to the job ad descriptions.

A Disney spokesperson declined to comment.

One of the sources, an internal advocate who spoke on condition of anonymity because of the sensitivity of the subject, said legacy media companies like Disney must either figure out AI or risk obsolescence.

This supporter sees AI as one tool to help control the soaring costs of movie and television production, which can swell to $300 million for a major film release like “Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny” or “The Little Mermaid.” Such budgets require equally massive box office returns simply to break even. Cost savings would be realized over time, the person said.

For its parks business, AI could enhance customer support or create novel interactions, said the second source as well as a former Disney Imagineer, who declined to be identified because he was not authorized to speak publicly.

The former Imagineer pointed to Project Kiwi, which used machine-learning techniques to create Baby Groot, a small, free-roaming robot that mimics the “Guardians of the Galaxy” character’s movements and personality.

Machine learning, the branch of AI that gives computers the ability to learn without being programmed, informs its vision systems, so it is able to recognize and navigate objects in its environment. Someday, Baby Groot will interact with guests, the former Imagineer said.

AI has become a powder keg in Hollywood, where writers and actors view it as an existential threat to jobs. It is a central issue in contract negotiations with the Screen Actors Guild and the Writers Guild of America, both of which are on strike.

Disney has been careful about how it discusses AI in public. The visual effects supervisors who worked on the latest “Indiana Jones” movie emphasized the painstaking labors of more than 100 artists who spent three years seeking to “de-age” Harrison Ford so that the octogenarian actor could appear as his younger self in the early minutes of the film.

‘STEAMBOAT WILLIE’

Disney has invested in technological innovation since its earliest days. In 1928 it debuted “Steamboat Willie”, the first cartoon to feature a synchronized soundtrack. It now holds more than 4,000 patents with applications in theme parks, films and merchandise, according to a search of the U.S. Patent and Trademark Office records.

Bob Iger, now in his second stint as Disney’s chief executive, made the embrace of technology one of his three priorities when he was first named CEO in 2005.

Three years later, the company announced a major research and development initiative with top technology universities around the world, funding labs at the Swiss Federal Institute of Technology in Zurich and Carnegie Mellon University in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. It closed the Pittsburgh lab in 2018.

Disney’s U.S. research group has developed a mixed-reality technology called “Magic Bench” that allows people to share a space with a virtual character on screen, without need for special glasses.

In Switzerland, Disney Research has been exploring AI, machine learning and visual computing, according to its website. It has spent the last decade creating “digital humans” that it describes as “indistinguishable” from their corporeal counterparts, or fantasy characters “puppeteered” by actors.

This technology is used to augment digital effects, not replace human actors, according to a source familiar with the matter.

Its Medusa performance capture system has been used to reconstruct actors’ faces without using traditional motion-capture techniques, and this technology has been used in more than 40 films, including Marvel Entertainment’s “Black Panther: Wakanda Forever.”

“AI research at Disney goes back a very long time and revolves around all the things you see being discussed today: Can we have something that helps us make movies, games, or conversational robots inside theme parks that people can talk to?” said one executive who has worked with Disney.

Hao Li, CEO and co-founder of Pinscreen, a Los Angeles-based company that creates AI-driven virtual avatars, said he worked on multiple research papers with Disney’s lab while studying in Zurich from 2006 to 2010.

“They basically do research on anything based on performance capture of humans, creating digital faces,” said Li, a former research lead at Disney-owned Industrial Light & Magic. “Some of these techniques will be adopted by Disney entities.”

Disney Imagineering last year unveiled the company’s first initiatives in an AI-driven character experience, the D3-09 cabin droid in the Star Wars Galactic Starcruiser hotel, which answered questions on a video screen and learned and changed based on conversations with guests.

“Not only is she a great character to interact with and always available in your cabin, which I think is very cool, behind the scenes, it’s a very cool piece of technology,” Imagineering executive Scott Trowbridge said at the time.

(Reporting by Dawn Chmielewski in Los Angeles and Krystal Hu in New York; Editing by Kenneth Li and Matthew Lewis)

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US and World News

Drug user cannot be barred from owning guns, US court rules

by Reuters August 10, 2023
By Reuters

By Nate Raymond

(Reuters) – A federal appeals court on Wednesday ruled that a decades-old law prohibiting users of illegal drugs from owning firearms was unconstitutional as applied to the case of a marijuana user, the latest fallout from a U.S. Supreme Court ruling last year that expanded gun rights.

A three-judge panel of the New Orleans-based 5th U.S. Circuit Court of Appeals concluded that the federal law violated a Mississippi man’s right to “keep and bear arms” under the U.S. Constitution’s Second Amendment.

The man, Patrick Daniels, had been convicted under that law after law enforcement found a pistol and a semi-automatic rifle in his vehicle during a traffic stop along with marijuana cigarette butts.

The U.S. Drug Enforcement Administration did not administer a drug test, though Daniels admitted he sometimes smoked marijuana, which federal law prohibits. He was sentenced to nearly four years in prison.

While his case was pending, the conservative-majority Supreme Court in June 2022 declared for the first time that the Second Amendment protects an individual’s right to carry a handgun in public for self-defense.

That decision, New York State Rifle & Pistol Association v. Bruen, also announced a new test for assessing firearms laws, saying restrictions must be “consistent with this nation’s historical tradition of firearm regulation.”

U.S. Circuit Judge Jerry Smith, an appointee of former Republican President Ronald Reagan, said that decision meant the statute was invalid as applied to Daniels.

“In short, our history and tradition may support some limits on an intoxicated person’s right to carry a weapon, but it does not justify disarming a sober citizen based exclusively on his past drug usage,” he wrote.

U.S. Circuit Judge Stephen Higginson, an appointee of former Democratic President Barack Obama, in a concurring opinion agreed while noting that many other gun safety laws had likewise been struck down since the Supreme Court’s ruling.

He urged the court to provide more guidance in a case it agreed to hear in its next term, saying last year’s ruling could otherwise result in the “dismantling of the laws that have served to protect our country for generations.”

(Reporting by Nate Raymond in Boston; Editing by Shri Navaratnam)

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UK considers response to U.S ban on tech investments in China

by Reuters August 10, 2023
By Reuters

LONDON (Reuters) – Britain said on Thursday it was weighing how to respond to a decision by U.S. President Joe Biden to prohibit some tech investments in China, adding it was continuing to assess potential national security risks.

Biden signed an executive order on Wednesday that authorizes the U.S. Treasury secretary to prohibit or restrict U.S. investments in Chinese entities in three sectors: semiconductors and microelectronics, quantum information technologies and certain artificial intelligence systems.

The U.S. government has said the measures are designed to address national security risks. China said on Thursday it was gravely concerned by the move.

A spokesperson for Prime Minister Rishi Sunak’s government said the executive order gave important clarity on the U.S. approach: “The UK will consider these new measures closely as we continue to assess potential national security risks attached to some investments.”

London has recently sought to stabilise its relationship with Beijing following a period of turbulence over issues such as security rules in Hong Kong and alleged human rights abuses against Uyghur Muslims in Xinjiang.

Foreign Secretary James Cleverly set out Britain’s new approach in April, saying it would seek to protect itself by limiting national security threats posed by China while engaging in areas such as trade, investment and climate change.

Sunak and Biden signed a new agreement to strengthen the historical security alliance between their two countries in June, vowing to deepen economic ties in areas such as advanced technologies, clean energy and critical minerals.

Official data shows that China is not a significant destination for British foreign investment, with the figure standing at 10.7 billion pounds ($13.6 billion) at the end of 2021, compared with 461.4 billion pounds in the United States. British investment in Hong Kong stood at 77.6 billion pounds.

($1 = 0.7857 pounds)

(Reporting by Kate Holton; Editing by William Schomberg and Sharon Singleton)

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Japan’s struggling Rakuten to combine credit card and mobile payments business

by Reuters August 10, 2023
By Reuters

By Anton Bridge

TOKYO (Reuters) -Japan’s Rakuten Group will fold its payments and points businesses into its credit card unit, it said on Thursday, a move that could set up the struggling e-commerce company to eventually list the card business.

Despite strong revenue from its core e-commerce offerings, Rakuten has lost money for 12 straight quarters, hit by the costly build-out of its mobile phone business, which has failed to gain traction in Japan.

It has turned to listing some of its units – including its popular internet banking business, Rakuten Bank, to generate cash.

The company said on Thursday it plans to consolidate its payments and points businesses and fold them into Rakuten Card, its credit card and loans unit.

Rakuten Card will become the “driving force” behind its integrated payments business and may form strategic partnerships with other companies as well as “raising its own capital as necessary”, Rakuten said in a statement.

Public broadcaster NHK earlier reported the plan to combine the businesses.

Points and payments are at the heart of Rakuten’s ecosystem, which is designed to draw customers into its broad spectrum of offerings. Users accumulate points by using Rakuten credit cards, shopping and insurance services. The points can be used to buy groceries, pay bills or book travel.

At its quarterly earnings briefing later on Thursday, Rakuten committed to taking on no additional gross debt, instead using equity-related financing to reduce its debt burden.

The group has a total 1.9 trillion yen ($13.22 billion) in debt, with 406 billion yen due in 2024 and a further 430 billion yen in 2025, according to Refinitiv data.

In the April-June period, Rakuten posted an operating loss of 48.9 billion yen ($340.13 million), narrowly better than expectations of a loss of 51.2 billion yen, based on the average of six analysts polled by Refinitiv.

Losses at the mobile segment narrowed to 82.4 billion yen on higher average revenue per user and increasing subscriptions. On Monday, Rakuten announced the departure of mobile chief executive Tareq Amin, who had headed the unit since March 2022.

($1 = 143.7700 yen)

(Reporting by Anton Bridge; Editing by Jamie Freed, David Dolan, Gerry Doyle and Raju Gopalakrishnan)

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Severna Park Man Wins Big $100k Jackpot on Lottery Scratch Off

by Jessica Woods August 10, 2023
By Jessica Woods

SEVERNA PARK, MD – A player in the Maryland Lottery from Severna Park encountered an unexpected $30 in his wallet on August 2nd, prompting him to purchase three $10 scratch-off tickets. In a stroke of luck, he snagged an astonishing $100,000 prize on the second ticket he scratched.

The Severna Park local, who admits to playing sporadically when he has some extra cash, shared his excitement with Lottery officials. He reminisced, “I had $30 and said, ‘Why not?’” The game that brought him a windfall was Lucky Times 10. “I got a thrill all right,” he remarked, emphasizing his disbelief at his incredible luck. He humorously added, “I scanned that thing like 16 times.”

Upon the realization of his $100,000 triumph, the first two people he notified were a friend in his vicinity and his mother. His mother’s reaction was particularly memorable: “She said, ‘Bring it over right now.’” Together, they securely stored the winning ticket in a safe location.

At 42 years old, he already has clear intentions for his newfound wealth. He intends to use it to pay off his car loan, purchase a new car for his mother, and strategically invest the remainder, with plans of eventually acquiring a house within the next couple of years. Furthermore, he looks forward to celebrating his good fortune by hosting a celebratory dinner with close friends.

Adding to the positive outcome, the Citgo gas station located at 8355 Ritchie Highway in Pasadena shares in his victory. The Anne Arundel County establishment receives a $1,000 bonus, equivalent to 1% of the prize, from the Lottery for selling the top-prize winning scratch-off worth $100,000.

Following this recent notable victory, the game still boasts two remaining $100,000 top prizes, coupled with two $50,000 rewards and seven at the $10,000 level, along with an impressive array of over 173,000 other prizes ranging from $10 to $1,000.

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Siemens CEO says customers looking outside China for new investments

by Reuters August 10, 2023
By Reuters

ZURICH (Reuters) – Siemens is seeing changing investment patterns by some customers regarding China as tensions rise between Washington and Beijing, Chief Executive Roland Busch said on Thursday.

Siemens, which reported third quarter earnings below forecasts, said clients were increasingly looking to build new facilities outside China, Busch said, echoing comments from rival engineering group ABB last month.

Tensions between the two countries have increased after the Biden administration on Wednesday announced new restrictions on U.S. investments in China in sensitive technology.

“We don’t see our customers moving out of China. In contrast we see our customers, local and international, believe in the Chinese market and they stay there,” Busch told reporters.

“Do they do incremental, new investments in China? Here we see a trend they would rather go to other places in order to see how to diversify and increase their resilience,” he added.

Although Siemens was still investing in China, its third biggest market, the German company was also spending more in other parts of Asia, the United States and Europe.

Still, it was too early to see what the impact of the new measures announced by the United States would be, Busch said, with the company following developments closely.

“We don’t see a direct impact on Siemens because the fields which are addressed are not really affecting us. It is more high tech, semiconductors and the like,” Busch said.

“We hope that the statement of the United States administration is still valid. They talk about building a very small fence, but a very high one. So they are very selective about what technology they put in the window.”

(Reporting by John Revill, Editing by Friederike Heine and David Evans)

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India, Japan, US, Australia hold first Malabar naval exercise off Australia

by Reuters August 10, 2023
By Reuters

By Kirsty Needham

SYDNEY (Reuters) – India, Japan, the United States and Australia will hold the Malabar navy exercise off the coast of Sydney on Friday, the first time the war games previously held in the Indian Ocean have taken place in Australia.

Japanese and Indian navy vessels stopped in Pacific Island countries Solomon Islands and Papua New Guinea on the way to Sydney, highlighting the strategic importance of the region at a time of friction between China and the United States.

Vice Admiral Karl Thomas, Commander of the U.S. Navy’s Seventh Fleet, said at a press conference on Thursday in Sydney the exercise was “not pointed toward any one country” and would improve the ability of the four forces to work with each other.

“The deterrence that our four nations provide as we operate together as a Quad is a foundation for all the other nations operating in this region,” Thomas said.

“Oceania, the island nations that are just northeast of Australia…all of our nations now are focusing on those countries,” he added.

Indian Navy Vice Admiral Dinesh Tripathi said there had been large changes in the world since the United States and India held the first Malabar Exercise in 1992 at the end of the Cold War.

When Australia participated for the first time in 2007, it “sent some signals around the world”, he said.

Australia dropped out of the so-called Quad in 2008 after protests from China over its participation in Malabar. The Quad was revived and Australia rejoined Malabar in 2020, although China continues to criticise the grouping as an attempt to contain it.

“The Pacific is very important to us,” said Australian fleet commander, Rear Admiral Christopher Smith.

“We understand people have ambition to continue to grow and develop… but its about transparency.”

Ships from the four nations will be joined by Australian F-35 fighter jets, as well as P-8 surveillance aircraft and submarines.

“The underwater battle space is seen to be the front line in terms of competition and potential future conflicts”, Smith said.

Malabar is being held off the east coast of Australia, instead of the west coast which faces the Indian Ocean, because ships were nearby after the larger Talisman Sabre exercise involving 13 nations which closed last week, he said.

(Reporting by Kirsty Needham; Editing by Angus MacSwan)

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Japan wholesale inflation slows again, bolstering case for stimulus

by Reuters August 10, 2023
By Reuters

By Tetsushi Kajimoto

TOKYO (Reuters) -Japan’s wholesale inflation eased for a seventh month in July as pressure from high global commodity prices eased, a development economists say is likely to encourage the central bank to keep its monetary stimulus in place.

The 3.6% rise in the corporate goods price index (CGPI), which measures the price companies charge each other for their goods and services, is slightly above the median market forecast for a 3.5% annual increase and follows a 4.3% annual increase in June.

It was the slowest wholesale inflation since March 2021 when prices turned positive to mark 1.0% growth, Bank of Japan (BOJ) data showed.

After peaking at 10.6% in December, wholesale inflation has decelerated for seven months in a row. On the month, wholesale prices rose 0.1%, up for the first time in three months.

The data confirmed that import pressures on inflation have eased, which in turn affects the cost of corporate goods, while commodity prices have also stabilised.

“Given that the input cost runs its course, price-hike pressures will gradually wane. As domestic corporate goods prices continue to slow, consumer prices will also slow from autumn,” said Takeshi Minami, chief economist at the Norinchukin Research Institute.

“As such, the current large-scale stimulus will remain in place for the time being,” he added.

Government subsidies to mitigate the impact of the spike in utility bills — which shaved 0.6 percentage points off the overall wholesale increase — had also curbed price hikes, he added.

A breakdown of the data showed yen-based import prices fell 14.1% in July from a year earlier and contract basis prices slid 15.6%, falling for a fourth straight month and easing concerns about elevated import bills for companies reliant on imports.

At its July meeting, the BOJ kept its yield curve control (YCC) targets unchanged but took steps to allow long-term interest rates to rise more freely in line with increasing inflation and growth.

(Reporting by Tetsushi Kajimoto. Editing by Sam Holmes and Shron Singleton)

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Analysis-ECB is on back foot and for once it’s down to Germany

by Reuters August 10, 2023
By Reuters

By Francesco Canepa

FRANKFURT (Reuters) – The European Central Bank is on the back foot again and this time the bad news doesn’t come from Greece, Italy or any of the usual suspects in the bloc’s poorer south.

The club’s biggest member and supposed powerhouse, Germany, has been hit by a toxic mix of weak trading with key partner China, a slump in its large manufacturing and construction sectors and even some existential questions about a business model predicated on cheap fuel from Russia.

Trouble in Germany is hobbling growth in the euro zone as a whole and threatening to push it into a recession, rather than the “soft landing” of moderate growth and inflation that the ECB had pencilled in and the United States is still hopeful of achieving.

This is forcing a change of tune at the ECB — from ruling out a pause in its steepest and longest streak of interest rate hikes to openly talking about one as soon as next month.

And the market thinks the central bank may even have to undo some of those increases sooner rather than later, just like it did at the time of its last tightening cycle in 2011 when debt crises in Greece, Portugal, Ireland, Spain and Cyprus were accompanied by a broader recession..

“There are some similarities between the 2011 circumstances and now,” Richard Portes, a professor of economics at the London Business School, said. “There was a major supply shock and inflation was clearly going to be very short lived.”

SICK MAN OF EUROPE – AGAIN

Unlike then, Germany rather than the south of Europe is at the epicentre of the problem, bringing many commentators to dust off the “sick man of Europe” moniker last used to refer to that country in the early years of the new century.

It’s not without irony that the expression should have been coined by Emperor Nicholas I of Russia to describe the Ottoman Empire in the 19th century.

Some of Germany’s present misfortunes also originate in Russia, on which Berlin had relied for a third of its energy supply until the invasion of Ukraine jeopardised those cheap imports.

Others run deeper and are home brewed, relating to its over-reliance on exports, lack of investment and shortage of labour.

“If the government does not take decisive action, Germany is likely to remain at the bottom of the growth table in the euro area,” said Ralph Solveen, an economist at Commerzbank.

CAREFUL WHAT YOU WISH FOR

But at least some of Germany’s troubles can be traced back to tighter monetary policy.

The central bank has consciously dampened economic activity via higher rates in an attempt to bring inflation, which at one point last year was in double digits, to its 2% target.

Higher borrowing costs hurt manufacturers particularly hard because they depend on investment and no euro zone country has a larger industrial sector than Germany.

“To loosen monetary policy because Germany is in a difficult position would be unwise but to tighten it would add macro pressure to the micro-level pressures that beset the economy,” Portes added.

This puts the ECB in a situation where it must contemplate wrapping up its tightening cycle before witnessing the sustained drop in core inflation it said it wanted to see.

Making such an explicit link between underlying inflation and the need for continued rate hikes may prove awkward for the ECB, which is now trying to shift the emphasis from raising borrowing costs to simply keeping them high.

“They’ve made a mistake in accentuating underlying inflation too much,” said Carsten Brzeski, global head of macro for ING Research, said. “The risk is that they have already gone too far.”

For Ricardo Reis, a professor at the London School of Economics, the ECB needed to start looking at the expected path of inflation “12 or 18 months from now” — as it traditionally did — rather than current readings.

HIGHER FOR LONGER

The first sign of a change in the narrative started at the ECB’s last meeting two weeks ago and caught markets by surprise.

After declaring in June the ECB was “not even thinking about pausing” its rate hikes, Lagarde changed tack in her latest press conference, going as far as saying she didn’t think the central bank had more ground to cover “at this point in time”.

Days later — and after data showed inflation excluding energy, food, alcohol and tobacco was stuck at 5.5% — the ECB chose to emphasise that most other measures of underlying prices had shown signs of easing.

And ECB board member Fabio Panetta then made the case for “persistence” in keeping rates high rather than raising them further.

All this set the stage for a possible pause in rate hikes in September, likely coupled with an option to come back for more if needed and a pledge to keep borrowing costs elevated for a while.

But markets even doubt the high-for-longer scenario, with substantial rate cuts priced in for the second half of next year.

“We continue to expect the ECB to pivot significantly over the next few months, with no further hikes this year and March kicking off a series of rate cuts,” economists ABN-AMRO said in a note to clients.

(Reporting By Francesco Canepa; editing by Mark John and Christina Fincher)

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Analysis-US military mission in Niger in focus after coup

by Reuters August 10, 2023
By Reuters

By Idrees Ali and Daphne Psaledakis

WASHINGTON (Reuters) – Last month’s coup in Niger has raised questions over whether the United States can continue the 1,100-strong military presence in the country that officials and analysts say has been key to fighting Islamist militants in the Sahel region.

Over the past decade, U.S. troops have trained Nigerien forces in counterterrorism and operated two military bases, including one that conducts drone missions against Islamic State and an Al Qaeda affiliate in the region.

After ousting President Mohamed Bazoum from office on July 26 and placing him under house arrest, the junta revoked military cooperation agreements with France, which has between 1,000 and 1,500 troops in the country.

So far the United States has not received any request to remove its troops and does not have any indication that it will be forced to do so, said two U.S. officials, speaking on the condition of anonymity.

But with the West African regional bloc ECOWAS threatening military intervention and Russia’s Wagner mercenary group offering help to the coup leaders – both of which could pose safety risks for U.S. military personnel – U.S. planners could find themselves contemplating a future without a foothold in a part of Africa facing insurgencies and where the U.S. vies with Russia and China for influence.

“Our drone base in Niger is extremely important in countering terrorism in the region,” one of the U.S. officials said. “If that closed down, it would be a huge blow.”

FOREIGN ASSISTANCE

The Biden administration has not formally labeled the military takeover in Niger a coup, a designation that would limit what security assistance Washington can provide the country.

Still, the United States last week paused certain foreign assistance programs for Niger and said on Tuesday that included funding for international military education and training and programs that support Niger’s counterterrorism capabilities. Military training is on hold.

U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken declined to comment on Tuesday in a BBC interview on the future presence of U.S. troops, who are in Niger with the approval of the ousted government.

The U.S. drone base has grown in importance due to a lack of Western security partners in the region.

Military juntas have come to power through coups in Mali and Burkina Faso – both neighbors of Niger – in recent years. More than 2,000 French troops left Mali last year and a 13,000-strong U.N. peacekeeping force is due to shut down by the end of the year after the junta abruptly asked it to leave.

The drone base, known as airbase 201, was built near Agadez in central Niger at a cost of more than $100 million. Since 2018, it has been used to target Islamic State and Al Qaeda affiliate Jama’at Nusrat al-Islam wal Muslimeen (JNIM), in the Sahel.

Since the coup, U.S. troops are largely staying on their bases and U.S. military flights, including drones, are being individually approved, according to the U.S. officials.

Cameron Hudson, a former U.S. official who is now at the Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS), said he thinks it is likely Washington will try to keep using the drone base irrespective of who was in charge of Niger.

“From a political or from an optics perspective, it’s certainly easier to defend,” said Hudson, explaining that while the cooperation of Niger’s authorities was needed to stay, it helps the U.S. gather intelligence on militant targets across the region and would not directly benefit the junta.

The U.S. may have to reconsider its presence if the members of ECOWAS, who will meet Thursday, decide to intervene militarily. The junta defied an Aug. 6 ECOWAS deadline to reinstate ousted President Mohamed Bazoum.

Terence McCulley, who previously served as U.S. ambassador to Mali, Nigeria and Ivory Coast and is now at the United States Institute of Peace, said that the U.S. military would make a “force protection decision” if conflict erupted, adding that such an intervention was theoretical at this point and he did not expect ECOWAS would stage such an operation rapidly.

WAGNER COMPLICATION

Another complicating factor could be any decision by Niger’s coup leaders to seek help from Wagner Group, which the U.S. has designated a transnational criminal organization. Wagner’s chief, Yevgeny Prigozhin, has welcomed the coup in Niger and said his forces were available to restore order.

Wagner mercenaries teamed up with Mali’s junta in 2021 and has about 1,000 fighters in the country, where jihadists control large swathes of the desert north and center.

One of the U.S. officials said if Wagner fighters turn up in Niger it would not automatically mean U.S. forces would have to leave.

The official said a scenario where a few dozen Wagner forces base themselves in Niger’s capital Niamey was unlikely to affect the United States’ military presence.

But if thousands of Wagner fighters spread across the country, including near Agadez, problems could arise because of safety concerns for U.S. personnel.

Regardless, the U.S. will put a high bar for any decision to leave the country.

“The only way this mission ends is if the Nigerien government asks us to leave,” the first U.S. official said. “It’s too important for us to abandon.”

(Reporting by Idrees Ali, Daphne Psaledakis and Simon Lewis; Editing by Michelle Nichols, Don Durfee and Deepa Babington)

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Refiners make hay as global profit margins rebound

by Reuters August 10, 2023
By Reuters

By Mohi Narayan, Laura Sanicola and Ahmad Ghaddar

NEW DELHI/WASHINGTON/LONDON (Reuters) – Global refiners are raking in hefty gains, fuelled by a rebound from second-quarter lows in margins on making oil products such as diesel, jet fuel and gasoline, a trend that oil companies and experts expect will continue for the rest of 2023.

Recovering profit margins may prompt complex refiners to maximise yields of transport fuels, causing excess naphtha output as a byproduct in a tepid petrochemical market and further depressing feedstock margins.

Refiners are optimistic about the bull run due to projected sustained strong demand growth and low inventory levels.

“We have lots of pockets of really strong distillate demand in Latin America, up 9%, Asia up 4% and diesel cracks continue to remain strong,” Brian M. Mandell, executive vice president for marketing & commercial at Phillips 66, said on last week’s earnings call.

Mandell expects margins to continue to perform well throughout the year heading into higher-demand crop planting season and into winter in the United States.

Eugene Lindell, head of refined products at consultancy FGE, said refiners are incentivised to ramp up runs regardless of complexity.

“The healthy margins reflect the bull market for diesel combined with still strong gasoline cracks even if gasoline did weaken sharply on week. Chronic weakness in global naphtha cracks is being offset, at least for now, by bullish HSFO (high sulfur fuel oil) cracks, especially in Asia and Europe,” he said in a note this week.

MARGINS SOAR

Profit on processing a barrel of crude at a typical European or U.S. refinery has jumped by about 33% year to date, while refining profit margins in Asia are up by around 9%, Refinitiv Eikon data showed.

A Singapore-based trader said middle distillate cracks, or margins, have traded stronger recently than gasoline, which had hit four-month highs on robust summer demand.

Meanwhile, Asian 380-cst HSFO margins posted gains of more than 15% last week, buoyed by Saudi Arabia’s announcement of further crude supply cuts.

“Middle distillates are expected to continue outplaying gasoline and so will remain the margin driver (in the second half), even after cracks shed over $10 per barrel from current levels in Asia,” FGE’s Lindell told Reuters.

However, Lindell said fourth-quarter margins could be substantially weaker than present levels though they will remain healthier than 2020 and 2021, as naphtha margins are not likely to improve over the next six months at least, while gasoline is seen weakening once refiners shift towards making cheaper winter grades of the fuel.

OUTAGES, INVENTORIES

For now, unplanned refinery outages in Asia and elsewhere are also supporting margins.

According to FGE estimates, about 250,000 barrels per day of capacity was offline in Asia in the last two months, including in Malaysia at Petronas’ PIC refinery, at Hyundai Oilbank’s Daesan refinery in South Korea and at Japan’s ENEOS.

Next month, planned maintenance at India’s Reliance Industries, BPCL and Indian Oil will bring a combined 430,000 bpd of capacity offline, FGE estimated.

U.S. oil companies said during recent second quarter earnings presentations that strong global demand for fuels and low product inventories are driving robust profits.

Gasoline inventories are 7% below five-year averages while distillate inventories are 19% below averages, Mandell of Phillips 66 said.

FGE analysts expect middle distillate stocks to start drawing down as OPEC+ cuts supplies of medium sour crudes, which are ideal for diesel.

Meanwhile, global refining capacity additions lagged expectations, Marathon Petroleum and Phillips 66 executives said.

“Despite crack spreads incentivising high refining utilisation, product inventory levels remain low,” Michael J. Hennigan, president, CEO & director of Marathon, said on last week’s earnings call.

“Global capacity additions continue to progress slower than anticipated, and we believe that global demand growth will remain strong,” Hennigan added.

(Reporting by Mohi Narayan in New Delhi, Laura Sanicola in Washington and Ahmad Ghaddar in London; Additional reporting by Jeslyn Lerh in Singapore; Editing by Tony Munroe and Muralikumar Anantharaman)

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India’s RBI holds rates steady but eyes food price spike; signals tighter policy

by Reuters August 10, 2023
By Reuters

By Swati Bhat and Sudipto Ganguly

MUMBAI (Reuters) -The Reserve Bank of India held its key lending rate steady on Thursday as expected but moved to reduce the amount of cash in banking system as inflation concerns resurfaced following higher-than-usual seasonal spikes in food prices in recent weeks.

The monetary policy committee (MPC), which has three members from the central bank and three external members, kept the repo rate unchanged at 6.50% in an unanimous decision. It was the third consecutive time that the committee decided to maintain rates.

India has raised rates by 250 basis points (bps) since May 2022 in a bid to cool surging prices.

The central bank, however, temporarily raised the cash buffer that banks are required to hold, which is expected to push up short-term rates in the market.

“Liquidity plays a major role with regards to inflation – both in pushing up inflation and controlling inflation,” RBI Governor Shaktikanta Das said, explaining the decision.

“While inflation has moderated, the job is still not done,” he said.

The central bank raised its inflation forecast for the current financial year to 5.4% from 5.1% earlier, citing pressures from food prices. In the July-September quarter, it now sees inflation at 6.2%, significantly higher than the 5.2% earlier forecast.

The benchmark 7.26% 2033 bond yield was trading at 7.166% as of 1:00 p.m. IST, down marginally, while the rupee was flat at 82.81 against the dollar.

The BSE Sensex was down 0.26%, while the broader NSE stock index was down 0.23% for the day.

The RBI maintained its policy stance of “withdrawal of accommodation” to ensure inflation progressively aligns with the committee’s target while remaining supportive of economic growth, Das said. Five of six committee members voted in favour of the stance.

Monetary policy can look through food price shocks for some time, Das said.

“We do look through idiosyncratic shocks but if it shows signs of persistence, we have to act.”

Food price spikes in India, typical at the onset of the monsoon, drove up headline inflation in June, snapping a four-month downward trend. Analysts expect inflation to have reached 6.4% in July, moving out of the RBI’s 2%-6% comfort band.

The central bank took comfort in the fact that core inflation, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, has softened.

“We believe the seasonal uptick along with erratic weather conditions will continue to keep the hawkish bias of the MPC intact in the upcoming meetings as well,” said Upasana Bhardwaj, chief economist at Kotak Mahindra Bank. “However, we expect rates to remain unchanged through the rest of the year.”

Growth in the Indian economy is seen at 6.5%, unchanged from the RBI’s previous forecast.

“Demand in the economy remains bouyant,” said Das.

The expected rise in inflation and steady growth had prompted swap markets to price in the probability of one more rate hike from the central bank.

“We doubt that further hikes will materialise,” said Capital Economics.

“But with the El Nino threat lurking … there is a growing risk that the RBI delays the (policy) loosening that we currently expect to begin in early 2024 even as other major emerging economies kick off their easing cycles,” Shilan Shah, deputy chief emerging markets economist at the research house, said in the note.

(Reporting by Swati Bhat and Sudipto Ganguly; Writing by Ira Dugal; Editing by Savio D’Souza, Miral Fahmy and Kim Coghill)

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Hapag-Lloyd net profit dives 67% in H1, maintains outlook

by Reuters August 10, 2023
By Reuters

By Vera Eckert

FRANKFURT (Reuters) -German container shipper Hapag-Lloyd on Thursday posted net profit of 2.9 billion euros ($3.18 billion) for the first half of 2023, down by 67% from a year earlier, but maintained its full year earnings forecast.

The net profit compared with 8.7 billion euros in 2022 when shipping, a proxy for global trade, enjoyed a boom as economic growth rebounded following the end of pandemic lockdowns and as logistics disruptions raised freight rates for customers.

Rates have since fallen as logjams have eased and the economy is slowing. Cheaper freight has also hit the results of Hapag-Lloyd’s rivals Maersk and CMA CGM.

Chief Executive Rolf Habben Jansen said there were signs of recovery in spot freight rates and loadings.

“If you look at the last 10 or 12 weeks and how much volume we load, then we are slightly above year-ago,” he told Reuters.

Shares in Hapag-Lloyd, the world’s fifth-largest shipping line, were 2.9% down at 187.5 euros in early trade.

Its first half revenues were 41% lower at 10.0 billion euros.

Transport volumes fell 3.4% to 5.8 million 20-foot equivalent units (TEU) year-on-year, as demand for transport fell on the Asian and European trade routes to North America, and freight rates were down 38% at $1,761 per TEU.

Lower costs provided some relief. In the first half, tanker fuel prices fell by 11% to $625 per tonne. Oil prices have since begun to rise on international markets, supported by producer output cuts.

Hapag-Lloyd upheld its May guidance – in turn a repetition of March guidance – for its 2023 full-year earnings before interest and taxes (EBIT) to be in a 2-4 billion euros range.

EBITDA is expected to be between 4 billion and 6 billion euros.

However, the war in Ukraine, geopolitical uncertainties, persistent inflationary pressures and high inventory levels are creating risks that could negatively impact the forecast, Hapag-Lloyd said.

($1 = 0.9107 euros)

(Reporting by Vera Eckert, editing by Friederike Heine, Kim Coghill and Barbara Lewis)

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