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Business News

Advent to buy Maxar Technologies for about $4 billion – WSJ

by Reuters December 16, 2022
By Reuters

(Reuters) – Advent International has agreed to buy Maxar Technologies Inc in a deal that values the satellite owner and operator at about $4 billion, the Wall Street Journal reported on Friday, citing executives at the private-equity firm.

Shares of Maxar more than doubled in premarket trading on Friday.

Advent will pay $53 a share for Maxar, the WSJ report said, adding that including debt, the transaction is worth $6.4 billion, making it one of the bigger buyouts to be announced during the past few months.

The debt for the transaction will be supplied by a group of non-bank lenders, according to the report.

Maxar and Advent did not immediately respond to Reuters request for comment.

Westminster, Colorado-based Maxar, which has a market cap of $1.72 billion, is a satellite imaging company that observes changes on Earth and analyses data. Images of the battlefield in Ukraine are often provided by Maxar.

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(Reporting by Tiyashi Datta in Bengaluru; Editing by Sherry Jacob-Phillips)

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Germany on Twitter suspensions: ‘We have a problem, @Twitter’

by Reuters December 16, 2022
By Reuters

By Thomas Escritt

BERLIN (Reuters) -The German Foreign Office tweeted screenshots on Friday of the accounts of journalists suspended by Twitter, warning the platform that the ministry had a problem with moves that jeapordised press freedom.

Twitter suspended the accounts of several prominent journalists who had posted about its new owner Elon Musk, prompting protests from their media organisations.

“Press freedom cannot be switched on and off on a whim,” the ministry wrote on its official Twitter account. “The journalists below can no longer follow us, comment and criticise. We have a problem with that, @Twitter.”

Twitter did not immediately respond to a request for comment.

German regulators are already pushing government institutions to stop posting announcements exclusively to privately-held platforms, touting alternatives like the fledgling decentralised social media network Mastodon.

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A government spokesperson later told a regular news conference that the government was monitoring developments on the Twitter platform with growing concern.

Twitter also suspended the Mastodon network’s account and attempts to link to Mastodon accounts in tweets frequently triggered error messages on Friday.

Mastodon’s new user registrations soared to as high as 4,000 an hour on Friday morning, four times the rate seen over the past week. But with some 8.5 million registered users, Mastodon is still a minnow compared to Twitter with half a billion users.

A spokesperson for British Prime Minister Rishi Sunak also responded to questions about the journalists’ suspensions, saying social media platforms had to balance protection of users with preservation of free speech.

(Reporting by Thomas EscrittEditing by Rachel More, Kirsten Donovan)

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Debt-laden Italy lashes out at ‘crazy’ ECB after rate hike

by Reuters December 16, 2022
By Reuters

By Alvise Armellini and Francesco Canepa

ROME/FRANKFURT (Reuters) – Italian ministers lashed out at the European Central Bank on Friday, labelling as “baffling” and “crazy” a decision to hike borrowing costs that raised the financial pressure on one of the euro zone’s most indebted countries.

Three senior ministers took aim after the ECB on Thursday, raised its benchmark rate by 50 basis points as widely expected, and signalled further increases ahead while laying out plans to reduce its bond purchases.

As that message drove Italian borrowing costs higher on financial markets on Friday, policymakers at the bank lined up to reinforce expectations that euro zone rates would continue to rise in an effort to tame stubbornly high inflation.

In unusually stark comments likely to fuel concerns abroad about eurosceptical tendencies within Giorgia Meloni’s right-wing government, Deputy Prime Minister Salvini branded the ECB’s conduct “unbelievable, baffling, worrying”.

Formed in October, Meloni’s government is also holding out on ratifying the euro zone’s bailout fund.

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Foreign Minister Antonio Tajani, also a deputy prime minister, meanwhile said the ECB’s moves would harm economic growth, with fallout for markets and households at a time when inflation in Europe was in his view largely due to the war in Ukraine.

Defence Minister Guido Crosetto, a close ally of Meloni and co-founder of her Brothers of Italy party, said on Twitter that raising interest rates “makes no sense” and called the ECB’s move to start winding down its sovereign bond purchases “crazy.”

On Thursday Crosetto, alongside a chart showing a widening of the gap between German and Italian borrowing costs, sarcastically thanked ECB President Christine Lagarde for her “Christmas present” of higher rates.

INFLATION TARGET

ECB policymakers from across the euro zone defended the bank’s decision-making on Friday.

France’s central bank governor Francois Villeroy de Galhau said this was needed to bring euro zone inflation, currently at 10%, back to the ECB’s 2% target “by the end of 2024 (or) end 2025”.

Estonian governor Madis Mueller said rates would probably need to rise more than markets had expected so far, while Finnish central bank chief Olli Rehn said 50 bps hikes were likely at each of its next two meetings.

The ECB has raised the rate it pays on bank deposits from -0.5% in July to 2% on Thursday, when it said it expects to raise them further at a steady pace.

It will also, from March, stop replacing some of the 5 trillion euros ($5.32 trillion) worth of bonds it has bought over the past eight years to stimulate inflation when it was too low.

These bond purchases had been a vital source of funding for weaker euro zone borrowers including Italy since then ECB President Mario Draghi, an Italian who would go on to serve as Prime Minister, launched them in 2015.

The Italian-German bond yield spread closed at 206 basis points on Thursday, up sharply from 191 the day before, and widened further to 219 bps on Friday morning.

Inflation in Germany, the euro zone’s biggest economy, is likely to be higher than earlier thought while economic growth will be weaker with a recession next year now certain, the Bundesbank said on Friday.

($1 = 0.9406 euros)

(Writing by Francesco Canepa; Reporting by Alvise Armellini, Dominique Vidalon, Sudip Kar-Gupta and Balazs Koranyi; Editing by Gianluca Semeraro, Raissa Kasolowsky, Arun Koyyur and John Stonestreet)

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Energy crisis fuels coal comeback in Germany

by Reuters December 16, 2022
By Reuters

By Vera Eckert and Tom Sims

FRANKFURT (Reuters) – Coal has made a comeback in Germany this year, as Europe’s largest economy turns to the dirty fuel to power it through an energy crisis.

More than a third (36.3%) of the electricity fed into the German power grids between July and September came from coal-fired power plants, compared with 31.9 percent in the third quarter of 2021, according to German statistics office Destatis.

Long demonised by Germany’s Green party, which leads some of the government’s top ministries, coal was set to be phased out by 2030, but Russia’s war with Ukraine and gas export curbs, brought coal back into favour.

Coal-to-power generation output rose by 13.3% year-on-year to 42.9 terawatt hours (TWh) in the three months of July-September, during which overall German power output – at 118.1 TWh – lagged the same period in 2021 by 0.5 percent, Destatis said.

Gas generation rose slightly, despite high prices, as wind and hydro power output were low, and domestic nuclear output also fell in July-Sept.

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The latter was because only three reactors remain online compared to six a year earlier as Germany exits from the technology following the Fukushima crisis.

(Graphic: Gemany’s shift back to coal, https://www.reuters.com/graphics/SLUG-HERE/dwvkddeekpm/chart.png)

Under the threat of gas shortages, some coal plants that had closed or been left in reserve have re-entered the market in Europe this year, but in most countries, the amount was limited.

“Only in Germany, with 10 gigawatts (GW), is the reversal at a significant scale. This has increased coal power generation in the European Union, which is expected to remain at these higher levels for some time,” the IEA’s annual coal market report said.

Global coal consumption reached a record high of over 8 billion tonnes this year, with Germany one of the highest with a 19% rise, or 26 million tonnes, versus 2021, the IEA said.

Instead of shutting down 1.6 GW of lignite-fired power plants by the end of 2022 as planned, the German government has issued a waiver to allow production until March 2024.

Germany has created a “gas replacement reserve” with a total capacity of 11.6 GW. This includes 1.9 GW of lignite and 4.3 GW of hard coal power plants which are allowed to return to the market until 2024, the IEA report said.

The decommissioning of 2.6 GW of hard coal power capacity and 1.2 GW of lignite capacity has been postponed.

Since Destatis started compiling statistics in 1990, 2022 will likely be the first that Germany will be a net exporter of electricity to France, not the other way round, it said.

(Graphic: German electricity imports, https://www.reuters.com/graphics/UKRAINE-CRISIS/byprllqbnpe/chart.png)

However, the IEA added that due to an expected ramp-up of electricity production from renewables and a recovery in French nuclear power availability, Germany should return to being a net importer of electricity in the next few years.

(Graphic: Renewable electricity sources in Germany, https://tmsnrt.rs/3PpB1V8)

(Reporting by Vera Eckert and Tom Sims, editing by Nina Chestney and Barbara Lewis)

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Airbus, Dassault, Indra, Eumet win $3.4 billion fighter jet contract

by Reuters December 16, 2022
By Reuters

PARIS (Reuters) – Airbus, Dassault Aviation, Indra and the Eumet joint venture between Safran and MTU Aero Engines said on Friday they had won a 3.2 billion euros ($3.4 billion) contract for the next phase of the FCAS European fighter jet programme.

The Future Combat Air System (FCAS), first announced in 2017 by French President Emmanuel Macron and then German Chancellor Angela Merkel, is designed to replace the Eurofighter and Dassault’s Rafale with a combination of manned and unmanned aircraft from 2040.

($1 = 0.9407 euros)

(Reporting by Sudip Kar-Gupta; Editing by Mark Potter)

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French financial prosecutor confirms GE’s Belfort site searched

by Reuters December 16, 2022
By Reuters

PARIS (Reuters) -Searches were conducted on Thursday at U.S conglomerate General Electric’s Belfort site in France as part of an ongoing probe into possible tax fraud, France’s financial prosecutor said on Friday, confirming an AFP report.

In an email responding to a Reuters request, deputy financial prosecutor Antoine Jocteur-Monrozier said the searches were part of a preliminary probe into alleged money laundering and tax fraud.

The inquiry was triggered after Fabien Roussel, the head of France’s Communist Party, voiced suspicions about the company’s tax conduct in July 2019, he said.

A second complaint was filed by the company’s social and economic committee in May, he added.

“The investigation … continues,” Jocteur-Monrozier said.

A spokesperson for GE in France did not immediately reply to a request for comment.

AFP first reported the searches on Thursday. It said the workers’ council and unions at the site had alleged in their own complaint that GE had transferred 555 million euros ($590 million) of profit from the Belfort operation to Switzerland or the United States.

Unions accused management of trying to show the site was losing money in order to justify the job cuts at the site – depriving the French government of millions of euros in tax revenue in the process.

GE has denied the claims, saying it obeys the tax laws in every country where it operates. “Today at our site, the company is the subject of a search by the judicial police,” management wrote in an email to Belfort’s 4,000 employees cited by AFP. “These officers will be going through the offices, a normal procedure in this type of inquiry.”

($1 = 0.9406 euros)

(Reporting by Sudip Kar-Gupta and Silvia Aloisi; editing by Jason Neely and Mark Potter)

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Extreme bear sentiment over as investors buy stocks and bonds – BofA

by Reuters December 16, 2022
By Reuters

By Lucy Raitano

LONDON (Reuters) -Investors ploughed cash into stocks and bonds and sold cash and gold in the week to Wednesday, BofA Global Research said on Friday, hailing the end of “extreme bear sentiment”.

Equity inflows totalled $18 billion and bond funds saw $2.3 billion of inflows while investors sold $0.2 billion of gold and shed cash at the highest rate in three months, selling $31.1 billion.

U.S. equity value funds recorded their largest inflows ever, of $14.3 billion, and investors bought passive equities and sold active equities.

BofA’s “Bull & Bear” indicator jumped to its highest level since March 15 in the week to Wednesday.

The shift in sentiment was reflected in markets. Europe’s STOXX 600 hit at a more than six-month high on Tuesday while the Nasdaq and S&P 500 traded around three-month tops earlier this week.

Since then central banks including the Federal Reserve, and European Central Bank (ECB) have warned that more rate hikes are needed to curtail inflation, with the ECB in particular giving a very hawkish message.

The STOXX 600 is now on track for its biggest two-day drop since late September, while the S&P 500 closed on Thursday at its lowest level since Nov. 10.

BofA’s report also showed that emerging market debt funds recorded inflows of $0.9 billion, their largest since April 2022, while emerging market equity funds saw their second week of outflows, totalling $1.6 billion.

Investors sold $1.3 billion of bank loan funds, the largest outflow in three months.

(Reporting by Lucy Raitano, editing by Alun John and Emelia Sithole-Matarise)

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Portugal’s central bank cuts 2023 growth forecast to 1.5%

by Reuters December 16, 2022
By Reuters

By Sergio Goncalves

LISBON (Reuters) -The Bank of Portugal on Friday lowered its 2023 economic growth forecast to 1.5% from 2.6% predicted in June, expecting a sharp slowdown after this year’s 6.8% expansion as inflation and rising interest rates are likely to hit private consumption.

In its December economic bulletin, the central bank expected Portugal’s euro area-harmonized inflation to decelerate in 2023, but still remain at a high level of 5.8% after 8.1% this year.

Portuguese harmonized inflation clocked 10.2% year-on-year in November, just off a three-decade high of 10.6% recorded in October, stoked by soaring energy and food prices.

The bank said in a statement that “growth will be contained in the first half of 2023, against a background of global uncertainty, erosion of purchasing power, tightening financial conditions and weakening external demand”.

From the second half of next year it expects activity to gather steam amid a potential “ease of tensions in energy markets” and gradual recovery of real income, projecting gross domestic product to then expand by around 2% in 2024 and 2025.

The central bank sees private consumption – which represents two-thirds of gross domestic product – almost stagnating next year after growing 5.9% in 2022 as families struggle with high inflation as well as rising interest rate hikes.

The European Central Bank on Thursday raised its key rate by 50 basis points to 2%, moving further away from a decade of ultra-easy policy.

Given the foreseeable strong slowdown or even recession in some of its major European trading partners, the Bank of Portugal expected exports to grow just 4.3% next year after 17.7% in 2022.

It sees gross fixed capital formation, which measures investment, increasing 2.9% next year, more than double this year’s pace, with the help of European relief funds.

The unemployment rate is expected to end this year at 5.9%, its lowest annual mark in two decades, and stay at that level in the next three years.

Harmonized inflation should slow to 3.3% in 2024 and 2.1% in 2025 – close to the ECB’s medium-term objective, it said.

(Reporting by Sergio Goncalves; Editing by Andrei Khalip and Raissa Kasolowsky)

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McDonald’s retains contact with Russian restaurants -new owner

by Reuters December 16, 2022
By Reuters

By Alexander Marrow and Hilary Russ

MOSCOW/NEW YORK (Reuters) – McDonald’s Corp regularly engages with its successor brand in Russia following its exit from the market earlier this year, communications that are needed to ensure terms of the sale are fulfilled, its new owner told Reuters.

The deal McDonald’s struck with former licensee Alexander Govor included a set of requirements the new brand, Vkusno & tochka, must stick to, including restrictions on branding, colour scheme and product usage.

New owner Alexander Govor said this week he and the management team regularly talk over video link to the former parent company. Those conversations include how the successor firm sticks to the “road map” drawn up as part of the deal, he said.

“We are not talking about how they somehow participate in our business, this is already done,” Vkusno & tochka, which translates to “Tasty & that’s it,” CEO Oleg Paroev told Reuters. He made the remarks after announcing the upcoming launch of a new burger, the “Big Hit”, an alternative to the Big Mac.

“We are continuing to communicate with the corporation on the subject of the fact that we honestly carry out everything that we have promised to do,” he said.

In a statement to Reuters, McDonald’s said it fully exited the Russian market earlier this year.

“We remain focused on the purchaser’s adherence to de-branding and their related commitments made in connection with the sale and exit of our business in the country,” the Chicago-based chain said.

Scores of Western companies have left Russia over its actions in Ukraine. McDonald’s engineered a relatively smooth sale to Govor for an undisclosed fee, but stomached a non-cash charge of $1.4 billion and forfeited $300 million in annual operating income.

While some brands have faced criticism for continuing to make money from Russia, McDonald’s was one of the first to cease operations and ultimately abandon the market, signing a agreement with its successor, Vkusno & tochka, details of which are only gradually emerging.

Maintaining contact with Vkusno & tochka violates no sanctions, but it provides new detail into ongoing communications between the Chicago-based company and its Russian successor, which has now signed agreements with all former franchisees and was upbeat about sales prospects going into 2023.

Govor said he fought off four other suitors for the assets, believing that having already operated franchised McDonald’s locations in Siberia for around eight years had played in his favour.

Russian authorities in June said McDonald’s has an option to buy back its Russia restaurants within 15 years. McDonald’s has not commented on whether it has an option to return to Russia.

(Reporting by Alexander Marrow in Moscow and Hilary Russ in New York; Editing by Matt Scuffham, Vanessa O’Connell and Anna Driver)

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Marketmind: Hanging tough

by Reuters December 16, 2022
By Reuters

A look at the day ahead in U.S. and global markets from Mike Dolan.

As the world’s major central banks turned the interest rate screw this week and insisted on more tightening ahead, their economies showed more signs of buckling under the pressure.

And while markets lurched lower on the potentially toxic combination of a higher peak for interest rates into a looming recession, there are reasonable questions over whether the central banks will act as tough as they are talking.

U.S. retail sales fell more than expected in November, registering their biggest decline in 11 months. U.S. manufacturing declined 0.6% last month and reports from the New York and Philadelphia Federal Reserve’s showed business conditions in their regions remaining depressed in December.

While business surveys in Europe on Friday showed slightly less gloom, they still marked the sixth straight month of a deep contraction in overall activity. British retail sales slid unexpectedly in November as the cost-of-living crisis eats into household finances.

What had been three months of mostly positive beats on incoming activity numbers worldwide is now turning sour again, with U.S. and global economic surprise indices the lowest since mid-October and on the cusp of turning negative. Graphic: Economic Surprise indices, https://fingfx.thomsonreuters.com/gfx/mkt/akpeqqemopr/One.PNG

All of which is a year-end cold shower for world markets hoping for either light at the end of the tunnel in the central bank campaign or signs of a soft-landing for the economy.

Most hawkish of all the central banks appears to have been the European Central Bank, where the implied peak ECB interest rate in money markets next year has risen almost half a point to 3.25% since Thursday’s ECB announcement and guidance.

Even though after Wall St stocks plunged 2-3% on Thursday, futures remained deep in the red ahead of Friday’s open. European bourses fell another 1% and MSCI’s all-country index was again for the third day in a row at its lowest in over a month.

Led by the jump in euro zone sovereign borrowing rates after the ECB rethink, bond yields were higher across the board. The dollar index pushed higher, with the euro backing off Thursday’s six-month high.

The Fed’s indications on Wednesday that its policy rate will go over 5% next year still haven’t been fully taken on board by markets, however. The implied terminal rate in futures markets remains under 4.9% on Friday, with almost a half point of rate cuts still pencilled in between there and the end of the year.

Whether markets are fighting the Fed wisely or not remains to be seen.

Elsewhere, the initial exuberant reaction to the dismantling of China’s zero-COVID policy has quickly given way to worries that the world’s second biggest economy may be unprepared for the wave of infections to come.

But China’s stocks did outperform on Friday.

Nearly 200 Chinese companies, including Alibaba and Baidu, heaved a sigh of relief after the U.S. accounting watchdog said it has full access to inspect and investigate firms in China, removing the risk that these companies could be booted off U.S. stock exchanges.

The U.S. accounting watchdog on Thursday said it has full access to inspect and investigate firms in China for the first time ever, removing the risk that around 200 Chinese companies could be kicked off U.S. stock exchanges.

Key developments that may provide direction to U.S. markets later on Friday:

* S&P Global’s flash U.S. business surveys for December

* San Francisco Federal Reserve President Mary Daly speaks

* U.S. corporate earnings: Accenture, Darden Restaurants Graphic: Central banks ramp up fight against inflation, https://www.reuters.com/graphics/NEWZEALAND-ECONOMY/RATES/zdpxddxxnpx/chart.png Graphic: Recession and industrial production, https://www.reuters.com/graphics/USA-ECONOMY/RECESSION/egpbkgdgkvq/chart.png Graphic: Empire State and Philly Fed, https://www.reuters.com/graphics/USA-STOCKS/egvbyyobxpq/empirephilly.png

(By Mike Dolan, editing by Susan Fenton [email protected]. Twitter: @reutersMikeD)

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China issues plan to increase flights, boost air passenger volumes – Caixin

by Reuters December 16, 2022
By Reuters

SHANGHAI (Reuters) -China plans to increase flights with a goal to restore the country’s average daily passenger flight volumes to 70% of 2019 levels by Jan. 6, financial news outlet Caixin reported on Friday citing a document from the aviation regulator.

The aim is part of a work plan the Civil Aviation Administration of China (CAAC) issued on Wednesday to encourage the recovery of the country’s air transport market, Caixin said.

The CAAC did not immediately respond to a request for comment.

The plan said there would be three stages to the process, with the first to increase the number of flights a day to a maximum of 11,280, of which up to 9,280 could be domestic ones, by Jan. 6, Caixin said.

Between Jan. 7 to Jan 31, average daily passenger flight volumes should increase to 88% of 2019 levels, before the COVID-19 pandemic began. Daily flights should hit a maximum of 13,667, of which up to 11,667 could be domestic ones, it added.

The industry should be in a “stable recovery period” by the end of March, it said.

The plan comes after China last week abandoned many key curbs of its zero-COVID policy, which has over the past three years reduced domestic demand and kept international flights at a tiny fraction of pre-pandemic levels.

The changes prompted a significant rise in mobility, with road and air transport picking up for the first time in almost two months, according to data from the transport ministry, travel analytics firms and energy consultancies.

Weekly domestic air passenger volumes jumped 68% last week from the prior week to 3.7 million – the biggest increase since the Lunar New Year holiday in February, according to aviation data provider Variflight. That number is still 37% lower than a year earlier and 68% lower than 2019, however.

Travel restrictions have especially weighed on companies such as the country’s largest airlines, Air China Ltd,, China Southern Airlines and China Eastern Airlines, which posted steep third-quarter losses in October.

(Reporting by Brenda Goh and Albee Zhang; editing by Raissa Kasolowsky and Emelia Sithole-Matarise)

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FTX gets official creditors’ committee in its bankruptcy case

by Reuters December 16, 2022
By Reuters

By Dietrich Knauth

(Reuters) – The U.S. Department of Justice’s bankruptcy watchdog on Thursday appointed a committee to represent FTX accountholders and other junior creditors in the collapsed crypto exchange’s bankruptcy case.

The committee – which includes a mix of individual account holders, investment funds, and an affiliate of U.S. crypto firm Genesis – will represent the interests of all unsecured creditors, who are among the last to be paid in a typical bankruptcy.

The nine-member committee includes three individual creditors, Genesis affiliate GGC International Ltd, crypto trader Wintermute Asia PTE, Coincident Capital International, Pulsar Global Ltd, Octopus Information Ltd and Wincent Investment Fund.

FTX filed for bankruptcy protection in Delaware in November after traders pulled $6 billion from the platform in three days and rival exchange Binance abandoned a rescue deal. The collapse has left an estimated 1 million creditors facing losses totaling billions of dollars.

Crypto firms that went bankrupt earlier this year, including Voyager Digital and Celsius Network, have classified most of their customers, particularly those with interest-bearing accounts, as unsecured creditors.

Unsecured debts, such as credit card or medical bills, do not grant lenders any specific collateral rights. Secured debt, like a mortgage or car loan, is backed by specific collateral that may be claimed by a lender if the debt goes unpaid.

U.S. Bankruptcy Judge John Dorsey, who is overseeing FTX’s Chapter 11 case, said during a Wednesday court hearing that he expects the creditors’ committee to weigh in on issues related to customer privacy at a hearing scheduled in early January.

FTX has argued that customer names should be kept secret to protect them from scams and to preserve the business value of FTX’s customer list for potential buyers.

Creditor names, contact information, and the amount they are owed are treated as public information in most bankruptcy cases, and both the Justice Department and a group of media organizations have tried to block FTX from straying too far from bankruptcy’s transparency requirements.

(Reporting by Dietrich Knauth, Editing by Alexia Garamfalvi and Deepa Babington)

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Euro zone business activity falls at slower rate in Dec, inflation eases -PMI

by Reuters December 16, 2022
By Reuters

By Indradip Ghosh

BENGALURU (Reuters) – Euro zone business activity shrank at the slowest pace in four months in December, suggesting a likely recession ahead will be shallower than previously thought, a survey showed on Friday, while prices rose at the most modest rate in about a year.

S&P Global’s flash Composite Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI), seen as a good gauge of overall economic health, rose to a four-month high of 48.8 this month from 47.8 in November, higher than the median Reuters poll forecast of 48.0.

But December was the sixth month below the 50 mark separating growth from contraction, the longest streak of a downturn since June 2013.

“The rise in the purchasing managers’ indices gives us hope that the recession in the euro area will be very mild. Nevertheless, we should not rejoice too soon. The economic environment has clouded noticeably,” said Christoph Weil, senior economist at Commerzbank.

Still, the downturn in German economic activity eased for the second straight month as retreating price pressures bolstered the view that a milder recession lies ahead, a sister survey showed.

However, French business activity shrank at a faster rate, adding to signs of a recession ahead for the euro zone’s second-biggest economy as inflation hits businesses.

“The flash PMIs for December provide more evidence that businesses in some parts of the euro zone have become a bit less gloomy about their current situation – but they still point to a combination of recession and very high inflation,” said Andrew Kenningham, chief Europe economist at Capital Economics.

Despite the rising risks of an economic downturn, the European Central Bank hiked its key deposit rate to 2% from 1.5% on Thursday and hinted more would come as inflation is still far above its target rate of 2%.

Higher interest rates coupled with cost-of-living concerns mean demand is likely to weaken further, a view shared by a Reuters poll that showed the economy would contract this quarter and next, meeting the technical definition of recession.

In Britain, outside the European Union, the downturn has eased slightly this month, and companies have reported the weakest cost pressures since mid-2021. Overall the survey fitted with other signs that the economy is contracting at a slow pace.

EASING INFLATION

In the bloc, new orders in the private sector fell at a slower pace and soaring price growth – driven by higher energy costs in the wake of Russia’s war in Ukraine – waned further. While input prices rose at their slowest rate since May 2021, the PMI subindex tracking output prices was at its lowest in a year.

“Some good news for once, with the euro zone PMI ticking up in December. Inflation pressures continue to fade due to lower demand and moderating supply chain problems. For the ECB, the latter adds to doubts about yesterday’s hawkish tone,” said Bert Colijn, senior economist at ING.

Optimism about future output increased to a four-month high. But declining demand forced firms to reduce headcount at the second-weakest rate since February 2021.

Activity in the bloc’s dominant services industry declined again, but the headline index increased to 49.1 – the highest since August. The Reuters poll had predicted no change from last month’s reading of 48.5.

The main index tracking manufacturing activity rose to 47.8, compared to the Reuters poll estimate and November’s 47.1, driven by better supply conditions and waning concerns over energy constraints.

While prices increased at their weakest rates in about two years, an index measuring output, which feeds into the composite PMI, jumped to a six-month high of 47.9.

(Reporting by Indradip Ghosh; Editing by Hugh Lawson)

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Japan approves tax-code revision, more funds for defence build-up

by Reuters December 16, 2022
By Reuters

By Tetsushi Kajimoto

TOKYO (Reuters) -Japan’s ruling bloc formally agreed on Friday to revise the national tax code for the next fiscal year starting in April, aiming to shift household assets into investment as part of Prime Minister Fumio Kishida’s “new capitalism” agenda.

The ruling Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) and its ally Komeito also endorsed an urgent plan to raise corporate, tobacco and disaster-reconstruction income taxes by 1 trillion yen ($7.3 billion) to help double the defence outlay to 2% of GDP by 2027.

“The tax talks this year were different from a normal year,” LDP tax chief Yoichi Miyazawa told reporters. “What everyone wanted to hear the most is on how the defence tax would go.”

On tax-code reform, Kishida has sought to shift Japan’s 2 quadrillion yen ($14.52 trillion) in household assets away from savings and into investment, under his flagship initiative aimed at redistributing income.

As part of this initiative, the government will make permanent a programme that offers tax breaks for households’ stock investments. It will triple the limit on investments eligible for tax breaks starting in 2024.

As part of symbolic efforts to narrow income disparities, the government will apply in 2025 additional tax for 200 to 300 individuals who earn annual income of above 3 billion yen through investment in stocks and real estate.

PUTTING OFF TAX TALKS

Finance Minister Shunichi Suzuki said on Friday that the defence build-up plan brings it to a different stage in terms of its size and substance, which will mark a “historic turning point.”

He shrugged off the need to issue extra debt to fund the new defence programme, while pledging to do the utmost to achieve a budget surplus in the fiscal year ending in March 2026.

In contrast with steady progress on other tax talks, the ruling coalition stopped short of confirming when to implement the defence tax increases. They effectively put off the decision until next year because of stiff opposition to tax increases from within the LDP as Kishida’s popularity wanes.

“It will be implemented at “an appropriate time” from 2024 onwards,” Miyazawa told reporters on Thursday.

Under the plan, Japan would adopt a corporate surtax of 4%-4.5%, with a deduction of 5 million yen for small firms, while lowering reconstruction income tax to 1%, and imposing a surtax of 1% on incomes for the time being. The tobacco tax will also be raised in stages by 3 yen per cigarette.

Only 6% of all Japanese firms will be subjected to planned corporate tax increases.

As for tax revenue for the next fiscal year, Miyazawa said neither big tax raises nor cuts will be expected in fiscal 2023.

The ruling party officials vowed to ensure disaster reconstruction income tax receipts would not be reduced in supporting those who are suffering from disasters in the northeast, including Fukushima.

($1 = 137.4000 yen)

(Reporting by Tetsushi Kajimoto; Additional reporting by Takaya Yamaguchi, Yoshifumi Takemoto; Editing by Gerry Doyle and Jacqueline Wong)

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Italy’s Fincantieri sees scope to expand naval sales on security fears

by Reuters December 16, 2022
By Reuters

By Elisa Anzolin

MILAN (Reuters) – Italian shipbuilder Fincantieri expects to increase sales in its naval business in the coming years as countries spend more on defence following Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, its new chief executive said.

Pierroberto Folgiero, who replaced long-serving CEO Giuseppe Bono in May, said Fincantieri stood to benefit from a number of security concerns.

“It is not just about defence but also trade security, monitoring of (underwater) energy infrastructure and migration issues, so we perceive encouraging signs of growing demand,” Folgiero told Reuters in a telephone interview.

Fincantieri unveiled earlier on Friday its new five-year industrial plan, which foresees the group returning to net profit in 2025.

Fincantieri, which is 70%-owned by Italian state-backed lender Cassa Depositi e Prestiti (CDP), makes a broad range of military vessels, including aircraft carriers, destroyers and submarines.

However, it is the company’s cruise business which contributes the bulk of revenues in its core shipbuilding unit.

The cruise business was hard hit by the COVID-19 pandemic, which halted new orders and forced the shipbuilder to extend delivery times.

However, in the last quarter Fincantieri saw the first signs of a resumption in cruise order intake. Folgiero said that part of the business was operating at full capacity and he wants to work on improving margins rather than chasing volume growth.

Folgiero also expects an increase in the demand for support vessels for the offshore wind sector, such as the cable-laying vessels built by Fincantieri’s unit Vard, as the energy transition drives demand for wind farms.

The smaller infrastructure business, which is a drag on group profitability, is not considered strategic.

“There are no synergies,” said Folgiero, adding that the priority for the infrastructure business was to overhaul it.

He said he saw no need for a capital increase to reduce high debt, which was at 3 billion euros ($3.2 billion) at the end of September. He said that better profitability and financial discipline should lead to a gradual deleveraging.

Fincantieri is also aiming to strengthen its collaboration with Italian defence group Leonardo at commercial level and to deepen their partnership in the joint venture Orizzonte Sistemi Navali.

Asked whether the group is still interested in Leonardo’s Oto Melara weapon business, put on the block last year, Folgiero said that Fincantieri “always looks at all strategic options”.

($1 = 0.9393 euros)

(Reporting by Elisa Anzolin; Editing by Keith Weir and Emelia Sithole-Matarise)

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Ericsson shares extend fall after outlook disappoints

by Reuters December 16, 2022
By Reuters

(Reuters) – Shares in Sweden’s Ericsson extended their losses on Friday a day after a strategy update in which the telecom equipment maker said several of its more profitable markets showed signs of slowing down.

The company, one of the world’s biggest suppliers of 5G technology, told investors it would only reach the lower end of its long-term target of a 15-18% profit (EBITA) margin by 2024.

After falling 4% on Thursday, Ericsson’s shares were down another 4.2% by 1026 GMT on Friday, underperforming a 1.4% drop in the European telecom sector.

The negative share price reaction was likely driven by the fact that Ericsson expected little or no growth in mobile network markets for the next three years, said Danske Bank analyst Sami Sarkamies.

“It seems to be a shocker for some investors and then additionally, they say that they’re expecting some volatility with high margin customers in the near term, maybe over the next two to three quarters,” he said.

While the U.S. and other markets are slowing down, Ericsson said it was hoping newer markets such as India would help offset some lower demand for 5G equipment.

The company on Thursday said it was accelerating plans to cut costs by 9 billion Swedish crowns ($867 million) by the end of 2023.

($1 = 10.3750 Swedish crowns)

(Reporting by Marie Mannes; editing by Terje Solsvik and Jason Neely)

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Strong ECB statement equivalent to a bigger rate hike, Holzmann says

by Reuters December 16, 2022
By Reuters

VIENNA (Reuters) – The European Central Bank’s message that it is serious about fighting inflation was a strong signal equivalent to a bigger increase in interest rates, ECB hawk Robert Holzmann said on Friday.

“It is a toughly hawkish statement that for me is equivalent to the 75 (basis-point increase previously suggested),” Holzmann told a news conference. The ECB raised rates by 50 basis points and signalled it would do the same at future meetings.

(Reporting by Francois Murphy; Editing by Hugh Lawson)

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Yeshiva University must recognize LGBTQ club, New York appeals court rules

by Reuters December 16, 2022
By Reuters

By Nate Raymond

(Reuters) – A New York appeals court on Thursday ruled that Yeshiva University must formally recognize an LGBTQ student group, rejecting the Jewish school’s claims that doing so would violate its religious rights and values.

The ruling by the Appellate Division in Manhattan marked the latest setback for the university in its fight to avoid recognizing Y.U. Pride Alliance in a case that conservative U.S. Supreme Court justices have signaled interest in reviewing.

The court upheld a judge’s ruling that the school did not qualify as a “religious corporation,” which would exempt it from prohibitions against discrimination by a place or provider of public accommodation under the New York City Human Rights Law.

That law bans discrimination on the basis of sexual orientation, religion, race, gender, age, national origin and some other factors.

The unanimous four-judge panel also said requiring Yeshiva to recognize the club did not violate its rights under the U.S. Constitution’s First Amendment to the free exercise of religion, saying the law was “neutral and generally applicable.”

Katie Rosenfeld, a lawyer for Y.U. Pride Alliance, in a statement said the ruling affirmed that the school “cannot discriminate against its LGBTQ+ students by continuing its refusal to recognize the YU Pride Alliance.”

Yeshiva, a Modern Orthodox Jewish university based in Manhattan, in a statement said it would “continue on appeal to defend against the claim that we are not a religious institution.”

YU Pride Alliance agreed in September to hold off on forcing Yeshiva to recognize it while the school pursued its appeals after the school briefly halted all student club activities.

It did so after the U.S. Supreme Court in a 5-4 decision earlier that month declined to block the New York judge’s June ruling requiring it to recognize the club.

Four conservative justices dissented including Justice Samuel Alito, who said Yeshiva’s First Amendment rights appeared to be violated and that the court would likely take the case up if Yeshiva lost its lower-court appeals.

(Reporting by Nate Raymond in Boston; Editing by Stephen Coates)

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South Korea protests Japan’s island claim in national security strategy

by Reuters December 16, 2022
By Reuters

SEOUL (Reuters) – South Korea issued a strong protest against Japan’s territorial claim over disputed islands made in a national security strategy released on Friday while cautiously responding to Tokyo’s plans for an unprecedented military buildup.

South Korean President Yoon Suk-yeol who took office in May has tried to improve ties with Tokyo which have been marred by the territorial row over the islands and historic disputes stemming from Japan’s 1910-1945 occupation of Korea.

South Korea’s foreign ministry on Friday demanded an immediate removal of the territorial claims from Japan’s national strategy documents, saying in a statement that the move did nothing to help “building a future-oriented relationship” between the two countries.

The foreign ministry later said it summoned a senior diplomat from Japan’s embassy in Seoul to lodge the protest. The defence ministry separately said it summoned a Japanese defence official to protest the claim.

The islands known as Dokdo in Korea and Takeshima in Japan are controlled by Seoul with a small contingent of coast guards.

In a separate statement, the foreign ministry said it hoped the implementation of Japan’s new security policy will be transparent and contribute to regional peace and stability while continuing to uphold the spirit of is pacifist constitution.

Any exercise of attack capabilities against the Korean peninsula “must necessarily involve close consultations and agreement” with South Korea, it said, in an apparent reference to possible action to counter North Korea’s aggression.

President Yoon, who has made it a key national security priority to improve cooperation with Japan, told Reuters in an interview in November it was understandable for Japan to boost its defence spending given the growing threat from North Korea’s ballistic missile programme.

(Reporting by Jack Kim and Soo-hyang Choi; Editing by Raissa Kasolowsky)

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Italy, November EU-harmonised CPI revised to +12.6% y/y

by Reuters December 16, 2022
By Reuters

(Reuters) – Italian EU-harmonised consumer prices (HICP) rose 0.7% month-on-month in November and were also up 12.6% from the year earlier, official statistics agency ISTAT said on Friday, revising up preliminary data.

The preliminary estimate had pointed to a 0.6% month-on-month increase and a 12.5% rise year-on-year.

November’s 12.6% annual rate was unchanged from October.

The main domestic price index (NIC), rose 0.5% on the month and increased 11.8% annually, also flat from the 11.8% annual rise in October.

Core inflation (net of fresh food and energy) was running at 6.1% year-on-year on the HICP index in November, up from 5.7% in the month before.

ISTAT gave the following details:

The EU-harmonised index (HICP):

Nov Oct Sep

Monthly change +0.7r +3.8 +1.6

Yr/yr inflation +12.6r +12.6 +9.4

Index (base 2015=100) 120.8r 120.0 115.6

The NIC index:

Monthly change +0.5 +3.4 +0.3

Yr-on-yr inflation +11.8 +11.8 +8.9

Index (base 2015=100) 118.7 118.1 114.2

(Reporting by Luca Fratangelo, editing by Alvise Armellini)

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UK downturn moderates in December but recession begins – PMI

by Reuters December 16, 2022
By Reuters

By Andy Bruce

LONDON (Reuters) -The downturn across most British businesses eased slightly this month but manufacturers struggled and the economy is still likely to contract this quarter, marking a recession, a survey showed on Friday.

The UK S&P Global Composite Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) rose unexpectedly to 49.0 from 48.2 in November, although it remained below the 50 threshold for growth. A Reuters poll of economists had pointed to a slight fall to 48.0.

The dominant services sector drove all the improvement as the decline deepened among British manufacturers, which cut jobs for the first time since October 2020.

The survey echoed other signs that the economy is contracting at a slow pace that is not worsening, with price pressures easing further from historically high levels.

Separate data on Friday showed a surprise fall in retail sales in November, while consumer confidence remained close to all-time lows this month.

“The releases still point to the UK being in a shallow, but protracted, recession at the end of 2022 and into 2023,” said Daniel Mahoney, UK economist at Handelsbanken.

Composite PMIs from other European countries painted a similar picture, although Britain’s reading bettered those of France and Germany for the first time since July.

It came a day after Bank of England officials raised interest rates and indicated that more hikes were likely, despite a looming recession, as the central bank tries to bring down inflation that hit a 41-year high in October.

However, investors took the message from the BoE to be that it might be approaching the end of its rate hikes.

S&P Global said the PMI was consistent with a roughly 0.3% drop in economic output in the fourth quarter. On Thursday, the BoE said it expected a smaller 0.1% fall in the period.

The economy shrank by 0.2% in the July-September period, according to official data.

The composite PMI’s gauges of inflation for both businesses’ input cost and their selling prices fell to their lowest levels since mid-2021.

The PMI for the services sector rose to 50.0, indicating stagnation, from 48.8 in November.

Factories, which account for less than 10% of Britain’s economic output, fared worse. The manufacturing PMI slid to 44.7 from 46.5, marking its lowest level since May 2020 – during the depths of the first COVID-19 lockdown.

“It’s no surprise to see that businesses are battening down the hatches, most notably by reducing headcounts, in a sign that the downturn not only has further to run but could yet accelerate again, especially given December’s further hike to interest rates,” S&P Global Chief Business Economist Chris Williamson said.

(Reporting by Andy Bruce; Editing by Hugh Lawson)

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Russian attack causes ‘colossal’ infrastructure damage in Ukraine’s Kharkiv – mayor

by Reuters December 16, 2022
By Reuters

KYIV (Reuters) – Russian missile strikes caused “colossal” damage to infrastructure in the Ukrainian city of Kharkiv on Friday and mainly affected the energy system, Mayor Ihor Terekhov said.

“There is colossal damage to infrastructure, primarily the energy system,” he said in a post on the Telegram messaging app. “I ask you to be patient with what is happening now. I know that in your houses there is no light, no heating, no water supply.”

(Reporting by Olea Harmash, Editing by Timothy Heritage)

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Russia’s Urals oil averaged $57.49/bbl in past month, below price cap

by Reuters December 16, 2022
By Reuters

MOSCOW (Reuters) – The average price for Russia’s Urals oil blend was $57.49 per barrel between Nov. 15 and Dec. 14, Russia’s Finance Ministry said late on Thursday, below the Western cap of $60.

That means Western shippers and insurers in countries that have imposed sanctions on Russia over the Ukraine conflict would still be able to provide services to cover shipments of Russian crude without fear of being sanctioned.

The drop from the average Urals price of $71.10 in the previous month was not because the country observed the price cap – which Moscow has said is illegal and threatened to cut oil output in response – but due to a general downward trend in global oil prices over the period.

The Urals price was sharply lower than $80 per barrel for the international Brent benchmark.

According to U.S. Treasury guidance, the cap is placed on free on board (FOB) prices, which do not include the cost of insurance and shipping. That’s the price the crude would be sold at if a buyer loaded it directly from a Russian terminal.

The Russian Finance Ministry’s Urals price, used as the basis for taxation, is calculated by the Argus pricing agency, which takes into account the blend prices in the Baltic and Black Sea including the cost of insurance and freight (CIF), which is higher than the FOB level.

According to Reuters data, the Urals price for delivery from the Black Sea port of Novorossiisk on a FOB basis is currently $48.69 per barrel.

It is $57.28 on a CIF basis.

Market sources said Urals crude has been sold at deeper discounts this month following a European ban on Russian oil imports, and dominant buyer India has bought barrels at well below the West’s $60 price cap.

Since Russia sent its troops into Ukraine in February, India has become the main outlet for seaborne cargoes of Urals crude.

For some deals this month, the price for Urals in Indian ports, including insurance and delivery by ship, has fallen to around minus $12-$15 per barrel versus a monthly average of dated Brent, down from a discount of $5-$8 per barrel in October and $10-$11 in November, according to the market sources.

The spread, or difference, between Urals and dated Brent – the price of physical, light North Sea crude oil, – has risen sharply from early February, when it stood at around minus $1. Now it has reached minus $30.

The European Union, G7 nations and Australia introduced the $60 per barrel price cap on Russian oil, effective from Dec. 5, on top of the EU’s embargo on imports of Russian crude by sea and similar pledges by the United States, Canada, Japan and Britain.

Analysts have said the cap will have little immediate impact on the oil revenues that Moscow is currently earning.

Oil and gas exports are forecast to account for 42% of Russia’s revenues this year at 11.7 trillion roubles, according to the country’s finance ministry, up from 36% or 9.1 trillion roubles in 2021.

(Reporting by Vladimir Soldatkin Editing by Guy Faulconbridge and Mark Potter)

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Philippines’ Marcos cheers ‘Christmas gift’ of $95 billion state budget

by Reuters December 16, 2022
By Reuters

MANILA (Reuters) – Philippine President Ferdinand Marcos Jr on Friday signed into law the 2023 budget bill which authorises a record 5.27 trillion pesos ($94.78 billion) spending to support his administration’s ambitious economic agenda.

Both houses of Congress voted overwhelmingly for the budget bill this month, despite opposition questions over hundreds of millions of pesos of “confidential and intelligence funds” to be overseen by Vice President Sara Duterte, the daughter of the previous president.

Next year’s budget, the first for the Marcos administration, is equal to 22.2% of the country’s total economic output, and is nearly 5% higher than predecessor’s Rodrigo Duterte’s spending plan for 2022.

“I will have a merry Christmas because this is as fine a Christmas gift a president can receive from his legislature,” Marcos said in a speech after signing the bill.

“It is important because the budget… essentially defines and gives muscle to the roadmap of what we intend to do for the next year.”

Marcos is the son and namesake of the late strongman who was famously toppled in a 1986 “people power” uprising after two decades in power. He won a landslide victory in the May election, ensuring his allies control the legislature.

He has outlined his six-year policy agenda that aims to expand the economy by as much as 8% during his term, to keep its place among Asia’s fastest-growing nations, and halve the poverty rate, which was 18.1% in 2021.

The education sector will receive the highest allocation of 852.8 billion pesos or 16% of the total budget, followed by public works with 13%, healthcare with 5%, and social welfare with about 4%, Marcos said in a statement that accompanied the budget proposal.

The president also runs the agriculture portfolio, which received 184.1 billion pesos, a 40% jump from its 2022 budget.

($1 = 55.6050 Philippine pesos)

(Reporting by Karen Lema and Neil Jerome Morales; Editing by Martin Petty)

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Greek jobless rate drops to 11.6% in third quarter

by Reuters December 16, 2022
By Reuters

ATHENS (Reuters) – Greece’s jobless rate fell to 11.6% in the third quarter from 12.4% in the second quarter of the year, data from the country’s statistics service ELSTAT showed on Friday.

About 63% of Greece’s 555,567 jobless are long-term unemployed, meaning they have been out of work for at least 12 months, the figures showed.

Greece’s highest unemployment rate was recorded in the first quarter of 2014, when it hit 27.8%.

The latest data showed that women and young people in the 15-19 age group were most affected among the jobless.

The jobless rate for women was 15.4% versus 8.7% for men, while for people aged 15-19 it stood at 40.2%.

Athens has already published monthly unemployment figures through October, which differ from quarterly data because they are based on different samples and are seasonally adjusted.

Quarterly figures are not seasonally adjusted.

(Reporting by Angeliki Koutantou; Editing by Hugh Lawson)

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