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US and World News

Europe’s hopes for busy post-COVID summer dim as Chinese tourists stay away

by Reuters March 20, 2023
By Reuters

By John Revill, Rachel More and Joanna Plucinska

ZURICH/BERLIN/LONDON (Reuters) – Urs Kessler, who runs Jungfrau Railways, a train that takes tourists up the highest mountain in Switzerland, was excited for the return of Chinese tourists after COVID-19 restrictions were lifted late last year.

But barring one small group in February and a few larger ones expected in May, few have materialised.

Many tour operators like Kessler are disappointed by lower-than-expected bookings from high-spending Chinese travellers who before the pandemic would typically splash between 1,500 and 3,000 euros per person, according to the Global Times newspaper.

Chinese outbound flight bookings to Europe during March and August are only 32% that of pre-pandemic levels, according to travel data firm ForwardKeys.

The travel industry is also grappling with cash-strapped domestic holidaymakers looking for cheaper vacations as energy and food bills rise. This summer, the second since Europe’s COVID restrictions ended, is a test for airports and airlines, scrambling to hire staff and avoid a repeat of last summer’s chaos.

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“There’s still a long way to go to full recovery,” said Olivier Ponti, an executive at ForwardKeys.

“Chinese airlines are doing anything, everything they can to … operate those routes. But, you need the staff, you need the slots, you need the right level of service.”

Kessler, who ran a marketing campaign featuring pianist Lang Lang playing on top of the mountain to pander to the Chinese audience, is hoping groups from countries like the United States, South Korea and India will make up the shortfall.

Before the pandemic, Chinese tourism made up 10% of stays from non-EU tourists in Europe, with the market growing 350% in the decade to 2019, driven by a particular interest in luxury shopping and fine dining.

But bogged down by visa restrictions, long passport wait lines and limited airline tickets to Europe, which are in some cases 80% more expensive than before the pandemic, Chinese tourists are staying closer to home.

Instead, they’re taking their hard-earned pandemic savings to places like Hong Kong, where arrivals were up 1,400% in the last two months, or Thailand and Macau.

For the less wealthy, the price of getting to Europe is also a deterrent.

“Cost is definitely part of the consideration. A lot of flights haven’t opened up yet – that makes it harder to look at going to Europe soon – but we would love to travel outside of China more,” Shanghai-based Stephanie Lin, 33, told Reuters.

BRING IN THE AMERICANS

Tour operators are looking to Americans, who, bolstered by a strong dollar, are coming to Europe in droves. Some analysts predict transatlantic travel to places like London and Paris could surpass 2019 levels.

Sophie Lu, 26, came to London in early March from Hawaii and was pleasantly surprised by how affordable the food was.

“I was not planning on splurging whatsoever, but when I got here I kind of just noticed that there are a lot of things that America doesn’t have and it’s a little cheaper from where I’m living,” she said, standing in front of the gates of Buckingham Palace.

On the Champs-Elysee in Paris, Colleen Danielson, 40, who was visiting from Boston, said she was also more keen to spend because of the dollar’s strength.

“When we were in Dior, we were thinking should we make a bigger purchase, a bag or something like that. The exchange rate does have an impact,” she said.  

OPTIMISM FOR THE FUTURE

Many tourist operators and retailers hope the second half will bring a relaxation in visa policies, more flights and the long-expected influx of Chinese tourists.

Retailers banking on a gradual return are already running flashy marketing campaigns.

Harrods launched branded stickers, including its iconic teddy bear, on China’s popular WeChat messaging platform this year to attract Chinese tourists.

Bicester Village, a discount designer retail outlet near Oxford, is also using WeChat to facilitate shopping trip planning and Chinese payment options.

Kessler believes his Lang Lang campaign was still worth it.

“I think it will go a little bit like an ice hockey stick,” he said. “The start of the year will be flat, but then pick up as we go through the year.”

(Reporting by Casey Hall in Shanghai, Mimosa Spencer in Paris, Rachel More, Ilona Wissenbach and Nette Nostlinger in Berlin, Richa Naidu in London; writing by Joanna Plucinska; editing by Christina Fincher)

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US and World News

U.S. Senate Democrat Durbin tests positive for COVID, will quarantine

by Reuters March 20, 2023
By Reuters

WASHINGTON (Reuters) – U.S. Senator Dick Durbin, the chamber’s No. 2 Democrat, said on Sunday that he will quarantine after testing positive for COVID-19, adding to a number of lawmakers from both parties who have been absent from the Senate.

“Thankfully, I am fully vaccinated and boosted and only experiencing minor symptoms,” Durbin said in a tweet.

The Illinois Democrat said he would follow Center for Disease Control and Prevention guidelines, which call for five days of quarantine for those who test positive.

Two other Democrats, Senators Dianne Feinstein and John Fetterman, have been absent from the Senate for health reasons. Senate Republican leader Mitch McConnell entered a rehabilitation facility last week after fracturing a rib in a fall earlier this month.

Democrats hold a narrow 51-49 majority in the Senate, which is expected to vote this week on legislation to repeal the 1991 and 2002 Authorizations for the Use of Military Force, or AUMFs, against Iraq.

(Reporting by David Morgan; Editing by Chris Reese)

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UBS mulls sweeteners to keep Credit Suisse wealth bankers – source

by Reuters March 20, 2023
By Reuters

By Stefania Spezzati

LONDON (Reuters) – UBS Group AG told Credit Suisse wealth bankers it’s weighing financial sweeteners for them to stay as it seeks to reassure key staff following the takeover, a person with knowledge of the matter told Reuters on Monday.

In a town hall for Credit Suisse’s employees in wealth management in Zurich, Iqbal Khan, UBS’s president for global wealth management and Francesco de Ferrari, Credit Suisse’s CEO for wealth management, reassured staff on Monday that the two banks will all be acting as a “big family,” the person said.

During the townhall, the executives also said that there would be retention packages, most likely for front office staff without providing further details, the person said.

A spokesperson for UBS declined to comment.

UBS said on Sunday it will pay 3 billion Swiss francs ($3.23 billion) for 167-year-old Credit Suisse and assume at least $5.4 billion in losses in a deal backed by a massive Swiss guarantee and expected to close by the end of 2023.

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The transaction is the first rescue of a global bank since the financial crisis of 2008.

During the townhall, the executives didn’t provide further details on job cuts. Before the deal, Credit Suisse had embarked on a plan to slash 9,000 jobs. That number can grow to 10,000, Reuters has reported as UBS acquires Credit Suisse.

UBS said in a presentation that the acquisition will scale up the bank’s global wealth and asset management franchise with more than $3.4 trillion in invested assets on a combined basis, according to a press release on Sunday.

(Reporting by Stefania Spezzati; Editing by Elisa Martinuzzi and Dhara Ranasinghe)

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Italy’s language watchdog says ‘no’ to gender-neutral symbols

by Reuters March 20, 2023
By Reuters

By Alvise Armellini

ROME (Reuters) – Italy’s courts should stick to tradition and avoid the novelty of gender-neutral symbols in official documents, according to the institution that acts as the guardian of the Italian language.

The Accademia della Crusca was asked to weigh in on the matter by the equal opportunities committee of the Corte di Cassazione, Italy’s top appeals body, illustrating the national debate over gender issues and political correctness.

In Italian, as in other Latin-based tongues, nouns can take a feminine or masculine form, but the plural masculine form tends to take precedence. For example, the masculine form “tutti” is routinely used for “everyone”, rather than the feminine “tutte”.

Some see this as an expression of male dominance and support the introduction of gender-neutral noun endings, such as asterisks or the so-called “schwa”, a symbol that looks like an inverted “e”.

For example, an email or a letter to a man or a woman would no longer start with “caro” or “cara” (dear), but with the gender neutral “car*”, which would also replace the plural “cari”.

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But the Accademia della Crusca, in its response to the Cassazione, rejected these changes for legal documents, saying they would be artificial and supported only by minority groups, “however well-intentioned.”

“Legal language is not the right place for minoritarian innovative experimentations,” the Accademia said in a six-page opinion that Reuters reviewed on Monday, after the Corriere della Sera newspaper first reported on it.

The Accademia said the Italian masculine plural form remains “the best instrument” to collectively represent “all genders and orientations”, but also backed the wider use of the feminine form of professional titles.

In October, Italy’s first woman prime minister, right-wing leader Giorgia Meloni, sparked controversy after saying the preferred her title of “Presidente del Consiglio” to be preceded by the masculine article “il”, rather than the feminine “la”.

(Reporting by Alvise Armellini; Editing by Keith Weir)

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U.N. expert calls for coordinated action against Myanmar junta

by Reuters March 20, 2023
By Reuters

GENEVA (Reuters) – The United Nations Special Rapporteur on the human rights situation in Myanmar on Monday called on the international community to coordinate sanctions to counter the abuses perpetrated by the southeast Asian country’s military.

Since a junta seized power in February 2021, Myanmar has been plunged into chaos, with a resistance movement fighting the military on multiple fronts following a bloody crackdown on opponents.

Thomas Andrews, the special rapporteur, told reporters in Geneva that the junta’s violence had galvanised and strengthened the opposition, and that coordinated, targeted sanctions could further weaken the military leadership.

“They have less control of the country than they did at the beginning of this coup,” Andrews said of Myanmar’s junta. “We could make a very significant difference if we increased our support and we coordinated that support…I think it would make a world of difference.”

Andrews — who earlier on Monday addressed the Human Rights Council, the only body made up of governments to protect human rights worldwide — said countries should analyse how they could deal the greatest blow to the junta.

He said their analysis should lead them to “coordinate together the implementation of sanctions and an arms embargo”.

“There is precedent for some coordination between some countries,” Andrews said. “So what I’m saying is ‘let’s build on that’.”

A U.N. report published this month found that violence had intensified in northwestern and southeastern Myanmar due to the military’s “indiscriminate air strikes and artillery shelling, mass burnings of villages to displace civilian populations, and denial of humanitarian access”.

The junta has previously said it is carrying out a legitimate campaign against terrorists and denied atrocities have taken place.

(Reporting by Gabrielle Tétrault-Farber; Editing by Ed Osmond)

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Breaking NewsD.C. NewsPolice Blotter

D.C. Armed Robbers Caught On Surveillance Camera

by Kristen Harrison-Oneal March 20, 2023
By Kristen Harrison-Oneal

WASHINGTON, D.C. – The Washington, D.C. Metro Police Department is asking for assistance finding suspects and a vehicle involved in an armed robbery that took place in Northeast, D.C. on Thursday afternoon.

Just after 3 pm, the victim was approached by two suspects at the 3900 Block of Benning Road. At the location, one of the suspects displayed a gun and the other took the victim’s property. The suspects then left the scene in a vehicle.

A nearby surveillance camera captured the suspects and their vehicle. If you have any information about this incident or recognize the suspects, please call the police at (202) 727-9099 or text your tip to the Department’s TEXT TIP LINE at 50411. This case remains under investigation.

March 20, 2023 0 comments
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US and World News

North Korea’s Kim oversees simulated nuclear counterattack against US, South Korea

by Reuters March 20, 2023
By Reuters

By Hyonhee Shin

SEOUL (Reuters) -North Korean leader Kim Jong Un has overseen drills simulating a nuclear counterattack against the U.S. and South Korea in a warning to the allies who are scaling up their joint military exercises, state media KCNA said on Monday.

The North’s drills involved a short-range missile launch but – unusually – the missile flew from a buried silo, which analysts say would help improve speed and stability in future tests of intercontinental ballistic missiles (ICBM).

KCNA said the exercises on Saturday and Sunday were designed to boost the country’s “war deterrence and nuclear counterattack capability,” accusing Washington and Seoul of making an “explicit attempt to unleash a war” against it.

“The drill also aimed to demonstrate our tougher will to make an actual war response and send a stronger warning to the enemy who expand their war drills for aggression,” KCNA said.

In the exercises, a ballistic missile equipped with a mock nuclear warhead flew 800 km (497 miles) before hitting a target under the scenario of a tactical nuclear attack, KCNA said.

KCNA photos showed Kim attended the test, again with his young daughter, as flames roared from the soaring missile before it hit the target.

Analysts said the photos suggested the launch involved a KN-23 short-range ballistic missile (SRBM), but unlike past tests, the engine exhaust appeared to be vented either side at the moment of liftoff, which could mean that a silo was used.

“Until now, North Korea has preferred mobile launchers for everything from SRBMs to even huge ICBMs, but given its poor road and system conditions, it was difficult to guarantee the stability of the missile during actual operations,” said Yang Uk, a fellow at the Asan Institute for Policy Studies in Seoul. “The latest launch might possibly serve as a test for future launches of larger missiles like the Hwasong-17 ICBM in a silo.”

South Korea’s defence ministry spokesman said the North is making significant technological advances in its nuclear programme but did not elaborate.

‘NUCLEAR WAR DETERRENCE’

Kim said the exercises improved the military’s war capability and urged the military to stand ready for any “immediate and overwhelming nuclear counterattack anytime.”

“The present situation, in which the enemies are getting ever more pronounced in their moves for aggression against the DPRK, urgently requires the DPRK to bolster up its nuclear war deterrence exponentially,” KCNA quoted him as saying.

Kim was using the acronym of his country’s official name, the Democratic People’s Republic of Korea.

“The nuclear force of the DPRK will strongly deter, control and manage the enemy’s reckless moves and provocations with its high war readiness, and carry out its important mission without hesitation in case of any unwanted situation,” he added.

South Korea and Japan reported a launch of a North Korean short-range ballistic missile off the east coast on Sunday, the latest in a series of missile tests in recent weeks.

North Korea has reacted furiously to South Korea-U.S. combined military drills, calling them a rehearsal for invasion against it.

The allies have been carrying out exercises this month, including air and sea drills on Sunday involving U.S. B-1B bombers.

The U.S. and South Korea navies and marine corps are set to kick off their first large-scale Ssangyong amphibious landing exercises in five years on Monday for a two-week run until April 3.

Last month, the two countries staged tabletop exercises simulating North Korea’s nuclear attack amid South Korean President Yoon Suk Yeol’s push for more confidence in U.S. extended deterrence – its military capability, especially nuclear forces, to deter attacks on its allies.

In another dispatch, KCNA said more than 1.4 million North Koreans have volunteered to join or re-enlist in the military to fight against Seoul and Washington, up from about 800,000 reported by a state newspaper just two days before.

(Reporting by Hyonhee Shin in Seoul; Additional reporting by Josh Smith in Seoul; Editing by Matthew Lewis and Chris Reese. Editing by Gerry Doyle)

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Breaking NewsD.C. NewsPolice Blotter

Double Shooting In D.C. Leaves Two Juveniles Injured

by Kristen Harrison-Oneal March 20, 2023
By Kristen Harrison-Oneal

WASHINGTON, D.C. – The Washington, D.C. Metro Police Department is investigating the shooting of two teenage boys that took place late Saturday afternoon in Southeast, D.C.

Just after 5 pm, police were called to the 4000 Block of Wheeler Road to investigate a shooting report. Officers found the crime scene, and the boys were found shortly after at a different location. Both victims were found breathing and conscious. The victims were taken to a nearby hospital. The current condition of the victims is unknown at this time.

This case remains under investigation. If you have any information about this incident, please take no action but call the police at 202-727-9099 or TEXT TIP LINE by sending a text message to 50411.

March 20, 2023 0 comments
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US and World News

Explainer-Why is Macron in so much trouble over pension reform?

by Reuters March 20, 2023
By Reuters

By Richard Lough

PARIS (Reuters) – President Emmanuel Macron faces the toughest challenge to his authority after his government bypassed the lower house to push through a deeply unpopular pension reform bill that will raise the retirement age. Here is why:

WHAT CHANGES TO THE PENSION SYSTEM DOES MACRON WANT TO MAKE?

The legislation raises the retirement age by two years to 64. The change will be implemented gradually, with the age increased by three months each year starting from this September, until 2030.

Some workers in jobs deemed physically or mentally arduous will maintain the right to retire earlier than most of the working population.

From 2027, most workers will have to make social security contributions over 43 years rather than 42 years in order to draw a full pension. This was already foreseen in a 2014 reform but Macron is accelerating the pace of transition.

In comparison, the United States is slowly raising its retirement age to 67, while Britain has announced plans to raise the state pension age to 68 by somewhere between 2037 and 2039.

WHY DOES THE GOVERNMENT SAY CHANGE IS NEEDED?

Macron’s government says reform is necessary to keep the pension budget in the black. Failure to act would see the pension system record an annual deficit of 13.5 billion euros by 2030, the government forecasts.

The principal measures were initially seen generating 17.7 billion euros in additional contributions by 2030. The government calculated that “accompanying measures” to smooth the way would cost 4.8 billion euros, creating a 0.3 billion euros surplus in 2030.

However, additional sweeteners raised this cost to 6 billion euros, leaving the government to find further last-minute savings and extra contributions to balance the budget.

France’s pension system costs nearly 14% of GDP, the third highest within the OECD behind Italy and Greece.

WHY IS PENSION REFORM SUCH A DELICATE TASK IN FRANCE?

The pension system is a cornerstone of France’s cherished model of social protection.

It is founded upon an obligatory contributory pension scheme and upon solidarity between generations. In other words, the contributions of those who are currently working directly fund the pensions of those now in retirement.

Individuals can make voluntary contributions into savings products to top-up their eventual pension through the state-run system, but private pension funds like those common in Britain and the United States do not exist.

Past presidents including Nicolas Sarkozy and Jacques Chirac met similarly fierce resistance from trade unions and on the street when seeking to change the pension system.

WHAT HAPPENS NEXT?

Macron’s decision to ram through the pension legislation without a vote has infuriated opponents and triggered pockets of violent unrest.

The government faces a vote of no-confidence in parliament. The motion is expected to fail, leaving the government to fight another day, while trade unions promise to keep up their battle.

If unexpectedly the no-confidence vote is passed, Prime Minister Elisabeth Borne would tender her government’s resignation in the hours that followed. Macron would have to form a new government with no working majority in parliament and remain reliant on a deeply divided mainstream centre right for support.

He could call a referendum on the pension reform and risk it becoming a plebiscite on his presidency. Or he could dissolve parliament and call snap elections, a move observers predict would only weaken him further in the National Assembly.

(Writing by Richard Lough; Editing by Hugh Lawson)

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Giant bank deal triggers political backlash in Switzerland

by Reuters March 20, 2023
By Reuters

By John Revill

ZURICH (Reuters) – Switzerland’s two biggest political parties sharply criticized UBS’s takeover of Credit Suisse saying multi-billion state support for the deal created enormous risks for the country.

Swiss authorities announced on Sunday that UBS had agreed to buy rival Swiss bank Credit Suisse in a shotgun merger aimed at containing a crisis of confidence that was spreading through global banking.

Parties across the political spectrum raised concerns about the vast amounts of amounts of money provided through the liquidity injection from the central bank as well as government aid.

Credit Suisse and UBS could benefit from around 260 billion Swiss francs ($280 billion) in state and central bank support, a third of the country’s gross domestic product. The aid comes in the form of 250 billion in liquidity which will be repaid, while the government will absorb up to 9 billion in losses from the deal.

Roger Nordmann, leader of the Social Democrats (SP) in the Swiss lower house of parliament, warned that the support package amounted to an “enormous risk”.

“The new UBS is also another massive risk – it’s going to have more than 1,500 billion francs in assets, and it’s simply too big for Switzerland,” he told Reuters on Monday.

The Social Democrats are the second biggest party in the Swiss parliament and have two ministers in the country’s ruling cabinet.

The criticism ups pressure on the ruling cabinet, which rules by consensus, although it is unlikely to derail the deal.

Nordmann said he was also concerned about job losses, and blamed Credit Suisse’s leadership for the bank’s failure.

“What has happened is terrible for the credibility of Switzerland,” he said. “It’s a warning shot for Switzerland about having banks which are just too big. I’m very concerned about the new UBS.”

Meanwhile the right-wing Swiss People’s Party (SVP) said it was worried about the billions now being deployed to make up for what it called the mistakes of Credit Suisse leadership and the “rip offs” by management.

In a memo seen by Reuters that was sent to staff on Sunday after the deal announcement, Credit Suisse reassured staff that their bonuses would be paid in full.

“Everything must be done to ensure … the Swiss people are not harmed in the rescue,” said the party in a statement.

The party, the biggest in the Swiss parliament and which also has two members of the seven-strong cabinet, demanded clear conditions for the takeover.

“Otherwise UBS will become the next dangerous restructuring case,” the SVP said.

(Additional reporting by Julie Zhu in Hong Kong; editing by John O’Donnell and Christina Fincher)

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March 20, 2023 0 comments
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District Heights Shooting Leaves One Man Dead

by Kristen Harrison-Oneal March 20, 2023
By Kristen Harrison-Oneal

DISTRICT HEIGHTS, MARYLAND – The Prince George’s County Police Department is investigating a man found shot to death early this morning in District Heights.

Officers arrived at the 6200 Block of Alpine Street at approximately 2 am to investigate a report of a shooting. At the location police found a man suffering from multiple gunshot wounds. The victim was pronounced dead at the scene.

The identity of the victim has not been released at this time.

If you have any information about this shooting, please call @PGCrimeSolvers at 1-866-411-TIPS.

March 20, 2023 0 comments
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US and World News

ICC’s Khan says Putin arrest warrant a ‘sombre occasion’

by Reuters March 20, 2023
By Reuters

LONDON (Reuters) -The International Criminal Court (ICC) had to take action against Russian President Vladimir Putin over alleged war crimes but the move was a “sombre” one and not a moment for backslapping, the organisation’s chief prosecutor Karim Khan said on Monday.

Last Friday, the ICC accused Putin of the war crime of illegally deporting hundreds of children from Ukraine. Moscow rejects the charges, calling the move unacceptable and saying it had no legal force in Russia which is not an ICC member.

“It’s a moment … not for triumphalism, not for any backslapping,” Khan told international justice ministers meeting in London to discuss scaling up support for the ICC.

“It is really a very sad occasion and a very sombre occasion, that for the first time ever, judges of the International Criminal Court, of any court, have felt it necessary to issue warrants against a leader and senior state officials from a permanent member of the (U.N.) Security Council.”

Russia has not concealed a programme under which it has brought thousands of Ukrainian children to Russia, but presents it as a humanitarian campaign to protect orphans and children abandoned in the conflict zone.

“I say repatriate the children, return the children, reunite the children,” Khan said. “If there is any semblance of truth to the utterances that this is for the sake of children, instead of giving them a foreign passport, return them to the countries of their nationality.”

Ukraine’s Prosecutor General Andriy Kostin told the meeting his office had launched investigations into more than 72,000 incidents of alleged war crimes and would soon sign an agreement to establish an ICC field office in Ukraine.

“Getting a suspect into the dock of the ICC could be a challenge,” Kostin said. “Therefore now the burden is on states to closely cooperate with the court.”

Chinese President Xi Jinping flew into Moscow on Monday, the first national leader to shake Putin’s hand since the warrant was issued, with Beijing saying the warrant reflected double standards on the ICC’s behalf.

“It’s not ICC on our side or Ukraine’s side … but it’s the rule of law on our side,” Ukraine’s minister of justice Denys Maliuska said.

Britain has pledged 1 million pounds ($1.22 million) to the ICC this year and the justice ministry said other countries were expected to pledge financial support during the conference, which is being co-hosted by Britain and the Netherlands.

The funding will go towards training for investigators to examine alleged war crimes, as well as psychological and practical support for victims, the ministry said.

($1 = 0.8214 pounds)

(Reporting by Alistair Smout, Michael Holden and Kylie MacLellan; Editing by Bernadette Baum)

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Factbox-Insurers press carmakers for more help with EV batteries

by Reuters March 20, 2023
By Reuters

DETROIT (Reuters) – Insurers and industry experts say electric vehicle insurance premiums will keep rising as sales grow unless the car companies make it easier to access battery data and repair packs that are only slightly damaged in collisions.

Many carmakers in turn say their EV battery packs are repairable, though few seem willing to share access to battery data.

Ford Motor Co said it has simplified its battery module repair process and developed an easy way to replace the battery pack tray if the outside is damaged.

General Motors Co said its new Ultium batteries are designed to be repaired at the module level, which is “significantly less expensive than replacing the entire battery pack.” It also allows third-party access to battery data.

Nissan Motor Co said individual modules in its EVs can be replaced. When asked about third-party data access, a spokesman said “Nissan dealers have all the training and special tools required to assure the quality or repair needs of EV batteries.”

Renault said modules in its EVs can be repaired at specially designated “battery centres,” but did not respond to a question about third-party data access.

Stellantis said it does not repair batteries after accidents where the air bags deploy and added it strongly believes in data privacy.

(Reporting by Nick Carey in London and Paul Lienert in Detroit; Editing by Matthew Lewis)

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Scratched EV battery? Your insurer may have to junk the whole car

by Reuters March 20, 2023
By Reuters

By Nick Carey, Paul Lienert and Sarah McFarlane

LONDON/DETROIT (Reuters) -For many electric vehicles, there is no way to repair or assess even slightly damaged battery packs after accidents, forcing insurance companies to write off cars with few miles – leading to higher premiums and undercutting gains from going electric.

And now those battery packs are piling up in scrapyards in some countries, a previously unreported and expensive gap in what was supposed to be a “circular economy.”

“We’re buying electric cars for sustainability reasons,” said Matthew Avery, research director at automotive risk intelligence company Thatcham Research. “But an EV isn’t very sustainable if you’ve got to throw the battery away after a minor collision.”

Battery packs can cost tens of thousands of dollars and represent up to 50% of an EV’s price tag, often making it uneconomical to replace them.

While some automakers like Ford Motor Co and General Motors Co said they have made battery packs easier to repair, Tesla Inc has taken the opposite tack with its Texas-built Model Y, whose new structural battery pack has been described by experts as having “zero repairability.”

Tesla did not respond to a request for comment.

A Reuters search of EV salvage sales in the U.S. and Europe shows a large portion of low-mileage Teslas, but also models from Nissan Motor Co, Hyundai Motor Co, Stellantis, BMW, Renault and others.

EVs constitute only a fraction of vehicles on the road, making industry-wide data hard to come by, but the trend of low-mileage zero-emission cars being written off with minor damage is growing. Tesla’s decision to make battery packs “structural” – part of the car’s body – has allowed it to cut production costs but risks pushing those costs back to consumers and insurers.

Tesla has not referred to any problems with insurers writing off its vehicles. But in January CEO Elon Musk said premiums from third-party insurance companies “in some cases were unreasonably high.”

Unless Tesla and other carmakers produce more easily repairable battery packs and provide third-party access to battery cell data, already-high insurance premiums will keep rising as EV sales grow and more low-mileage cars get scrapped after collisions, insurers and industry experts said.

“The number of cases is going to increase, so the handling of batteries is a crucial point,” said Christoph Lauterwasser, managing director of the Allianz Center for Technology, a research institute owned by Allianz.

Lauterwasser noted EV battery production emits far more CO2 than fossil-fuel models, meaning EVs must be driven for thousands of miles before they offset those extra emissions.

“If you throw away the vehicle at an early stage, you’ve lost pretty much all advantage in terms of CO2 emissions,” he said.

Most carmakers said their battery packs are repairable, though few seem willing to share access to battery data. Insurers, leasing companies and car repair shops are already fighting with carmakers in the EU over access to lucrative connected-car data.

Lauterwasser said access to EV battery data is part of that fight. Allianz has seen scratched battery packs where the cells inside are likely undamaged, but without diagnostic data it has to write off those vehicles.

Ford and GM tout their newer, more repairable packs. But the new, large 4680 cells in the Model Y made at Tesla’s Austin, Texas, plant, are glued into a pack that forms part of the car’s structure and cannot be easily removed or replaced, experts said.

In January, Tesla’s Musk said the carmaker has been making design and software changes to its vehicles to lower repair costs and insurance premiums.

The company also offers its own insurance product in a dozen U.S. states to Tesla owners at lower rates.

Insurers and industry experts also note that EVs, because they are loaded with all the latest safety features, so far have had fewer accidents than traditional cars.

‘STRAIGHT TO THE GRINDER’

Sandy Munro, head of Michigan-based Munro & Associates, which tears down vehicles and advises automakers on how to improve them, said the Model Y battery pack has “zero repairability.”

“A Tesla structural battery pack is going straight to the grinder,” Munro said.

EV battery problems also expose a hole in the green “circular economy” touted by carmakers.

At Synetiq, the UK’s largest salvage company, head of operations Michael Hill said over the last 12 months the number of EVs in the isolation bay – where they must be checked to avoid fire risk – at the firm’s Doncaster yard has soared, from perhaps a dozen every three days to up to 20 per day.

“We’ve seen a really big shift and it’s across all manufacturers,” Hill said.

The UK currently has no EV battery recycling facilities, so Synetiq has to remove the batteries from written-off cars and store them in containers. Hill estimated at least 95% of the cells in the hundreds of EV battery packs – and thousands of hybrid battery packs – Synetiq has stored at Doncaster are undamaged and should be reused.

It already costs more to insure most EVs than traditional cars.

According to online brokerage Policygenius, the average U.S. monthly EV insurance payment in 2023 is $206, 27% more than for a combustion-engine model.

According to Bankrate, an online publisher of financial content, U.S. insurers know that “if even a minor accident results in damage to the battery pack … the cost to replace this key component may exceed $15,000.”

A replacement battery for a Tesla Model 3 can cost up to $20,000, for a vehicle that retails at around $43,000 but depreciates quickly over time.

Andy Keane, UK commercial motor product manager at French insurer AXA, said expensive replacement batteries “may sometimes make replacing a battery unfeasible.”

There are a growing number of repair shops specializing in repairing EVs and replacing batteries. In Phoenix, Arizona, Gruber Motor Co has mostly focused on replacing batteries in older Tesla models.

But insurers cannot access Tesla’s battery data, so they have taken a cautious approach, owner Peter Gruber said.

“An insurance company is not going to take that risk because they’re facing a lawsuit later on if something happens with that vehicle and they did not total it,” he said.

‘PAIN POINTS’

The British government is funding research into EV insurance “pain points” led by Thatcham, Synetiq and insurer LV=.

Recently adopted EU battery regulations do not specifically address battery repairs, but they did ask the European Commission to encourage standards to “facilitate maintenance, repair and repurposing,” a commission source said.

Insurers said they know how to fix the problem – make batteries in smaller sections, or modules, that are simpler to fix, and open diagnostics data to third parties to determine battery cell health.

Individual U.S. insurers declined to comment.

But Tony Cotto, director of auto and underwriting policy at the National Association of Mutual Insurance Companies, said “consumer access to vehicle-generated data will further enhance driver safety and policyholders’ satisfaction … by facilitating the entire repair process.”

Lack of access to critical diagnostic data was raised in mid-March in a class action filed against Tesla in U.S. District Court in California. 

Insurers said failure to act will cost consumers.

EV battery damage makes up just a few percent of Allianz’s motor insurance claims, but 8% of claims costs in Germany, Lauterwasser said. Germany’s insurers pool data on vehicle claims data and adjust premium rates annually.

“If the cost for a certain model gets higher it will raise premium levels because the rating goes up,” Lauterwasser said.

(Reporting by Nick Carey and Sarah McFarlane in London, Paul Lienert in Detroit, Gilles Guillaume in Paris and Giulio Piovaccari in MilanAdditional reporting by Victoria Waldersee in BerlinEditing by Ben Klayman and Matthew Lewis)

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Did SVB break the Fed? Officials mull risks of more rate increases

by Reuters March 20, 2023
By Reuters

By Howard Schneider

WASHINGTON (Reuters) – At an early January meeting of the Virginia Bankers Association, executives were already nervous that Federal Reserve interest rate increases were making it hard to compete for deposits. 

“Everywhere I go in the industry people are feeling that kind of pressure,” the featured speaker of the day, Richmond Fed President Thomas Barkin, said in response to a question from the audience. The influence of Fed rate hikes “is going to hit…That is how it is designed.”

When Fed officials meet this week the suddenly urgent question is whether the level of pressure on the banking industry has become so great it risks a larger financial crisis – the sort of event associated with deep and hard-to-arrest economic downturns – and warrants a slowdown or pause to further rate increases.

The Fed and global central banks, after a tense 10 days with banks teetering in the U.S. and Europe, launched a second round of weekend efforts to buttress the system by expanding the Fed’s ability to ship dollars where needed. Separately a deal was struck for UBS to acquire the troubled Credit Suisse in a takeover reminiscent of the global financial crisis 15 years ago.

After the announcement Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen and Fed Chair Jerome Powell issued their second Sunday afternoon statement of reassurance in as many weeks, saying as Asian markets prepared to open for the week that “the capital and liquidity positions of the U.S. banking system are strong, and the U.S. financial system is resilient.”

The issue for Powell and his colleagues is whether the calming words and a bank lending new program are enough to stem broader problems and allow them to proceed with what has been their priority to now: Combating inflation with the ever-higher interest rates now bedeviling the banking system.

If banking stress was to some degree hiding in plain sight, with deposits falling since the middle of last year and some common bank assets losing value as interest rates rose, the flashpoint was not hit until March 10 when the failure of the Silicon Valley Bank triggered doubts about the health of a swath of mid-sized banks and raised concerns of an old-fashioned deposit run.

Economists and investors so far expect the Fed to proceed with another quarter point interest rate increase at its March 21-22 meeting, but only because inflation poses such a persistent risk policymakers won’t want to divert from efforts to control it. The financial system, meanwhile, has been thrown extra support under a new Fed lending program for banks, while its traditional lender-of-last-resort cash window was tapped for a record $150 billion.

Graphic: Bank deposits turn lower – https://www.reuters.com/graphics/USA-FED/BANKS/zdvxdqrjbvx/chart_eikon.jpg

Fed officials gather this week having agreed bank stress poses a “systemic risk” to the economy, and “in any other hiking cycle this…would end the tightening process and perhaps send it into reverse,” said Ed Al-Hussainy, senior rates analyst at Columbia Threadneedle Investments. “The difference today is the Fed’s focus on inflation.”

In a recent Reuters poll 76 of 82 economists said they expect the Fed to approve a quarter point rate increase at this week’s meeting, lifting the target federal funds rate to a range between 4.75% and 5%. A similarly strong majority expect a further increase at a future Fed session.

The Fed’s policy statement will be released Wednesday at 2 p.m. (1800 GMT) along with closely watched projections from officials for the policy rate at year’s end, perhaps the best clue to how recent financial stress has reshaped the Fed’s outlook.

As of December officials expected the policy rate would rise to around 5.1% by year’s end.

Graphic: Fed view of 2023 policy rate Fed view of 2023 policy rate – https://www.reuters.com/graphics/USA-FED/INFLATION/zdvxdxmywvx/chart.png

HISTORY LESSON

Worried about losing control over inflation that hit a 40-year-high 9.1% in June, the Fed over the past 12 months increased rates at the fastest pace since former Fed Chair Paul Volcker faced an even worse outbreak of hot prices.

The experience of 1970s-era central bankers informed not only the extent of the rate increases, with the policy rate rising 4.5 percentage points from near zero as of last March. Powell and his colleagues also insisted the lesson from decades ago was that rates needed to rise to a restrictive level then stay there until inflation was defeated — not “stop and go” in a pattern of hikes and cuts they felt would not achieve price stability.

To many officials, the fact that inflation has been slow to respond to higher rates, while the economy has continued to grow and spin out hundreds of thousands of new jobs a month, was evidence rates needed to move higher still. Because nothing had “broken” in the economy, further rate increases were seen as cost-free.

On March 10 something broke, symbolically in the failure of the country’s 16th largest bank, but more broadly in the perception that the system might not be as stable as Fed officials have felt in the years since regulatory reforms forced financial firms to better buffer themselves.

None of those reforms prevented SVB from funneling its rapidly growing deposits into long-term government bonds that lost value as the Fed raised rates. That left the firm potentially short of the cash needed when depositors began to demand withdrawals — a dynamic the Fed worried could spread to other banks facing similar constraints.

For Fed policymakers the episode raises the possibility that they have repeated a mistake they had sworn to avoid and gone too far in raising rates.

The Fed’s recent policy statements have said that rate decisions would take into account “the lags with which monetary policy affects economic activity and inflation,” but until now respect for the delayed impact of past rate hikes has done little to change the Fed’s course.

Economists last week began marking down their growth forecasts anticipating that banking stress means a credit contraction lies ahead, with less money in the pockets of homeowners and businesses. To a degree that is what the Fed wants when it tightens monetary policy, as long as the drop in lending is orderly and doesn’t go too far.

“We expect that stress on smaller banks could result in a tightening of lending standards, exerting an incremental growth drag” on gross domestic product of as much as a half point, Goldman Sachs analysts wrote last week, among the few outside forecasters to say they expect the Fed to pause its rate hikes to take stock.

Markets are hardly settled. Even with a separate intervention by bank industry giants to shore up the books of the First Republic Bank, shares of the lender plummeted Friday amid broader stock market losses. The Fed has announced a review of its supervision at SVB to see if warning signs were missed.

Still, for the Fed “to pause here would provide no relief to the idiosyncratic issues for banks, and the Fed would risk losing all of the hard-fought progress made” in defending its 2% inflation goal, wrote Jefferies analyst Tom Simons. “The optics of a pause remains unacceptably high.”

(Reporting by Howard Schneider; Editing by Andrea Ricci and Dan Burns)

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Gold flirts with record highs after topping $2,000 an ounce

by Reuters March 20, 2023
By Reuters

By Peter Hobson

LONDON (Reuters) – Gold traded at record highs in some currencies on Monday and neared all-time peaks in U.S. dollar terms after banking sector turmoil sent prices of the safe haven asset rocketing 10% in a matter of days.

Banking stocks and bonds continued to plummet on worries that more problems may emerge after several U.S. banks and Switzerland’s Credit Suisse collapsed or required rescue.

In U.S. dollars, gold shot as high as $2,009.59 from $1,815 on March 9 and was within sight of its 2020 peak of $2,072.50.

Graphic: Gold surges on banking turmoil https://fingfx.thomsonreuters.com/gfx/mkt/zgvobaknxpd/Peter%20-%20Gold%20surges%20on%20banking%20turmoil.JPG

In other currencies, records had already fallen. Gold rose above 3,000 Australian dollars and 165,000 Indian rupees for the first time and traded around 1,880 euros, just 20 euros shy of its euro record.

“It’s all about risk hedging,” said StoneX analyst Rhona O’Connell.

“A Swiss bank is supposed to be the be all and end all of safe havens,” she said. “If something else happens in the banking sector, you can expect gold to go higher.”

Gold had fallen back to around $1,980 an ounce by 1230 GMT, with technical indicators suggesting that the rally may have gone too far too fast.

All eyes were on a U.S. Federal Reserve meeting on Wednesday.

Rising U.S. interest rates had put pressure on gold by increasing returns on competing assets like bonds but investors now believe the Fed must slow or stop its tightening to ease pressure on banks, despite inflation remaining high.

Graphic: Yield plunge boosts gold https://fingfx.thomsonreuters.com/gfx/mkt/dwpkdkekavm/Peter%20-%20Yield%20plunge%20boosts%20gold.JPG

“Its ALL about the Fed,” MKS PAMP strategist Nicky Shiels wrote in a research note, predicting rates would remain unchanged on Wednesday.

The failure of Silicon Valley Bank this month was “a gamechanger” for gold, she said. “The Fed will have to choose between higher inflation OR a recession/financial instability and either outcome is bullish for gold, which puts all time highs in play.”

Some investors may sell gold to take profit in the short term but bullion’s upward trend should continue, said Saxo Bank analyst Ole Hansen.

“Peak rates have on three previous occasions during the past 20 years triggered a prolonged period of gold strength. Given the current situation a repeat cannot be ruled out.”

(Reporting by Peter Hobson; editing by Jason Neely)

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Singapore to tighten shoe recycling controls after Reuters report

by Reuters March 20, 2023
By Reuters

SINGAPORE (Reuters) – A Singapore shoe recycling project will be subject to surprise inspections following a Reuters investigation that found footwear it donated to the scheme was not recycled, Singapore’s minister of culture said on Monday.

U.S. petrochemicals giant Dow Inc and Sport Singapore, a government agency, had pledged that the shoes would be ground down to make playgrounds and running tracks.

The investigation, using location trackers hidden inside the soles of shoes, found sneakers donated by Reuters in Singapore had instead been exported to Indonesia for resale.

That also contravened a 2015 ban by Indonesia on such practices which was put in place for hygiene purposes and to protect its local textile industry.

Presented with Reuters findings, Dow and Sport Singapore opened an investigation and later terminated the contract of Yok Impex, a local textile exporter that was subcontracted to collect shoes from donation bins.

They issued a statement after the publication of the Feb. 25 story apologising to the public for a “lapse” in its recycling supply chain.

“What resulted, as far as we can tell, from the investigation … came from a lax system,” Minister for Culture, Community and Youth Edwin Tong said, responding to questions in parliament.

He added that in addition to unannounced inspections for contractors hired to collect the shoes, companies that export textiles or footwear will not be employed again.

“The project partners have taken steps to tighten the process chain,” Tong said, adding that learning points would be shared with other recycling projects in Singapore.

Indonesia also said this month it would tighten customs checks at small ports to crack down on the illegal import of second-hand shoes as a result of Reuters’ findings.

(Reporting by Joe Brock; Editing by Edwina Gibbs)

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Pinduoduo owner’s revenue falls short on weak China consumer spending

by Reuters March 20, 2023
By Reuters

By Chavi Mehta and Casey Hall

(Reuters) -PDD Holdings Inc, which owns discount e-commerce platforms Pinduoduo and Temu, missed expectations on Monday for fourth-quarter revenue as China’s post-reopening consumer recovery remains patchy.

U.S.-listed shares of PDD Holdings fell as much as 13.9% in premarket trading.

PDD reported revenue of 39.82 billion yuan ($5.79 billion) for the quarter ended Dec. 31, up 46% year-on-year, but this fell short of estimates for 41.01 billion yuan, based on Refinitiv data.

The group had reported 65% revenue growth in its third- quarter earnings last November.

PDD’s fourth quarter included only the first few weeks of China’s reopening from its strict zero-COVID rules in December.

The company’s revenue growth compares with single-digit gains reported by Chinese competitors Alibaba and JD.com for the same period, leading Bo Pei, an analyst at US Tiger Securities, to note that “investors do seem to be a bit overreacting to the miss.”

PDD Holdings Chairman and Chief Executive Chen Lei told analysts on a call following the earnings announcement there was “strong resilience” in China’s consumption market in the quarter.

“Sales volumes of daily essential products on the platform showed steady growth, meanwhile consumer demand for high quality merchandise is growing, categories like mobile phones, beauty and cosmetics and baby products all had decent growth,” he said.

JD.com warned in March that consumer confidence in China would take time to rebuild amid economic uncertainties.

China’s total retail sales contracted 1.8% in December, while the country’s economic growth in 2022 slumped to one of its worst levels in half a century.

Discounting campaigns by rivals have also intensified competition for PDD, which has gained market share since it first came on the scene in 2015 by targeting price conscious consumers with discounted goods.

“We believe that healthy competition is beneficial to consumers and the entire industry but when competition intensifies, sometimes peers react [by going] in a different direction,” Chen said in an apparent nod to increased discounting in the market.

“We need to focus on our own healthy development and embrace industry competition even when sometimes it involves unsustainable practices from peers,” he added.

PDD’s fast-growing international platform Temu, which was launched in September to U.S. shoppers, sells a variety of goods, from shoes, jewellery, electronics and homewares directly from Chinese merchants.

Temu’s gross merchandise value – the total sales before expenses – increased to $192 million in January from $3 million in September, based on analysis from data company YipitData.

Temu’s 2023 expansion will include rollouts in Canada, Australia, New Zealand and the UK.

“Different markets and different regions have many differences and we still have a lot to learn and a lot to improve,” Chen said. ​

($1 = 6.8799 Chinese yuan renminbi)

(Reporting by Chavi Mehta in Bengaluru and Casey Hall in Shanghai; Editing by Shinjini Ganguli, Jane Merriman and Susan Fenton)

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Japan plans $75 billion investment across Indo-Pacific to counter China

by Reuters March 20, 2023
By Reuters

By Sakura Murakami and Krishn Kaushik

TOKYO/NEW DELHI (Reuters) – Japan’s Prime Minister Fumio Kishida on Monday announced a new plan to promote an open and free Indo-Pacific, promising billions of dollars in investment to help economies across the region in everything from industry to disaster prevention.

The plan he announced in New Delhi is seen as Tokyo’s bid to forge stronger ties with countries in South and Southeast Asia to counter China’s growing assertiveness there.

Kishida also said Japan wanted Russia’s invasion of Ukraine to end as soon as possible and called on the “Global South”, a broad term referring to countries in Africa, Asia, Oceania and Latin America, to “show solidarity” after his talks with Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi.

Kishida said there were four “pillars” to Japan’s new Indo-Pacific plan: maintaining peace, dealing with new global issues in cooperation with Indo-Pacific countries, achieving global connectivity through various platforms, and ensuring the safety of the open seas and skies.

Japan pledged $75 billion to the region by 2030 via private investment and yen loans and by ramping up aid through official governmental assistance and grants.

“We plan to expand the cooperation of the free and open Indo-Pacific framework,” Kishida told the Indian Council of World Affairs.

He emphasised the increasing connectivity among countries and promoting freedom of navigation, with an eye on increasing maritime defence and security among like-minded countries.

China has ramped up its military presence in the Indo-Pacific and rapidly modernised its navy while promoting its Belt and Road Initiative.

“The kind of connectivity where you only rely on one country breeds political vulnerability,” Kishida said.

“We aim to increase the number of options each country has so that they can overcome these vulnerabilities and achieve further economic growth through connectivity,” he added.

NAVAL DRILLS

“We will conduct joint maritime exercises with India and the United States, as well as goodwill exercises with ASEAN and the Pacific Islands,” Kishida said.

Japan, India, Australia and the United States are members of the so-called Quad grouping, created to balance China’s growing dominance. The four are will participate in the annual naval wargaming exercise Malabar to be held in Australia this year.

India and Japan have deepened their ties in defence and strategic affairs in the face of a dominant China.

“India is an essential partner when it comes to realising our free and open Indo-Pacific vision,” Kishida later told reporters when asked why he chose New Delhi to announce his plan.

Modi said strengthening the India-Japan “partnership is not only important for both our countries, it also promotes peace, prosperity and stability in the Indo-Pacific region”.

The two have different stances on the war in Ukraine, however.

“We want to stop the invasion by Russia as soon as possible. In order for that to happen, it’s important for the international community, including the so-called Global South, to show solidarity,” Kishida said when asked about his discussions with Modi.

Japan has imposed sanctions on Russia, as have many other nations.

India has not, and it has refused to blame Moscow for the conflict and has ramped up its buying of Russian oil.

“Giving voice to the priorities of the Global South is an important pillar of our G20 presidency,” Modi said after his talks with Kishida.

(Reporting by Sakura Murakami in TOKYO and Krishn Kaushik in NEW DELHI; Writing by Y.P. Rajesh; Editing by Hugh Lawson)

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Indonesia sets aside $455 million to subsidise electric motorcycle sales

by Reuters March 20, 2023
By Reuters

JAKARTA (Reuters) – Indonesia will allocate 7 trillion rupiah ($455.88 million) in state funds to subsidise electric motorcycle sales through 2024, officials said on Monday, as it pushes mass adoption of EVs with the aim of attracting investment in the domestic industry.

The government will also announce incentives for electric cars on April 1, said senior cabinet minister Luhut Pandjaitan said.

Finance Minister Sri Mulyani Indrawati said the subsidies will cover sales of 800,000 new electric motorcycles and the conversion of 200,000 combustion engine motorcycles.

“We are launching this programme so that massive adoption of battery electric vehicle can be achieved soon, and the Indonesian transportation industry can be transformed to a greener industry,” Luhut said at a news conference.

Vehicles eligible for the subsidy have to meet minimum local content requirements, he said.

There were nearly 32,000 electric motorcycles on Indonesia’s roads as of October last year, according to media reports citing data from the Association of the Indonesian Motorcycle Industry.

The government hopes that adding another 1 million by 2024 will help reduce fossil fuel consumption and develop EV production facilities to take advantage of the country’s rich nickel reserves, an important material to produce batteries.

($1 = 15,355.0000 rupiah)

(Reporting by Dewi Kurniawati, Ananda Teresia; Writing by Bernadette Christina; Editing by Kanupriya Kapoor)

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Switzerland puts up 260 billion francs for Credit Suisse rescue

by Reuters March 20, 2023
By Reuters

By John Revill

ZURICH (Reuters) -Credit Suisse and UBS could benefit from more than 260 billion Swiss francs ($280 billion) in state and central bank support, a third of the country’s gross domestic product, as part of their merger to buffer Switzerland against global financial turmoil, documents outlining the deal show.

Swiss authorities announced on Sunday that UBS had agreed to buy rival Swiss bank Credit Suisse in a shotgun merger aimed at avoiding more market-shaking turmoil in global banking.

UBS said it will pay $3.2 billion for the 167-year-old flagship while the government said UBS would also take on the first $5.4 billion in losses from unwinding derivatives and other risky assets.

The deal, however, involves a large amount of public support, with three tranches of liquidity and loans, as well as a pledge from the Swiss government to absorb up to 9 billion francs in potential losses from the takeover.

The total of 259 billion francs of support is equivalent to a third of Switzerland’s entire economic output, which stood at 771 billion francs last year.

“The government’s going to have to say to voters why they are putting citizens’ money, taxpayer money at risk to bail out a bank that was predominantly servicing the ultra wealthy, doing some pretty extraordinary things with its investment bank and paying people crazy amounts of money relative to what the man in the street gets paid,” one former global bank CEO, who did not wish to be identified, told Reuters.

In a memo seen by Reuters that was sent to staff on Sunday after the deal announcement, Credit Suisse reassured staff that their bonuses would be paid in full.

Public support for the bank comes in three ways.

Credit Suisse had already been drawing on the Swiss National Bank’s (SNB) emergency liquidity assistance scheme.

Credit Suisse said last Wednesday it would take 50 billion francs from the scheme, which provides funding secured against collateral such as mortgages and securities. As long as the bank has more collateral, it can draw down further such funding.

Central bank data on Monday indicated that Credit Suisse was likely already accessing the fund.

On top of this, the Swiss National Bank offered the combined bank an emergency liquidity loan of up to 100 billion Swiss francs. That loan is protected in the event of a default.

The third tranche of support allows Credit Suisse to draw on a further 100 billion francs of funding via a public liquidity backstop, which is explicitly guaranteed by the Swiss government.

The SNB declined to comment about whether Credit Suisse or UBS had made use of the money on offer.

Credit Suisse has been the biggest name ensnared in global market turmoil unleashed by the recent collapse of U.S. lenders Silicon Valley Bank and Signature Bank.

UBS and Credit Suisse were both in a group of the 30 global systemically important banks watched closely by regulators. A failure by Credit Suisse failure would ripple throughout the entire financial system, the Swiss government said late on Sunday.

“The bankruptcy of Credit Suisse would have had a huge collateral damage – on the Swiss financial market also, risk of contagion for UBS and other banks, and also internationally,” Swiss Finance Minister Karin Keller-Sutter told a press conference.

($1 = 0.9278 Swiss francs)

(Reporting by John Revill; Additional reporting by Sinead Cruise in London; editing by John O’Donnell and Susan Fenton)

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Thailand dissolves parliament for crunch election in May

by Reuters March 20, 2023
By Reuters

By Panarat Thepgumpanat and Chayut Setboonsarng

BANGKOK (Reuters) – Thailand dissolved its parliament on Monday to clear the way for an election in May, a vote set to reignite a long-running power struggle between a military-backed establishment and a political movement that has dominated elections for two decades.

King Maha Vajiralongkorn endorsed a decree to dissolve parliament, according to an announcement in the Royal Gazette on Monday, ahead of an election that must be held within 45 to 60 days.

No date has been announced, but two sources with knowledge of the matter earlier on Monday told Reuters the vote would be on May 14.

“This is a return of political decision-making power to the people swiftly to continue democratic government with the King as head of state,” said the decree published on Monday.

The election broadly pits the billionaire Shinawatra family and its business allies against parties and politicians close to their rivals among the royalist military and old money conservatives.

With populist policies aimed at Thailand’s working classes, parties controlled by the Shinawatras have won every election since 2001, including twice in landslides, but three of its governments were removed in military coups or by court rulings.

The May election will choose members of parliament, which together with an appointed Senate will choose a prime minister by the end of July, according to a timeline provided by the government.

The main opposition Pheu Thai party’s Paetongtarn Shinawatra is the frontrunner to be prime minister in opinion surveys, with her support jumping 10 points to 38.2% in a poll released at the weekend, more than twice the backing of her nearest contender.

Incumbent Prayuth Chan-ocha, who has been in power since his coup in 2014 against Paetongtarn’s aunt, Yingluck Shinawatra, has been trailing in polls and was third in the latest survey by the National Institute of Development Administration (NIDA).

Prayuth, 68, will continue to lead as head of a caretaker government and is expected to run again.

“I’m glad I’ve built something good, generated revenue for the country, built industry. There has been a lot of investment,” Prayuth said.

“You have to ask the people if they are satisfied or not … I have done a lot in the many years that have passed.”  

The NIDA poll of 2,000 people also showed that 50% of respondents would choose candidates from Pheu Thai.

Srettha Thavisin, a property tycoon and senior Pheu Thai adviser who has been campaigning alongside Paetongtarn, said parliament’s dissolution was a “turning point” for Thailand.

“I would like to invite everyone to study policies, positions and ideologies of all parties to find the one for you that will make the country of your dreams come true, to move the nation forward and improve lives,” he said on Twitter.

Paetongtarn on Friday said she was confident of winning by a landslide, with the aim of averting any political manoeuvring against her party.

(Reporting by Chayut Setboonsarng, Panarat Thepgumpanat and Orathai Sriring; Writing by Chayut Senboonsarng and Martin Petty; Editing by Kanupriya Kapoor)

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US and World News

Top U.S. State Dept diplomat for Europe to step down to focus on family

by Reuters March 20, 2023
By Reuters

By Humeyra Pamuk

WASHINGTON (Reuters) – The top U.S. diplomat to Europe Karen Donfried will step down to focus on her family, a State Department spokesperson said on Monday, leaving an important post empty as Washington works to keep its allies focused on supporting Ukraine’s war effort.

The 18-month tenure of Assistant Secretary Donfried, who assumed the role in September 2021, has been marked by the biggest conflict in Europe since the World War Two and the U.S. push to form and solidify a unified Western position against Russia.

She has been among U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken’s key aides, traveling frequently to Europe to meet with U.S. partners as President Joe Biden sought to repair and re-energize transatlantic ties damaged by the unilateral approach of former president Donald Trump’s administration.

In one of her last high-level meetings at the State Department, she confronted Russia’s top diplomat in Washington, when he was summoned last Tuesday following the crash of a U.S. drone over the Black Sea after being intercepted by Russian jets.

The incident, the first known direct confrontation between Washington and Moscow since the invasion of Ukraine, has further damaged already tense ties between the two former Cold War foes.

She was set to leave her post at the end of March, the Department spokesperson said. No decision has been made yet on her successor to oversee the Bureau of Europe and Eurasian Affairs which covers 50 countries that stretch from the United Kingdom to Azerbaijan.

“Karen has deftly managed our relationships with many of our most important allies and partners at a time when Kremlin aggression threatened decades of peace and prosperity,” Blinken said in a statement seen by Reuters ahead of publication.

“Her policy acumen, integrity, and drive defined her leadership as Assistant Secretary and represent the highest values of public service,” Blinken added.

The soft-spoken foreign policy expert turned diplomat was among the last senior U.S. officials to have gone to Moscow before Russia invaded Ukraine on Feb. 24, 2022. She also accompanied Blinken to Kyiv in a September trip after the war began.

During her trip to Russia in December 2021, she met senior Russian officials including Deputy Foreign Minister Sergey Ryabkov and raised U.S. concerns about Russia’s military build up near Ukraine.

Since the war began, dialogue with Moscow has been infrequent, with spy chiefs and diplomats having occasional conversations in third countries and sometimes on the sidelines of international summits.

The United States attributed Tuesday’s drone incident to increasingly aggressive behavior by Russia, while Moscow denied there was any collision and warned Washington to keep away from its air space.

Moscow said the flying of the drone was evidence that the United States was directly participating in the Ukraine war, something the West has taken pains to avoid.

Donfried previously worked in the Obama administration as senior director for Europe at the National Security Council and earlier in the administration of George W. Bush as a member of the State Department’s policy planning team, responsible for big-picture strategy formulation.

Prior to joining the Biden administration, she served as the first female president of the policy organization the German Marshall Fund.

(Reporting by Humeyra Pamuk; Editing by David Gregorio; Editing by Don Durfee)

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Russia defies Putin arrest warrant by opening its own case against ICC

by Reuters March 20, 2023
By Reuters

By Mark Trevelyan

(Reuters) -Russia’s top investigative body said on Monday it had opened a criminal case against the International Criminal Court prosecutor and judges who issued an arrest warrant for President Vladimir Putin on war crimes charges.

The move was a symbolic gesture of defiance, three days after the ICC accused Putin and his children’s commissioner Maria Lvova-Belova of the war crime of deporting children from Ukraine to Russia.

The state Investigative Committee said there were no grounds for criminal liability on Putin’s part, and heads of state enjoyed absolute immunity under a 1973 U.N. convention.

The ICC prosecutor’s actions showed signs of being crimes under Russian law, the committee said, including knowingly accusing an innocent person of a crime.

The prosecutor and judges were also suspected of “preparing an attack on a representative of a foreign state enjoying international protection, in order to complicate international relations”.

The Kremlin has called the issuing of the warrant outrageous but legally void, as Russia is not a signatory to the treaty that created the ICC. On Monday it said the court’s move was a sign of the “clear hostility” that exists against Russia and against Putin personally.

The ICC officials targeted in the Russian investigation are prosecutor Karim Khan and judges Tomoko Akane, Rosario Salvatore Aitala and Sergio Gerardo Ugalde Godinez.

“The criminal prosecution is obviously illegal, since there are no grounds for criminal liability,” the Russian statement said.

The ICC’s move obliges the court’s 123 member states to arrest Putin and transfer him to The Hague for trial if he sets foot on their territory.

Putin is unlikely to take that risk and Russia does not extradite its citizens, but the rare move against a serving president was an important symbolic step to pin responsibility on him for the consequences of his invasion of Ukraine.

Ukraine says more than 16,000 children have been illegally transferred to Russia or Russian-occupied territories since the war started nearly 13 months ago.

Russia has publicly said it has brought thousands of Ukrainian children to Russia in what it presents as a humanitarian campaign to protect orphans and abandoned children in the conflict zone.

(Reporting by Reuters; writing by Mark Trevelyan; editing by Guy Faulconbridge)

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Business News

Analysis-UBS swallows doomed Credit Suisse, casting shadow over Switzerland

by Reuters March 20, 2023
By Reuters

By John O’Donnell and Stefania Spezzati

LONDON (Reuters) -UBS Group has emerged as Switzerland’s one and only global bank with a state-backed rescue of its smaller peer Credit Suisse, a risky bet that makes the Swiss economy more dependent on a single lender.

The move announced late on Sunday in Zurich capped a race against time by regulators to avert a meltdown. Switzerland is pledging roughly 260 billion francs($170 billion) in loans and guarantees to underpin the new group, guarding against further risks undermining the lender.

The transaction – the first rescue of a global bank since the financial crisis of 2008 – grants enormous clout to UBS, ridding it of its main rival. It will change the landscape of banking in Switzerland, where branches of Credit Suisse and UBS are dotted everywhere, sometimes just metres apart.

The banks, two of the most systemically relevant in global finance, hold combined assets of up to 140% of Swiss gross domestic product in a country heavily dependent on finance for its economy.

Following the 2008 financial crash, politicians pledged never to bail out banks again. The Credit Suisse rescue, orchestrated with public money, shows banks’ continued vulnerability and how their problems can quickly rebound on their home country.

Rescuing Credit Suisse alone came with a price tag of roughly 260 billion francs of publicly backed loans and guarantees – a third of the Alpine state’s economic output.

“The terms of the takeover are very much in UBS’s favour,” said Tobias Straumann of the University of Zurich. “They were in a strong negotiating position because they didn’t want the deal.”

“Under normal circumstances, I would say it is an absolutely fantastic deal for UBS,” said Johann Scholtz, an analyst at Morningstar.

REVERSAL OF FORTUNES

Soon after the announcement, central banks including the U.S. Federal Reserve, the European Central Bank and the Bank of Japan said they would enhance dollar swap lines, helping calm investors rattled by turmoil in the banking sector.

The failure of two U.S. banks and a rout in Credit Suisse shares have sent shock waves through markets over the past week.

UBS will pay $3.2 billion for 167-year-old Credit Suisse and assume at least $5.4 billion in losses from unwinding its portfolio of derivatives and other risky assets. Credit Suisse had a market value of about $8 billion at the close on Friday.

Holders of Credit Suisse’s Additional Tier 1 bonds will get wiped out.

The deal marks a twist of fate for the banks. During the great financial crash, it was UBS and not Credit Suisse that needed state support. 

The banks’ fortunes have diverged sharply over the past year. UBS earned $7.6 billion in profit in 2022, while Credit Suisse lost $7.9 billion. Credit Suisse’s shares were down 74% from a year ago, while UBS’s are relatively flat.

UBS becomes the undisputed global leader in managing money for the wealthy, with UBS’s leading position in China now complemented by Credit Suisse’s strength in the rest of Asia, the fastest growing region.

UBS also gets to keep the jewel in Credit Suisse’s crown, the domestic bank.

“In the past, when a deal between Credit Suisse and UBS was discussed, a sticking point would be concentration, especially in the domestic market,” said Morningstar’s Scholtz. “It is also the most stable part of the business, that generates quite a lot of cash.”

UBS is also taking out a big competitor in securities trading. UBS earned $7.1 billion in revenue from buying and selling stocks, currencies and bonds. Credit Suisse posted about$3.2 billion last year.

STILL SWISS Credit Suisse’s demise has been a blow to Switzerland’s reputation for banking and sent shockwaves through global finance.

At a news conference announcing the deal, finance minister Karin Keller-Sutter defended the rescue, saying it was good for Credit Suisse account holders, including her. She said she also banked with UBS. That choice of banks will soon end.

“This solution has risks,” she conceded, playing down any concerns about the size of the new bank, arguing that any alternative to resolve Credit Suisse’s problems risked “irreparable economic turmoil”.

Seated to her right, UBS Chair Colm Kelleher said the new group would be trimmed of risks, such as investment banking, to fit UBS’s conservative culture.

“A new UBS will remain rock solid,” he said.

Credit Suisse Chair Axel Lehmann, in contrast, was downcast as his bank proved unable to bounce back from a series of scandals and losses.

Late last year, speculation that the bank would go bust drove clients to pull out tens of billions, sealing its fate.

He described Sunday as a “historic, sad day”.

Employees at the headquarters in Zurich are bracing for massive job cuts, with 10,000 positions potentially on the line, sources told Reuters on Saturday.

Still, it won’t be all plain sailing for UBS.

The bank faces risks to complete the deal, potential litigation charges, and regulators may ask the lender to hold more capital in the future, said analysts at Jefferies.

Crucially, management will be distracted by this deal for many months, maybe years, they said.

“We will change, but we will not change that much,” said UBS Chief Executive Officer Ralph Hamers, who will lead the new banking behemoth. “We will still be Swiss.”

($1 = 0.9268 Swiss francs)

(Reporting by John O’Donnell and Stefania Spezzati; Additional reporting by John Revill, Carolina Mandl, Chiara Elisei, Lananh Nguyen, Saeed Azhar and Tom Sims; Writing by Elisa Martinuzzi)

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