MADRID (Reuters) – Workers at Azul Handling, the ground handling company servicing Ryanair in 22 Spanish airports, called off a plan to hold several 24-hour strikes between Oct. 28 and Jan. 8 to demand better working conditions, union USO said on Friday.

USO said minimum services set by the Transport Ministry were “abusive and clearly detrimental to the exercise of the right to strike, making it absolutely unfeasible.”

Workers were demanding negotiations on a new collective agreement and seeking breakthroughs on issues such as occupational risk prevention and working shifts.

(Reporting by Emma Pinedo, editing by Inti Landauro)

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By Ludwig Burger

(Reuters) -French drugmaker Sanofi on Friday forecast faster earnings growth this year on strong demand for its bestselling drug Dupixent and for its flu vaccines, spurring a rise in its battered share price.

Sanofi said it now expects 2022 adjusted earnings per share to grow by about 16%, not taking into account an expected positive currency impact of between 9.5% and 10.5%. It had previously forecast growth of 15%.

It also reported a 26.5% rise in third-quarter business operating income, or adjusted earnings before interest and tax, to 4.5 billion euros ($4.5 billion), well ahead of an average analyst estimate of 4.17 billion.

Sanofi shares had plunged in August after disappointing trial results of a once-promising breast cancer drug candidate, heightening concerns about its development pipeline, while investors also fretted over legal claims that heartburn drug Zantac caused cancer.

The shares have not recovered much and Credit Suisse analysts have said Sanofi is trading about one third below its European peers, relative to estimated 2023 earnings.

Finance chief Jean-Baptiste de Chatillon, who has described the discount as grossly overdone, said on Friday that Sanofi would follow through on its strategy.”We know we have some headwinds and we are there to fight them and to demonstrate to our shareholders that we can create more value,” he told journalists on a call.

The shares jumped 2% at the open.

CANCER DRUG

But in a further development setback, 1.6 billion euros were written off the value of the most advanced drug project of Synthorx, a U.S. biotech firm Sanofi agreed to acquire for $2.5 billion in 2019. The cancer drug would come to market later than hoped, it said.

As a result, quarterly net income fell 10% to 2.1 billion euros.

Revenue from exzema and asthma drug Dupixent, jointly developed with Regeneron, jumped by a currency-adjusted 44.5% to 2.3 billion euros in the quarter, soundly beating an analyst consensus of 2.1 billion.

The company is pursuing further growth for Dupixent in inflammatory skin conditions and smoker’s lung, where keenly awaited trial data is expected in the first half of 2023.

Sales from influenza vaccines jumped by a currency-adjusted 32.4% to 2 billion euros, surpassing an analyst consensus of 1.6 billion, on swift uptake of a more expensive new high-dose shot.

CFO de Chatillon said the company also benefited from bringing forward the seasonal production ramp-up and distribution but added that overall appetite in the U.S. population for flu shots was low.

A strong U.S. dollar also boosted the value of overseas group revenue.

($1 = 1.0015 euros)

(Reporting by Ludwig Burger; Editing by Susan Fenton and David Holmes)

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By Carolyn Cohn

LONDON (Reuters) -Amundi posted net outflows of 12.9 billion euros ($12.86 billion) in the third quarter, the French asset manager said on Friday, hurt by weak markets and concern about the economic outlook following the war in Ukraine.

The figure was much worse than consensus forecasts of 1 billion euros in outflows, according to KBW analysts.

The money manager reported assets under management at end-Sept of 1.9 trillion euros, down 2% in the last three months.

Asset managers benefited from government and central bank stimulus and demand from pent-up savings during the earlier stages of the COVID-19 pandemic.

But the war in Ukraine has hit markets and pushed up the cost of living, crimping asset volumes.

“We think our clients’ risk aversion will persist into the next quarter, as long as macro-economic uncertainties last,” CEO Valerie Baudson told a media call.

Amundi’s shares fell 1.5% early on Friday. KBW analysts called the results a “mixed bag”, though they reiterated their “outperform” rating on the stock.

German asset manager DWS this week recorded steady assets under management of 833 billion euros in the third quarter, unchanged from the previous quarter.

Amundi’s quarterly adjusted net income rose 4.7% on the quarter to 282 million euros, however, helped by cost-cutting and strong management fees, it said in a trading statement.

Major fund managers’ use of so-called liability-driven investments (LDI), involving high amounts of borrowing, caused a liquidity crisis for British pension funds last month, forcing the Bank of England to intervene to stabilise UK government bond markets.

Amundi does not offer such products, Baudson said.

“We have nothing similar to LDI anywhere in the world, it’s not an issue for us.”

(Reporting by Carolyn Cohn in London and Matthieu Prothard in Paris; Editing by Muralikumar Anantharaman)

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VILNIUS (Reuters) – The likelihood of a euro zone recession is rising but the European Central Bank needs to keep raising interest rates as inflation remains high and projections may even need to be raised, Lithuanian policymaker Gediminas Simkus said on Friday.

The ECB on Thursday doubled its deposit rate to 1.5% to fight inflation which is now five times its 2% target, and said that further policy tightening is necessary to prevent rapid price growth from getting entrenched.

The ECB sees inflation falling back to 5.5% in 2023 but Simkus said models are struggling to calculate the effects of one-off shocks so they have been underestimating price pressures.

“It seems they will be revised upwards again, especially for next year,” said Simkus, who sits on the rate-setting Governing Council.

Simkus also suggested that growth forecasts may need to be cut to account for a recession, as the bloc struggles with sky high energy costs.

“The likelihood that the euro zone enters a technical recession has grown,” Simkus said.

With inflation far too high, the ECB said it would start talks in December on how it could wind down 3.3 trillion euros ($3.28 trillion) worth of bonds, mostly government debt, held in its Asset Purchase Programme.

While ECB chief Christine Lagarde did not provide any further guidance on what the upcoming discussion should focus on, Simkus said a start date should be a key item on the agenda.

“I think this is what the discussion should be about: possible start date, possible amounts, and how this would be done,” Simkus said.

The ECB currently reinvests all cash from bonds maturing in the scheme and the expectation is that instead of outright bond sales, the ECB would wind down the debt pile by not reinvesting all funds.

($1 = 1.0048 euros)

(Reporting by Andrius Sytas; Writing by Balazs Koranyi; Editing by David Goodman and Andrew Cawthorne)

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By Kate Abnett

BRUSSELS (Reuters) -The European Union struck a deal on Thursday on a law to effectively ban the sale of new petrol and diesel cars from 2035, aiming to speed up the switch to electric vehicles and combat climate change.

Negotiators from the EU countries and the European Parliament, who must both approve new EU laws, as well as the European Commission, which drafts new laws, agreed that carmakers must achieve a 100% cut in CO2 emissions by 2035, which would make it impossible to sell new fossil fuel-powered vehicles in the 27-country bloc.

“This deal is good news for car drivers… new zero-emission cars will become cheaper, making them more affordable and more accessible to everyone,” Parliament’s lead negotiator Jan Huitema said.

EU climate policy chief Frans Timmermans said the agreement sent a strong signal to industry and consumers. “Europe is embracing the shift to zero-emission mobility,” he said.

The deal also included a 55% cut in CO2 emissions for new cars sold from 2030 versus 2021 levels, much higher than the existing target of a 37.5% reduction by then.

New vans must comply with a 100% CO2 cut by 2035, and a 50% cut by 2030 compared with 2021 levels.

With regulators increasing the pressure on carmakers to curb their carbon footprint, many have announced investments in electrification. Volkswagen boss Thomas Schaefer this week said that from 2033, the brand will only produce electric cars in Europe.

Still, the EU law met some resistance when it was proposed in July 2021, with European car industry association ACEA warning against banning a specific technology and calling for internal combustion engines and hydrogen vehicles to play a role in the low-carbon transition.

Negotiators agreed on Thursday that the EU will draft a proposal on how cars that run on “CO2 neutral fuels” could be sold after 2035.

Small carmakers producing less than 10,000 vehicles per year can negotiate weaker targets until 2036, when they would face the zero-emission requirement.

The law is the first to be finalised from a broader package of new EU policies, designed to deliver the bloc’s targets to cut greenhouse gas emissions.

Brussels is seeking deals on two more laws from the package in time for the United Nations climate negotiations in November, in a bid to show that despite a looming recession and soaring energy prices, the bloc is pressing ahead with its climate goals.

(Reporting by Kate Abnett; Editing by Josie Kao and Marguerita Choy)

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PARIS (Reuters) – Future interest rate increases by the European Central Bank will not necessarily be ‘jumbo’ increases as the one done yesterday, ECB member and Bank of France head Francois Villeroy de Galhau told a webcast hosted by financial site Boursorama.

On Thursday, the ECB raised interest rates again and put the reduction of its bloated balance sheet on the agenda, but said “substantial” progress had already been made in its bid to fight off a historic surge in inflation.

The central bank for the 19 countries that use the euro raised its deposit rate by a further 75 basis points to 1.5% – the highest rate since 2009. ECB rates had been negative – below 0% – for eight years until it hiked in July.

(Reporting by Michel Rose; Editing by Sudip Kar-Gupta)

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By Will Dunham

WASHINGTON (Reuters) -The InSight lander, perched on the surface of Mars since 2018, will run out of power and stop operations within four to eight weeks, NASA said on Thursday, even as scientists detailed a big meteorite strike it detected that gouged boulder-sized chunks of ice surprisingly close to the planet’s equator.

Dust has been accumulating on solar panels that draw power for the U.S. space agency’s stationary lander, exacerbated by a dust storm, and has been depleting its batteries, planetary geophysicist Bruce Banerdt of NASA’s Jet Propulsion Laboratory, InSight mission’s principal investigator, told a briefing.

InSight’s mission, which has helped reveal the internal structure of Mars and its seismic activity, originally was planned for two years but was extended to four. When the power runs out, NASA will lose contact with InSight, Banerdt said.

“InSight has been successful beyond my expectations,” Banerdt told Reuters. “We have determined the thickness of the crust, the size and density of the core, and details of the structure of the mantle. For the first time we have a detailed global map of the deep interior of another planet – other than the Earth and moon.”

InSight also established that Mars is seismically active, detecting 1,318 marsquakes.

Two research papers published in the journal Science detailed meteorite strikes on the Martian surface detected by InSight in September and December of last year. Seismic waves triggered by the impacts revealed fresh details about the structure of the Martian crust, the planet’s outer layer.

“What an awesome capstone science result to end on – literally going out with a bang,” Lori Glaze, director of NASA’s Planetary Science Division, told reporters.

Of particular interest was a space rock with a diameter estimated at 16-39 feet (5-12 meters) that crashed last Dec. 24 in a region called Amazonis Planitia, carving a crater about 490 feet (150 meters) wide and 70 feet (21 meters) deep.

It caused a magnitude 4 quake detected by InSight’s seismometer instrument, while cameras aboard the Mars Reconnaissance Orbiter observed the crater from space. Boulder-sized blocks of ice were seen strewn around the crater’s rim.

Objects that large enter Earth’s atmosphere about once a year but generally burn up in our planet’s thicker atmosphere.

“A whole lot of water ice was exposed by this impact,” Brown University planetary scientist Ingrid Daubar, part of the InSight science team, told the briefing. “This was surprising because this is the warmest spot on Mars, the closest to the equator we’ve ever seen water ice.”

Glaze said that while ice is known to exist near the Martian poles future human exploration missions would aim to put astronauts as close to the equator as possible for warmer conditions. Ice near the equator could provide resources such as drinking water and rocket propellant.

“Having access to ice at these lower latitudes, that ice could be converted into water, oxygen or hydrogen – that could be really useful,” Glaze said.

The September 2021 crater also was large, about 425 feet (130 meters) wide. The two were the largest impacts detected by InSight since arriving on Mars.

InSight for the first time detected seismic waves traveling like ripples on water along the Martian surface, as opposed to deeper in the planet’s body. The reverberation from the two impacts gave clues about the crust over a wide geographical expanse in the northern hemisphere.

The three-legged InSight sits in a vast and relatively flat plain called Elysium Planitia, just north of the equator. Until now, InSight had obtained data on the structure of the Martian crust, consisting mostly of fine-grained volcanic basalt rock, only in the area beneath its landing site.

The crust at the landing site was composed of relatively soft material, less dense rock. This was not the case for the other regions covered by the new data, where the crust appears denser.

“As a consequence of our analysis of surface waves, we now understand that the crust of Mars north of the equatorial dichotomy – a conspicuous feature seen from the topographic variation on Mars that divides the southern highlands and northern lowlands – has a relatively uniform structure,” said seismologist Doyeon Kim of the Institute of Geophysics at ETH Zurich, lead author of one of the studies.

(Reporting by Will Dunham; Additional reporting by Steve Gorman; Editing by Rosalba O’Brien)

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(Reuters) -Nicotine and tobacco products group Swedish Match on Friday reported third-quarter operating profit in line with forecasts as strong sales of its smoke-free products, such as nicotine pouches, offset weak results in other business areas.

Swedish Match is in the process of being bought by Philip Morris International and its board late on Thursday said it still recommended the offer, after its Swiss rival upped the offer price.

Quarterly operating profit rose to 2.40 billion Swedish crowns ($218.74 million) from 2.08 billion a year earlier. Analysts polled by Refinitiv had on average forecast a profit of 2.47 billion crowns.

Sales in its Smokefree unit rose 30% in the quarter. The unit includes both the company’s main product “snus” – a Swedish-style wet snuff – and its newer and fastest-growing product Zyn – tobacco-free nicotine pouches that like snus are put under the lip and sucked.

($1 = 10.9718 Swedish crowns)

(Reporting by Marie Mannes, editing by Stine Jacobsen)

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TOKYO (Reuters) – Japanese factories most likely cut back output in September, a Reuters poll showed on Friday, ending a three-month growth streak on a tailwind from the end of strict COVID-19 measures in China and eased supply bottlenecks.

Industrial production probably decreased 1% in September from the previous month, according to the median forecast of 17 economists in the poll.

Production growth in “transport equipment and related sectors may have come to an adjustment stage,” said economists at SMBC Nikko Securities. They added that September’s output dip would remain small as production of general machinery was still solid, citing exports data.

Toyota Motor Corp, the world’s largest carmaker by vehicle sales, on Friday said that its global production climbed 30% in the quarter ended in September, but that the semiconductor shortage was still weighing on it, especially at its domestic plants.

Japanese manufacturers’ sentiment has been worsening since last month, a Reuters corporate survey showed, on concerns over rising costs due to global inflation and a weak yen.

“Industrial production will likely go back and forth with inflation and the expected slowdown in overseas economies,” Takeshi Minami, chief economist at Norinchukin Research Institute, said on the outlook.

Separate data is expected to show retail sales rose 4.1% in September from a year earlier, extending the annual growth for a seventh month since March, when the government lifted all coronavirus curbs.

Japan’s economic reopening, now coupled with eased border controls for foreign tourists, has helped a consumption-led recovery, although three-decade-high inflation clouds the prospect of further gains. After a strong 3.5% annualised growth in April-June, analysts polled by Reuters are expecting a 1.3% expansion in the third quarter and 2.0% growth in the fourth quarter for the Japanese gross domestic product.

The government will release the factory output and retail sales data at 8:50 a.m. on Oct. 31 (2350 GMT, Oct. 30).

(This story has been refiled to add missing words in paragraph 8)

(Reporting by Kantaro Komiya; Editing by Gerry Doyle)

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By Riham Alkousaa

BERLIN (Reuters) – Germany has enlisted help from Brussels to revive its solar panel industry and improve the bloc’s energy security as Berlin, reeling from the consequences of over-reliance on Russian fuel, strives to cut its dependency on Chinese technology.

It is also reacting to a new U.S. law that has raised concern the remains of Germany’s formerly-dominant solar industry could relocate to the United States.

Once the world’s leader in installed solar power capacity, Germany’s solar manufacturing collapsed after a government decision a decade ago to cut subsidies to the industry faster than expected drove many solar firms to leave Germany or into insolvency.

Near the eastern city of Chemnitz in what is known as Saxony’s Solar Valley, Heckert Solar is one of half a dozen survivors surrounded by abandoned factories that the company’s regional sales manager Andreas Rauner described as “investment ruins”.

He said, the company, now Germany’s largest solar module, or panel-maker, managed to weather the impact of state-subsidised Chinese competition and the loss of German government backing through private investment and a diversified customer base.

In 2012, Germany’s then conservative government cut solar subsidies in response to demands from traditional industry whose preference for fossil fuel, especially cheap imports of Russian gas, has been exposed by supply disruption following the Ukraine war.

“We are seeing how fatal it is when the energy supply is completely dependent on other actors. It’s a question of national security,” Wolfram Guenther, Saxony’s state minister for energy, told Reuters.

As Germany and the rest of Europe seek alternative sources of energy, partly to compensate for missing Russian supplies and partly to meet climate goals, interest has surged in rebuilding an industry that in 2007 produced every fourth solar cell worldwide.

In 2021, Europe contributed only 3% to global PV module production while Asia accounted for 93%, of which China made 70%, a report by Germany’s Fraunhofer institute found in September.

China’s production is also around 10%-20% cheaper that in Europe, separate data from European Solar Manufacturing Council ESMC shows.

UNITED STATES ALSO AN ENERGY RIVAL

New competition from the United States has increased calls in Europe for help from the European Commission, the EU executive.

The European Union in March pledged to do “whatever it takes” to rebuild European capacity to manufacture parts for solar installations, following Russia’s invasion of Ukraine and the energy crisis it provoked.

The challenge increased after the U.S. Inflation Reduction Act was signed into law in August, providing a tax credit of 30% of the cost of new or upgraded factories that build renewable energy components.

In addition, it gives tax credit for each eligible component produced in a U.S. factory and then sold.

The concern in Europe is that that will draw away potential investment from its domestic renewable industry.

Dries Acke, the Policy Director at industry body SolarPower Europe, said the body had written to the European Commission urging action.

In response, the Commission has endorsed an EU Solar Industry Alliance, set to be launched in December, with the aim of achieving over 320 gigawatts (GW) of newly installed photovoltaic (PV) capacity in the bloc by 2025. That compares with a total installed of 165 GW by 2021.

“The Alliance will map the availability of financial support, attract private investment and facilitate the dialogue and match-making between producers and offtakers,” the Commission told Reuters in an email.

It did not specify any funding amounts.

Berlin is also pushing to create a framework for PV manufacturing in Europe similar to the EU Battery Alliance, Economy Ministry State Secretary Michael Kellner told Reuters.

The battery alliance is considered to have had a major part in developing a supply chain for Europe’s electric vehicle industry. The Commission said it would ensure Europe can meet up to 90% of demand from domestically-produced batteries by 2030.

Solar demand meanwhile is expected to keep growing.

Germany’s new registered residential photovoltaic systems rose by 42% in the first seven months of the year, data from the country’s solar power association (BSW) showed.

The association’s head Carsten Koernig said he expected demand to keep strengthening over the rest of the year.

Regardless of geopolitics, relying on China is problematic as supply bottlenecks, exacerbated by Beijing’s zero-COVID policy, have doubled waiting times for solar components delivery compared to last year.

Berlin-based residential solar energy supplier Zolar said orders have risen by 500% year-on-year since the Ukraine war began in February, but clients might have to wait for six-to-nine months to get a solar system installed.

“We’re basically limiting the number of customers that we accept,” Alex Melzer, Zolar chief executive said.

European players from beyond Germany relish the opportunity to help cover demand by reviving Saxony’s Solar Valley.

Switzerland’s Meyer Burger last year opened solar module and cell plants in Saxony.

Its Chief Executive Gunter Erfurt says the industry still needs a specific stimulus or other policy incentive if it is to help Europe cut its reliance on imports.

He is, however, positive, especially since the arrival last year of Germany’s new government, in which Green politicians hold the crucial economic and environment ministries.

“The signs for the solar industry in Germany are much, much better now,” he said.

($1 = 1.0006 euros)

(Reporting by Riham Alkousaa in Berlin, Kate Abnett in Brussels and Nichola Groom in Los Angeles; editing by Barbara Lewis)

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By Anshuman Daga

SINGAPORE (Reuters) – KKR & Co Inc has raised nearly $6 billion for its second Asia Pacific infrastructure fund at the first-close, marking the biggest ever private equity fundraising for the sector in the region, two sources familiar with the matter told Reuters.

The record commitments to the fund just seven months after its launch underscores investors’ appetite to buy into diversified infrastructure assets at a time when soaring inflation and higher interest rates have depressed deals in many sectors.

The latest fundraising comes after the U.S private equity firm deployed most of the $3.9 billion capital raised in its debut Asia infrastructure fund that reported its final-close in January 2021, said one of the sources.

KKR declined to comment. The sources declined to be named as the information has not been made public.

The first-close of a private equity fundraising process is seen as a key milestone that highlights the fund has reached a minimum threshold and can start making investments.

Globally, sovereign wealth funds, endowments, insurance firms, pension funds and family offices have been pouring money into infrastructure vehicles to get exposure to assets which are seen offering, stable, long-term and inflation-beating returns.

BlackRock Inc said on Tuesday that it had raised $4.5 billion out of an overall $7.5 billion-target for a new global fund to invest in infrastructure assets aimed at climate-focused projects.

In May, Macquarie Asset Management said it had received more than $4.2 billion in investor commitments at the final-close of its third Asia Pacific regional infrastructure fund, exceeding the fund’s S3 billion target.

HOTBED FOR DEALS

Like the debut infrastructure fund that made more than a dozen investments, KKR’s latest one will target renewables, telecom towers, power, utilities and transportation infrastructure, among others, the sources said.

Southeast Asia, in particular, has been a hotbed for infrastructure transactions, with billions of dollars of investments flowing into the sector in the last few years.

This year alone, funds backed by the likes of KKR, Macquarie, infrastructure investors DigitalBridge and Stonepeak have struck deals for tens of thousands of telecom towers in the Philippines.

Earlier this month, a top executive at Permodalan Nasional Bhd, Malaysia’s largest asset manager, told Reuters that it plans to add infrastructure assets into its portfolio from 2023.

Data from analytics firm Preqin showed that at investor commitments of $6 billion even at the first-close, KKR’s latest infrastructure fund would rank as Asia Pacific’s largest ever dedicated fund for the industry.

Last year, 19 Asia Pacific-focused infrastructure funds raised a total of $10.3 billion, Preqin data showed.

Spearheaded by David Luboff, who joined KKR in Singapore in 2019 to head its Asia Pacific infrastructure business, the investment firm has rolled out its regional infrastructure strategy and ramped up its Asian infrastructure team to 25.

Luboff, who had an 18-year stint at Macquarie Group, moved to Sydney in early 2022 and was later also named the co-head of KKR’s Australian and New Zealand operations.

Last month, Neil Arora, a veteran infrastructure dealmaker from Macquarie, joined KKR as the head of its energy transition team for Asia Pacific.

(Reporting by Anshuman Daga; Additional reporting by Yantoultra Ngui; Editing by Sumeet Chatterjee and Muralikumar Anantharaman)

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(Reuters) -Signify, the world’s biggest maker of lights, cut its full-year profit margin and sales guidance on Friday, hit by lower consumer demand and a slowdown in China amid uncertain growth outlook.

“We have shifted gears to adapt the company to a structurally weaker external environment in the coming quarters, when current headwinds and volatility are likely to persist,” Chief Executive Officer Eric Rondolat said in a statement, adding that Signify would focus on controlling costs and cash flow. The Dutch group said it now expects adjusted earnings before interest, taxes and amortisation (EBITA) margins and free cash flow to be at the lower end of its guidance.

Comparable sales growth will be between 2% and 3% for 2022, down from previous guidance of 3-6%, it added.

Its range for adjusted EBITA margin is between 11.0% and 11.4%, with free cash flow equal to 5% to 7% of sales.

Signify, the former lighting arm of Philips, sells mostly LED lights and lighting systems to both consumers and businesses.

In the third quarter, the professional segment offset weaker demand from consumers, the group said, with total sales rising to 1.91 billion euros ($1.90 billion), up 4.3% in comparable sales.

In July, Signify had lowered its margin and free cash flow outlook, saying it expected its profit margins to decline as supply chain disruption and currency effects weighed on its earnings.

($1 = 1.0026 euros)

(Reporting by Valentine Baldassari; editing by Josephine Mason and Rashmi Aich)

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By Muyu Xu

SINGAPORE (Reuters) – China’s strict COVID-19 policy is constraining coal supplies and pushing up prices, industry officials and traders say, just weeks before the country’s north switches on mostly coal-fired heating systems for winter and demand jumps.

The world’s top coal consumer still relies on the fuel to heat homes across much of the colder north, and Beijing is determined to ensure sufficient supplies this year after shortages led to unprecedented power outages in 2021.

But China’s top three coal production regions have reported hundreds of COVID cases in recent weeks, data from the country’s health commission showed, disrupting coal trade. The provinces introduced strict transport curbs this month, leaving some mines unable to ship coal out and forcing them to slow or halt production.

The curbs include special licences for trucks to enter mines, while drivers are not allowed to leave their cabs during entire shipment journeys, which often cover 1,000 kilometres.

In Zhungeer county, which contributes 27% of Inner Mongolia’s coal production, authorities ordered everyone in the area to stay home since Oct. 19 after a solitary COVID case was reported at a coal mine, local government statements showed.

“Coal mines have to lower operations or even shut down if they cannot find trucks to transport their production out,” said a Zhungeer-based coal trader.

Two coal mines in Wuhai city in Inner Mongolia suspended production two weeks ago, said people managing the mines. The people declined to be named because they are not authorised to speak to media.

Meanwhile a month-long maintenance shutdown at the Daqin railway, China’s biggest coal transport line connecting the coal mining hubs with Qinhuangdao port, has also been extended for a week after dozens of railway staff contracted COVID in mid-October, two coal traders said.

Daqin typically transports about 1.3 million tonnes of coal in a normal day, but daily volumes have plunged to between 200,000 tonnes and 300,000 tonnes, according to traders.

At major ports coal inventories have also fallen by 3% since late September, data from the China Coal Transportation and Distribution (CCTD) agency showed.

‘DELICATE BALANCE’

Spot prices for 5,500 kilocalories thermal coal are up 9% on the month, hitting a seven-month high of 1,650 yuan ($228.26) a tonne, according to coal traders.

However, the impact of lower production has so far been offset to some degree as utilities have yet to step up winter purchases, said CCTD analyst Zhou Jie.

Daily coal use at major coastal power plants has slid from over 2 million tonnes a month ago to below 1.8 million tonnes, which is sufficient for 17 days of use, CCTD data showed.

The number of vessels currently waiting to load coal from northern Chinese ports stands at about 80 per day, about 24% less than the same period last year, according to data compiled by consultancy Sxcoal.

But traders remain worried that an extended outbreak could hit markets in two weeks when heating season starts in north China.

“The market is in a delicate balance. It depends on which one of the factors will come first to break the balance – the end of COVID outbreaks or the pick-up in demand,” said a Beijing-based coal trader.

($1 = 7.2285 Chinese yuan renminbi)

(Reporting by Muyu Xu in Singapore; Additional reporting by Siyi Liu in Beijing; Editing by Kenneth Maxwell)

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By Nelson Bocanegra

BOGOTA (Reuters) – Colombia’s central bank is likely to raise borrowing costs to 11% on Friday at its penultimate meeting of the year, in tandem with policymakers around the world who are trying to combat high inflation.

Twelve of 14 analysts in a recent Reuters survey said the seven-member board will increase the benchmark rate by 100 basis points, while one analyst predicted a 75 basis point rise and another projected a 50 basis points uptick.

If the majority prediction is met, it would be the highest rate since July 2001.

“We expect 100 basis points for the meeting, but we think more increase in the interest rate is required because inflation keeps rising,” said Camilo Perez, chief economist at Banco de Bogota, who predicts another rate rise of 50 points at the December meeting.

Inflation was up 11.44% year-on-year through the end of September, nearly four times the bank’s long-term 3% target. Analysts predict it will take beyond 2023 for the figure to return to the target.

“This cycle of monetary policy is the most aggressive we’ve registered this century,” Perez said.

The bank has increased the rate by 825 basis points since the start of this cycle in September 2021.

Finance Minister Jose Antonio Ocampo, who represents the government on the board and considers high inflation to be a supply-side problem, said last week it would be difficult not to raise the rate in company with other central banks.

Ocampo on Wednesday asked the bank to discuss liquidity in futures markets at the Friday meeting.

Some analysts have not ruled out possible currency interventions by the bank amid a deep depreciation of the Colombian peso caused by international uncertainty and market reticence toward promises by the leftist government to implement a $4 billion tax reform and bar new oil contracts.

During the coronavirus pandemic the bank approved dollar auctions via forwards and swaps.

(Reporting by Nelson Bocanegra; Writing by Julia Symmes Cobb; Editing by Alistair Bell)

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By Jihoon Lee

SEOUL (Reuters) – South Korea’s exports likely fell in October, shrinking for the first time in two years in the face of a global economic slowdown and rising interest rates, a Reuters survey showed on Friday.

The country’s outbound shipments were forecast to have fallen 3.0% in October from the same month a year ago, according to the median forecast of 11 economists, after growth slowed to a near two-year low of 2.7% in September.

That would end a 23-month streak of year-on-year gains since November 2020. The pace of growth has fallen more sharply since mid-2022, with growth rates for the past four months down to single-digits.

“Export growth rate is expected to turn negative in October on continued impact from weakening global demand for goods, downturn in semiconductor cycle, and slowdown of shipments to China,” said Park Sung-woo, an economist at DB Financial Investment.

During the first 20 days of this month, exports shrank 5.5%, as sales to China – South Korea’s biggest trading partner – dropped 16.3%, on course for a fifth full month of declines.

Meanwhile, imports were expected to extend their run of gains to a 23rd month with growth of 7.2%. Still, the figure would be well down on 18.6% in September and the weakest since January 2021.

Altogether, they would bring the trade balance to a deficit for a seventh consecutive month, putting it on track for the first annual shortfall in 14 years and the largest-ever.

Full monthly trade data is scheduled for release on the first day of November.

The survey also forecast the country’s annual inflation rate for October would be flat at 5.6%, after softening for a second month in September. The rate hit a near 24-year high of 6.3% in July.

There was, however, some division in expectations. Of 11 respondents, five saw the inflation rate rebounding, while three picked no change and the remaining three expected it to ease further.

On South Korea’s factory output, economists expected production to have extended its downturn for a third month in September, falling 0.3% on a seasonally adjusted monthly basis, after a 1.8% decline in August.

(This story has been corrected to remove the redundant word “nearly” in first paragraph)

(Reporting by Jihoon Lee, Polling by Sujith Pai in Bengaluru, Editing by Richard Pullin)

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BEIJING (Reuters) – China’s factory activity likely showed no growth in October, with production hit by COVID-19 restrictions and as exports moderate on slowing global demand, a Reuters poll showed on Friday.

The official manufacturing Purchasing Manager’s Index (PMI) was forecast at 50.0 in October, a touch lower than 50.1 in September, according to the median forecast of economists polled by Reuters.

The 50-point mark separates contraction from growth.

Though many countries have eased pandemic curbs, the world’s second-largest economy has continued to fight its spread with lockdowns, mass testing and quarantines, which has hit economic growth and caused significant disruption to businesses. Signs of weakening global demand are also weighing more heavily on export-oriented manufacturers.

Optimism among U.S. businesses in China has hit record low levels, an annual survey showed on Friday, as competitive, economic, and regulatory challenges compound the stresses from the ongoing zero-COVID policies

On Thursday, data showed profits at China’s industrial firms shrank at a faster pace in January-September.

Economists do not expect COVID-19 measures to ease anytime soon after the Communist Party Congress concluded over the weekend and China’s new leadership team raised fears that containing COVID-19 will take precedence over economic growth.

“In terms of zero-COVID, the signals, coming out from the congress, suggest that it will still be here to stay for some time. And we think any meaningful shift away from that will only happen in 2024,” said Sheana Yue, China economist at Capital Economics.

Chinese cities from Wuhan in central China to Xining in the northwest are doubling down on COVID-19 curbs, sealing up buildings, locking down districts and throwing millions into distress.

China’s economy expanded at a faster than expected clip in the September quarter, but export growth slowed and the key property sector further cooled, pointing to a fraught recovery.

“China’s struggling growth trajectory is not just about COVID-related restrictions,” said analysts at Oxford Economics in a research note.

“The economy is facing significant structural headwinds that will limit GDP growth. We forecast China’s growth will average about 4%-4.5% over the next five years or so.”

The official manufacturing PMI, which largely focuses on big and state-owned firms, and its survey for the services sector, will be released on Monday.

The private sector Caixin manufacturing PMI, which centres more on small firms and coastal regions, will be published on Tuesday. Analysts expect a headline reading of 49.0 from 48.1 in August.

(Polling by Veronica Khongwir; Reporting by Liangping Gao and Ryan Woo; Editing by Jacqueline Wong)

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By Dawn Chmielewski and Nivedita Balu

(Reuters) – Apple Inc on Thursday reported revenue and profit that topped Wall Street targets, one of the few bright spots in a tech sector battered by spending cutbacks due to inflation.

The forecast for the holiday quarter was more grim. While not providing specific numbers, Apple said revenue growth would fall below 8% in the December quarter but did not go as far as Amazon.com, whose dire holiday outlook sent its shares down 14%.

Apple shares initially dipped in after-hours trading but recovered in positive territory.

The Cupertino, California-based tech giant was saved by its oldest technology, its laptop computers, while its star, the iPhone, stumbled.

Although iPhone sales were not as strong as some analysts had targeted, they were still a record for the September quarter. Mac sales of $11.5 billion were far head of analyst estimates of $9.36 billion.

Apple’s results showed some resilience in the face of a weak economy and strong U.S. dollar that has led to disastrous reports from many tech companies. Like Facebook parent Meta and Snap, Apple is seeing softness in advertising spending. Overall, Apple said quarterly revenue rose 8% to $90.1 billion, above estimates of $88.9 billion, and net profit was $1.29 per share, topping with the average analyst estimate of $1.27 per share, according to Refinitiv data.

“We did better than we anticipated, in spite of the fact that foreign exchange was a significant negative for us,” said Chief Financial Officer Luca Maestri.

The rising U.S. dollar has hit many companies such as Apple that generate substantial foreign revenue and are getting less cash back when they convert it. For consumers, it increases the price of new devices when bought in countries outside of the United States.

Apple’s iPhone sales for the company’s fiscal fourth quarter rose to $42.6 billion, when Wall Street expected sales of $43.21 billion, according to Refinitiv IBES.

Maestri said iPhone sales set a record for the September quarter, improving 10% over the prior year’s quarter and exceeding the company’s forecast.

“The iPhone number is a hint of the turmoil and uncertainty in the market, but Apple has different ways to offset,” said Runar Bjorhovde, a research analyst at market research firm Canalys.

Sales of Apple’s Mac computers received a boost from this summer’s introduction of redesigned MacBook Air and MacBook Pro laptops. New tablets went on sale this week.

Apple said its gross margin of 43.3% was a record for the September quarter.

Maestri said the robust computer sales also reflected a backlog of orders, caused by a prolonged shutdown at one of the factories that produces Macs, which the Apple was able to fill in the quarter.

The company reported sales of iPads were $7.2 billion, compared with the average estimate of $7.94 billion.

Apple wearables such as AirPods and other accessories notched sales of $9.7 billion, slightly ahead of the Wall Street forecast of $9.2 billion.

“They said they didn’t have particular issue with supply, so that seems to be a thing of the past,” said Creative Strategies consumer analyst Carolina Milanesi.

Growth in the company’s services business, which has buoyed sales and profits in recent years, saw a rise to $19.2 billion in revenue, below the estimate of $20.10 billion.

Maestri said Apple experienced softness in digital advertising and gaming, as have others in the sector.

“Like other major tech companies, even Apple is suffering from the negative impact of a worsening macro backdrop and ongoing supply chain woes, though it has done a better job of navigating through the challenging environment,” Jesse Cohen, senior analyst at Investing.com.

In China, which has experienced a sharp economic slowdown, Apple reported fourth-quarter sales of $15.5 billion. That is a gain from the prior quarter, when Apple logged sales of $14.6 billion.

Apple said it now has 900 million paying subscribers to its services, up from the previous quarter’s 860 million.

Read more:

Meta stock craters over bleak forecast and expensive metaverse bets

Alphabet’s miss fans inflation fears across digital advertising

Samsung defies chip downturn with aggressive supply and capex plans

Cloud to PCs, Microsoft forecasts spook investors as economy bites

(Reporting by Dawn Chmielewski in Los Angeles and Nivedita Balu in Bengaluru; Editing by Peter Henderson and Lisa Shumaker)

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PARIS (Reuters) – French jet engine maker and aerospace supplier Safran on Friday raised its full-year revenue and free cashflow forecasts after posting a 29.9% rise in third-quarter revenues buoyed by a strong dollar.

Chief Executive Olivier Andries said the improved outlook reflected currencies and “confidence in our ability to deliver,” striking a contrasting note to Boeing which on Wednesday had said engines were its main output constraint.

Safran co-produces engines for the Boeing 737 with General Electric through their CFM venture, which also competes with Pratt & Whitney to power the Airbus A320.

Engine makers have reported problems in obtaining castings from two main suppliers but GE said this week deliveries of CFM’s LEAP engines had risen 50% from the previous quarter.

On a like-for-like basis, Safran’s quarterly revenues grew 17.9% to 4.849 billion euros ($4.84 billion) led by propulsion and interiors.

Safran said it now expected full-year revenues to reach 19 billion euros versus a previous target of 18.2-18.4 billion on the basis of services growth and a stronger assumed dollar rate.

It predicted 2022 free cashflow of more than the 2.4 billion euros it had pencilled in previously. It continued to point to 2022 civil aftermarket growth of 25-30% following a 36% increase in aftermarket sales in dollar terms in the third quarter.

But it warned of some dilution to operating margins from a recent increase in the currency hedging book.

Safran said it expected to close the acquisition of Thales’s electrical systems activities in 2023 after entering exclusive negotiations in September to buy the business, which had 2021 revenues of 124 million euros.

It also announced plans to buy back 2.2% of shares to shield against potential dilution from a convertible bond and said it would recommend the re-appointment of CEO Andries and Chairman Ross McInnes at the next annual shareholder meeting in 2023.

($1 = 1.0010 euros)

(Reporting by Tim Hepher; Editing by Sudip Kar-Gupta)

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By Richa Naidu

LONDON (Reuters) – Fresh vegetables and fish are falling off the menu. Packaged pizzas and processed meat are the dishes of the day.

Many British households are turning away from healthier foods as rampant inflation pushes them towards cheaper processed meals, according to consumer data and experts who are worried about the nation taking a nutritional nosedive.

Joanne Farrer used to regularly serve her three children roast beef dinners or stews packed with fresh vegetables. Now she’s more likely to give them chicken nuggets and fries or sausages and mashed potatoes, which are “cheaper and filling”.

Her monthly welfare payment’s mostly swallowed by rent and the rising cost of gas and electricity.

“It doesn’t seem like there’s light at the end of the tunnel,” said the 44-year-old, who does voluntary work for a charity in the city of Portsmouth on England’s south coast.

“You think, when’s it going to end? But it’s not.”

As grocery prices rise across the board, the cost of fresh food has largely been outpacing processed and packaged products, according to the official UK consumer price index (CPI).

Prices for fresh vegetables rose about 14% in September versus the same month last year earlier for example, while fresh beef also jumped 14%, fish 15%, poultry 17%, eggs 22% and low-fat milk 42%.

Meanwhile, salted or smoked meat such as bacon and crisps went up a slower pace of about 12% each, packaged pizzas rose nearly 10%, sugary snacks like gummies increased by 6% and chocolate increased by just over 3%.

Shopping habits are changing too, according to exclusive data from NielsenIQ, which created a basket of 37 food products for Reuters. Volume sales of fresh vegetables fell by more than 6% and fresh meat by over 7% in August, for example, while sales of snacks and candy rose almost 4%.

The data underscores the trend towards processed food implied by the CPI figures, which do not include sales, raising red flags for public health advocates.

“There is plenty of evidence that poor diets lacking in fruit and vegetables have serious consequences for health,” said Shona Goudie, policy research manager at the Food Foundation, a British charity that promotes healthy diets.

“We also know that cheap highly processed foods are the ones most likely to cause obesity.”

Packaged food products often contain unhealthy levels of salt, fat and sugar, plus flavour-enhancers and preservative chemicals to give them longer shelf lives, and are associated with higher risks of obesity, heart disease, type 2 diabetes and certain types of cancers.

Britain is already near the forefront of an “obesity epidemic” across Europe, where almost 60% of adults are overweight or obese, raising their risk of premature death and serious disease, according to a World Health Organization report in May.

MISERY FOR MILLIONS

Fresh food has become more expensive because it is more energy intensive to produce than packaged food made consumer goods companies such as Nestle and Unilever, which are also more able to absorb a hit to margins due to their scale.

So far this year versus last year, the average price of healthier foods such as vegetables and fish have risen by more than 8 pounds ($9) per 1,000 kcal in Britain compared with about 3 pounds for less healthy foods like bacon and crisps, according to data from the Food Foundation.

For some, the consequences of rising prices are dire.

Close to 10 million adults – or one in five households – are unable to put enough food on the table, with some skipping meals or going without for an entire day, the charity’s nationwide survey carried out in late September suggests.

That’s double the number affected in January.

Sharron Spice, a London-based youth worker, said people visiting food banks had stopped requesting fresh food because they worried about having to use gas or electricity to cook it.

She added that many parents would go for buy-one-get-one-free deals in supermarkets: “Cheap food like pizza and everything that’s unhealthy for you, basically.”

The country is not alone in facing an inflation crisis that descended in the wake of the COVID pandemic and has been deepened by the war in Ukraine.

More than half of consumers in the UK, France, Spain, Germany, Italy and the Netherlands have cut down on essentials, such as food, driving and heating, according to a poll by market research firm IRI this month.

Britain’s economic health has also been complicated by its messy withdrawal from the European Union, and bruised by a period of political mayhem that’s seen three prime ministers in three months.

NOTHING BUT TOAST

The Downing Street drama, which spawned a rout of government bonds that pushed up mortgage costs for many families, is frustrating for those struggling to make ends meet.

It took less than a year for Alex Spindlow to lose everything after the pandemic left him out of his job selling merchandise for concerts and caring for his 99-year-old grandmother. Before he could get back on his feet, inflation sent his costs spiralling and left him mired in debt.

“I have been eating nothing but toast with 39 pence loaves of bread for lunch about a week now, with things like super-cheap pizza for dinner,” said the 42-year-old from the town of Basingstoke in southern England.

“I’ve lost a lot of weight eating less. I’m getting less nutrients than ever,” he added. “It makes it harder to think and I have just got a new job and training is tough. My arms are as thin as when I was a teenager.”

Mark Mackintosh, a marketing manager and father-of-two who lives near Oxford, is aware that his family is more secure than many others, but he’s still struggling to budget for a weekly shopping bill that’s nearly doubled compared with two years ago to more than 150 pounds.

“Yes we are buying less fresh food, as this helps us plan meals,” said the 39-year-old, who has also cut back on energy usage and is cancelling his gym membership. “If fresh food is cheaper then we’ll get that, but it’s not often on offer.”

“There isn’t much room to go lower,” he added. “I’ll try to grow some of our own veg in the spring of it works out as most cost effective.”

Peter van Kampen, a PwC consumer markets director, said healthy food in supermarkets was most affected by inflation.

“An extremely bad effect of this is that it is hitting lower-income households hard – this is pushing people towards unhealthy food,” he added.

Eilis Nithsdale, a 29-year-old clinical practitioner in the city of Leeds in northern England, can afford fresh produce but is feeling the price pressure.

“Today, by the time I got all my fruit and vegetables, I’d spent over 10 pounds – that was probably 3.50 pounds more than before.”

($1 = 0.8650 pounds)

(Reporting by Richa Naidu in London; Additional reporting by Andy Bruce; Editing by Matthew Scuffham and Pravin Char)

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SHANGHAI (Reuters) – The profitability surge of a Shanghai food supplier seeking a Hong Kong listing, disclosed in an exchange filing, gives a rare peep under the hood into a cohort of Chinese companies that have benefited from President Xi Jinping’s zero-COVID policy.

Pang Pang Xiang (China) Company Ltd saw its gross profit margin surge to more than 50% in January-May, compared with roughly 30% in 2019-2021, thanks to its government-mandated role to ensure food supplies during Shanghai’s COVID-19 lockdown, according to a document it published on Monday.

That contrasted with the shrinking margins, or even losses many businesses suffered during the two-month, city-wide lockdown.

The disclosure by Pang Pang Xiang, which attributed the spike in margins to supply shortages and surging demand during the lockdown, drew criticism from local bloggers and Chinese social media users this week.

“We ordinary people tried our best to understand when food became expensive during lockdowns,” commented one user on Weibo, China’s Twitter-like social media platform.

“We just didn’t know how profitable they were!”

The company was among those picked by the Shanghai government this year to guarantee the supply of agricultural products during the city’s lockdown of its 25 million residents between April and May.

“The typical supply chain during the lockdown was greatly disrupted, the result was a lot of pricing asymmetry as well as very high demand,” said Ben Cavender, managing director at China Market Research Group in Shanghai.

“This in turn allowed the company to dramatically improve margins over what they normally would be.”

Many Shanghai residents turned to community group-buying to procure essentials during the lockdown, where residents in one community band together to bulk buy groceries or meals from suppliers or restaurants.

Among COVID-related buying customers, group-buying contributed to roughly half of its revenue, with a gross profit margin of 74.7%, according to Pang Pang Xiang’s disclosure.

Pang Pang Xiang’s sales were impacted by the lockdown, however. Its revenue dropped 15% from a year earlier during the first five months, though gross profit jumped 35% due to higher margins.

Cavender said the firm’ margins were on the high end compared to what he has seen in the industry, and that the results will be very difficult to replicate going forward.

While the rest of the world is opening up, China has vowed to maintain its zero-COVID policy, with authorities continuing to stem outbreaks through lockdowns and mass testing. Some analysts believe the government will largely stick with the tough restrictions well into next year.

Since the end of China’s Communist Party Congress over the weekend, the execution of the zero-COVID policy “has been clearly stepped up in a rising number of cities, as containing COVID remains a key performance measure for local officials,” Nomura wrote in a note on Thursday, expecting strict curbs will continue until at least March, 2023.

Pang Pang Xiang said it will use the IPO proceeds for strategic acquisitions to expand market share, and to improve operation efficiency and scale up its business, without saying when the listing will likely happen, or how much it will raise.

(Reporting by Jason Xue and Brenda Goh; additional reporting by Samuel Shen; Editing by Kim Coghill)

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A look at the day ahead in European and global markets from Tom Westbrook.

Having jumped the gun a few times, markets are again pricing in a pivot in monetary policy and might be getting closer to the mark.

Bonds are rejoicing at this week’s step-down in hiking speed at the Bank of Canada and hints the European Central Bank is getting closer to satisfied with its progress. Ten-year Italian BTPs are eyeing their best week in a decade, with yields down 73 basis points since last Friday’s close.

In Australia, where inflation roared to a 32-year high this week, 10-year government bonds closed out their best week since 1996, with the market all but convinced the central bank will stick to its downshifted 25 basis-point hike size.

Mixed but mostly disappointing results at U.S. tech giants also add to evidence that the slowdown central banks have been trying to engineer is arriving in the real economy. The U.S. dollar has put in a rare retreat this week.

Chevron and Exxon Mobil report in the U.S. later on Friday. In Europe Volkswagen, Saab and French fund-management giant Amundi report earnings.

In Asia, the bargain-hunter rebound in Hong Kong seems to have run its course and stocks fell. The Bank of Japan kept policy settings unchanged, as expected.

But, notably, and somewhat unusually, Euribor and Fed funds futures extended overnight gains into the Asia day. Markets now price a peak in the Fed funds rate around 4.8%, after flirting with 5% a week ago.

Ironically the moves may even reduce the likelihood of a pivot or pivot-ish hint from the Fed.

Lower bond yields loosen financial conditions, and may have the Fed preferring to sound more hawkish than dovish. Treasuries have joined the global rally, with 10-year yields down nearly 30 bps this week.

Key developments that could influence markets on Friday:

Economics: Germany, France preliminary GDP, Eurozone consumer confidence, U.S. consumer sentiment, personal income and spending, Core PCE

Earnings: Caixabank, Volkswagen, Amundi, NatWest, Danske Bank, Sanofi, Saab, Swiss Re, Chevron, Exxon Mobil

(Reporting by Tom Westbrook; Editing by Sam Holmes)

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TAIPEI (Reuters) – China should stop its sabre-rattling against Taiwan and maintain peace and stability, the head of Taiwan’s China-policy making Mainland Affairs Council said on Friday, as Beijing ramped up political and military pressure on the island it claimed as its own.

China has stepped up military activities near democratically governed Taiwan since August, when it conductd to blockade drills around the island following a visit to Taipei by U.S. House Speaker Nancy Pelosi.

“Beijing should stop its sabrer-rattling as it only deepens the gap between the two sides and raises tensions in the region,” Mainland Affairs Council minister Chiu Tai-san told a forum in Taipei.

“We urge mainland China to lay down arms and maintain peace and stability. The key to peace is to reverse the mindset of handling problems with force,” Chiu said, adding Beijing should resolve disagreements with Taipei via “a constructive dialogue without preconditions.”

Chiu said he hoped China could gradually relax its travel restrictions to control the COVID-19 pandemic so that the two sides could resume “healthy and orderly exchanges and create room for positive interaction.”

China has repeatedly rebuffed offers for talks on the basis of equality with mutual respect by Taiwan President Tsai Ing-wen, who Beijing views as a separatist.

China considers Taiwan its own territory. Earlier this month, President Xi Jinping said in a speech at the opening of a the Communist Party Congress in Beijing that it is up to the Chinese people to resolve the Taiwan issue and that China will never renounce the use of force over Taiwan.

Taipei says only the island’s 23 million people can decide their future, and that as Taiwan has never been ruled by the People’s Republic of China its sovereignty claims are void.

(Reporting By Yimou Lee; Editing by Simon Cameron-Moore)

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By Ann Saphir

(Reuters) – The Federal Reserve is seen slowing its aggressive rate-hike pace in December, with data published Thursday offering new evidence that the economic slowdown that the central bank is trying to engineer is getting underway.

Fed Chair Jerome Powell and his 18 fellow central bankers are still expected to back a fourth-straight 75-basis-point rate hike at their meeting next week.

But betting in rate futures markets is now running strongly in favor of a half-point increase at the Fed’s December meeting — a move that would bring the policy rate to a 4.25%-4.5% range — and no more than a half a point further over the next two meetings. (Graphic: December downshift?, https://graphics.reuters.com/USA-FED/zdpxdyqojpx/chart.png)

Bets are also increasing on interest rate cuts for the latter part of 2023.

U.S. economic growth rebounded in the third quarter, data Thursday showed, but the same report from the Commerce Department showed consumer spending slowed to a 1.4% rate from the prior quarter’s 2.0% pace, and the GDP deflator – an indication of price pressures — eased to 4.1% from the prior quarter’s 9.1%.

The slowdown in consumer spending is an “indication that higher interest rates are biting into the pocketbooks of the consumer,” said Peter Cardillo, chief market economist at Spartan Capital Securities in New York.

A separate report showed new orders for non-defense U.S. capital goods excluding aircraft, seen as a proxy for business spending, unexpectedly fell.

The Fed has lifted interest rates by a full three percentage points so far this year. Though the housing market has slowed dramatically, as mortgage rates have topped 7%, evidence of higher interest rates cooling demand in other parts of the economy has been harder to spot.

Fed policymakers have signaled they will keep raising interest rates to bridle demand in a bid to bring down inflation running far higher than the Fed’s 2% target.

They have also signaled that once they get rates high enough, they don’t intend to reverse course quickly and risk letting inflation heat up again.

Traders are betting they won’t follow through; futures contracts traded at CME Group Inc. are pricing in a top policy-rate range of 4.75%-5% by March 2023, falling to a 4.25%-4.5% range by December.

Fed policymakers will want to parse the data in the lead-up to their last meeting of the year on December 13-14, but may signal after next week’s meeting that their next step could be a downshift.

Economists say the U.S. economic tide is already turning.

“Real consumer spending on goods will fall further, services spending will slow, there are signs that business investment is wavering, and the housing market is reeling under the weight of higher mortgage interest rates,” wrote Regions’ economist Richard Moody. “Moreover, the full impact of higher interest rates has yet to make its way through the economy.”

(Reporting by Ann Saphir; Additional reporting by Lucia Mutikani and Stephen Culp; Editing by Chizu Nomiyama, Aurora Ellis and Daniel Wallis)

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MADRID (Reuters) – Spain’s Caixabank on Friday said that its net profit in the third quarter rose 18.8% against a year ago thanks to an increase in lending income, fees and higher earnings from its insurance business.

The country’s biggest lender by domestic assets reported a net profit of 884 million euros ($882.50 million) in the July to September period. Analysts polled by Reuters expected a net profit of 810 million euros.

Caixabank’s net interest income (NII), or earnings on loans minus deposit costs, rose 6.2% year-on-year to 1.687 billion euros in the third quarter, boosted by higher interest rates. That also beat the analysts’ forecasts of 1.65 billion euros.

Over the first nine months of the year, however, lending income was down 0.4% compared to the same period a year ago.

($1 = 1.0017 euros)

(Reporting by Jesús Aguado; editing by Inti Landauro)

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PARIS (Reuters) -Europe’s Airbus raised its 2022 free cashflow forecast on the back of a strong dollar and reaffirmed delivery and production targets while delaying the projected introduction of its newest jet, the A321XLR, by a few months.

Third-quarter revenues were also partially boosted by the U.S. currency while adjusted operating earnings rose 26% to 836 million euros ($834.50 million), the world’s largest planemaker said on the 50th anniversary of its maiden A300 test flight.

Quarterly revenues rose 27% to 13.309 billion euros.

For 2022, Airbus raised its target for free cashflow before M&A and customer financing by a billion euros to 4.5 billion. It maintained other annual targets including 700 jet deliveries.

It delayed the entry to service of its A321XLR long-range single-aisle jet, which has been facing questions over certification of a new fuel tank, to the second quarter of 2024 from early 2024. All three test planes have flown, it said.

Analysts were on average expecting quarterly adjusted operating income of 887 million euros on revenues of 12.848 billion, according to a company-compiled consensus.

($1= 1.0018 euros)

(Reporting by Tim Hepher;Editing by Sudip Kar-Gupta)

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