– The Nasdaq Composite index slid on Thursday, dropping 20% from its record closing high in November last year and on track to confirm a bear market, after Russia launched an all-out invasion of Ukraine.

If the losses stick through to the close, it would be the first such decline since 2020 when the coronavirus outbreak crushed global financial markets.

At 10:00 a.m. ET, the Dow Jones Industrial Average was down 646.26 points, or 1.95%, at 32,485.50, the S&P 500 was down 62.27 points, or 1.47%, at 4,163.23.

The Nasdaq Composite was down 177.33 points, or 1.36%, at 12,860.16 after having fallen up to 3.4% after the open.

(Reporting by Susan Mathew in Bengaluru; Editing by Arun Koyyur)

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By Amal S

– Canada’s main stock index fell more than 1% on Thursday, with financial and healthcare stocks leading losses, amid a sharp sell-off in global markets after Russia launched an all-out invasion of Ukraine.

At 9:37 a.m. ET (14:37 GMT), the Toronto Stock Exchange’s S&P/TSX composite index was down 307.3 points, or 1.48%, at 20,436.87. The index was set to fall for a sixth straight session.

Russian forces invaded Ukraine in a massed assault by land, sea and air, the biggest attack by one state against another in Europe since World War Two.

Further losses were limited by heavyweight energy sector that climbed 1.0%, as oil prices jumped with Brent rising above $105 a barrel for the first time since 2014, on concerns about disruptions to global energy supply. [O/R]

“U.S. markets are under pressure, but Canada may be cushioned a little bit because it has a lot of gold producers, a lot of energy producers, and for what it’s worth, although completely overshadowed, the first round of earnings from Royal Bank were pretty upbeat,” said Colin Cieszynski, chief market strategist at SIA Wealth Management.

The materials sector, which includes precious and base metals miners and fertilizer companies, added 0.5% as gold futures rose 2.5% to $1,957 an ounce. [GOL/]

Royal Bank of Canada kicked off Canadian lenders’ first-quarter results with a stronger-than-expected 6% rise in adjusted earnings, driven by wealth management and loan growth. Shares fell 2.1% in early trading.

Loblaw Cos Ltd fell 1.2%, despite the retailer beating market estimates for quarterly revenue, as demand for groceries and other essential items stayed strong.

On the economic front, domestic factory sales most likely rose 1.3% in January from December, Statistics Canada said in a flash estimate.

(Reporting by Amal S in Bengaluru; Editing by Vinay Dwivedi)

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TORONTO – The Canadian dollar weakened to its lowest level since December against its U.S. counterpart on Thursday as Russia’s invasion of Ukraine triggered a flight to safety in global financial markets.

Stock markets globally slumped and the safe-haven U.S. dollar rallied after the biggest attack by one country against another in Europe since World War Two.

The Canadian dollar was trading 0.7% lower at 1.2819 to the greenback, or 78.01 U.S. cents, after touching its weakest intraday level since Dec. 27 at 1.2847.

Still, the commodity-linked loonie fared better than most other G10 currencies. Only the Japanese yen and the Swiss franc performed better against the greenback.

The price of oil, one of Canada’s major exports, climbed 7.60% to $99.10 a barrel as the invasion added to concerns about disruptions to global energy supply.

Higher sales in the petroleum and coal product industry helped drive a 1.3% increase in Canadian factory sales in January from December, a preliminary estimate showed.

Investors stuck with bets for the Bank of Canada to hike interest rates next Wednesday for the first time since October 2018, but longer-term rates tumbled, tracking the move in U.S. Treasuries.

The 10-year yield was down 7.4 basis points to 1.900%.

(Reporting by Fergal Smith; editing by Jonathan Oatis)

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TAIPEI – Taiwan’s air force scrambled again on Thursday to warn away nine Chinese aircraft that entered its air defence zone, Taiwan’s defence ministry said, on the same day that Russia invaded Ukraine, a crisis being watched closely in Taipei.

Taiwan, which China claims as its own territory, has complained of regular such missions by the Chinese air force over the last two years, though the aircraft do not get close to Taiwan itself.

The number of aircraft involved was well off the last large-scale incursion, 39 Chinese aircraft on Jan. 23, and since then, such fly-bys have been sporadic with far fewer aircraft.

The ministry said the latest mission involved eight Chinese J-16 fighters and one Y-8 reconnaissance aircraft, which flew over an area to the northeast of the Taiwan-controlled Pratas Islands at the top end of the South China Sea.

Taiwanese fighters were sent up to warn the Chinese aircraft and air defence missiles were deployed to “monitor the activities”, the ministry said, using standard wording for how Taiwan describes its response.

Taiwan has been warily watching the Ukraine crisis, nervous that China may try to take advantage to move on the island.

While Taipei has not reported any unusual movements by Chinese forces, the government has increased its alert level.

China has never renounced the use of force to bring Taiwan under its control, and routinely condemns U.S. arms sales or other shows of support from Washington.

Speaking in Beijing earlier on Thursday when asked about the new U.S. Indo-Pacific strategy, Chinese Defence Ministry spokesman Tan Kefei reiterated that Taiwan was a “core issue” of China’s and it would tolerate no foreign interference.

“We urge the U.S. side to recognise the high sensitivity of the Taiwan issue, stop interfering in China’s internal affairs and stop playing with fire on the Taiwan issue,” Tan said.

In the 12-page Indo-Pacific strategy overview issued earlier this month, the Biden administration vowed to commit more diplomatic and security resources to the region.

On Taiwan, Washington would work with partners inside and outside the region to maintain peace and stability in the strait dividing the island from China, it said.

(Reporting by Ben Blanchard; Editing by Raissa Kasolowsky and Bernadette Baum)

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BERLIN – An application by Russian state nuclear power company Rosatom for permission to buy a stake in a nuclear fuel reprocessing plant in Lingen in Germany has been withdrawn, German Energy Minister Robert Habeck said.

“The application has been withdrawn,” Habeck told a news conference on Thursday.

(Reporting by Thomas Escritt; Editing by Madeline Chambers)

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By Matt Spetalnick, Simon Lewis and Steve Holland

WASHINGTON -He threatened to impose the harshest sanctions ever on Russia. He worked to galvanize U.S. allies into a united front. He supplied Ukraine with more weapons than any American president before him. And he beefed up U.S. forces on NATO’s eastern flank as reassurance of his commitment.

     Despite U.S. President Joe Biden’s efforts to head off a Russian attack against Ukraine, President Vladimir Putin was undeterred as his forces invaded on Thursday in a mass assault by land, air and sea. After weeks of fruitless diplomacy, Russian missiles rained down on Ukrainian cities and troops poured across the border from Russia and Belarus.

How Biden deals with the unfolding crisis, which Western officials fear could spiral into the bloodiest European conflict since World War Two, is expected to have profound implications for his political fortunes and U.S. relations with the world.

Biden vowed the United States and its allies would respond decisively to Russia’s “unprovoked and unjustified attack.”

    But his handling of the biggest international crisis of his presidency has been deemed something of a mixed bag so far.

Biden was always going to be limited because his administration made clear it would do whatever it could to help Ukraine defend itself but was not going to put troops on the ground.

His preference for diplomacy and sanctions reflects the scant appetite Americans have for intervention after the Afghanistan and Iraq quagmires.

Putin had the advantage of knowing Biden was not going to war against another nuclear power to protect a country that shared a long border with Russia — and with which Washington had no defense agreement.

FOCUS ON NATO’S EASTERN FLANK

Biden focused instead on coordinating with NATO allies, especially those in the east worried about the spillover from Russia’s buildup of 150,000 troops on Ukraine’s borders.

Washington spearheaded an initial round of sanctions after Putin ordered troops into two separatist-controlled breakaway regions after recognizing them as independent on Feb. 21. It was a warning shot that failed to ward off Thursday’s action.

In the prelude, Biden’s messaging strategy was to issue dire predictions of an imminent invasion to show he knew what Putin was up to — even if he couldn’t stop him.

A key result has been to re-energize a Western military alliance that had fallen into disrepair under Biden’s predecessor, Donald Trump, who had questioned the value of NATO.

A senior European diplomat described Biden’s consultations with allies as “exemplary,” a contrast to how many partners viewed last year’s chaotic U.S. withdrawal from Afghanistan.

Some analysts questioned, however, whether deploying a few thousand additional U.S. troops to Germany, Poland and Romania was sufficient, and suggested Biden could have done more to maintain a credible military option.

“One of the shortcomings is the deterrence package that we’ve developed is kind of asymmetrical in that it’s mostly economic and we’re facing a military threat,” said Ian Kelly, a former U.S. ambassador to the Organization for Security and Co-operation in Europe (OSCE) and Georgia.

Kelly said Biden could have sought activation of the NATO Response Force and sent it into Poland and the Baltic states, with the message: “You have massed troops on your border. We’re massing troops on our border; we’ll withdraw when you withdraw.”

PRAISE FOR ALLIANCE BUILDING

    Analysts credit Biden with working with allies to prepare sanctions aimed at crippling the Russian economy and hitting Putin’s inner circle. He persuaded Germany, long considered the weak link, to freeze approvals for the Nord Stream 2 gas pipeline.

Next steps could include an attempt to sever Russia’s links to the global financial system.

Some U.S. lawmakers contended it would have been more effective to slap sanctions on Russia earlier, but Biden officials insisted that would have diminished their impact now.

    U.S. officials have acknowledged that sanctions could spur higher oil prices, adding to Biden’s challenge of fighting inflation.

It remains to be seen whether sanctions will get Putin to back down.

Biden’s decision to declassify intelligence about what it alleged were Russian plots to fabricate pretexts for a Ukraine invasion was also praised for countering Putin’s misinformation.

Andrew Weiss, a Russia expert at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace think tank in Washington, said this “kept Putin in the hot seat.”

But the administration drew criticism for refusing to offer concrete evidence. Some commentators recalled intelligence claims used to justify the 2003 Iraq invasion of a renewed nuclear program that proved not to exist.

NATO’S ‘OPEN DOOR’

    Biden was also hailed by Western governments for sticking to NATO’s “open door” for aspiring members. But some critics said Biden should have been more explicit about how far away Ukraine was from entry, given that one of Putin’s chief demands was to eschew further expansion eastward of the security pact.

Biden’s response could also have repercussions for U.S.-China relations. There is concern if Biden appears too soft on Moscow, China could take it as acquiescence to act against self-ruled Taiwan, which Beijing considers a renegade province.

As the crisis unfolded, Biden spoke regularly to world leaders, including Putin himself, taking a forceful stand with the former KGB officer, to whom Trump had shown deference.

Behind closed doors, a cross-government “Tiger Team” conducted tabletop exercises gaming out every possible scenario.

Putin’s defiance could give Republicans a cudgel to use against Biden and his fellow Democrats in the November midterm congressional elections, which will decide the balance of power in Washington.

And Biden’s strategy leading up to the Russian attack will come under closer scrutiny as he charts the path forward.

(Reporting by Matt Spetalnick, Simon Lewis, Steve Holland, Michelle Nichols, Humeyra Pamuk, David Brunnstrom, Idrees Ali; Writing by Matt Spetalnick; Editing by Lincoln Feast and Jonathan Oatis)

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By Thomas Escritt and Sarah Marsh

SCHWERIN, Germany – In the north German state of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern, where former Chancellor Angela Merkel had her constituency, ties to Russia run deep – so deep, in fact, its leaders have defended a Kremlin project that the United States says helped cripple Ukraine.

At issue is a new gas pipeline project, which Germany halted on Tuesday in retaliation for Russia’s decision to recognise two breakaway regions in eastern Ukraine, shortly before it invaded and brought Europe to the brink of a major war.

Mecklenburg-Vorpommern is the landfall site for the line, Nord Stream 2, which bypasses the former Soviet Republic. The United States long argued the line would weaken Ukraine; Germany and Russia insisted the project was purely commercial. Nonetheless, in 2019 Washington set sanctions on some companies and individuals who were helping to build it, maintaining the line is a tool for Russia to support aggression against Ukraine.

Last January, the regional premier, Manuela Schwesig, took action to support the Russian project. At her initiative, the state parliament voted to set up a special foundation whose charter said it could acquire, manage, own, provide or let land, tools and machines to help the completion of the pipeline.

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“We believe that it is right to build the pipeline,” Schwesig told reporters in January 2021. Advocating for the pipeline in the state parliament last January, Schwesig said the U.S. sanctions were self-interested. “Nobody who is working on building the pipeline is doing anything wrong,” she said. “The ones doing something wrong are those who are trying to stop the pipeline.”

Nord Stream 2 would double the amount of gas Russia can pump directly to Germany, its biggest customer for gas, make Germany and Europe less vulnerable to supply interruptions caused by disputes between Russia and Ukraine, and bring economic benefits to Mecklenburg-Vorpommern, a relatively deprived region that used to be in the German Democratic Republic.

But this year as Russia stepped up pressure on Ukraine, questions mounted around the Foundation, called Klima-und Umweltschutz MV (Climate and Environment Protection Foundation). It would not reveal who was running its sanctions-busting operation beyond saying that the person was appointed by Nord Stream 2 AG, a company owned by Gazprom PAO, which is fully controlled by the Russian state.

Asked who that was, Swiss-based Nord Stream 2 did not respond. Gazprom did not respond to a request for comment.

The state auditor, the Court of Auditors, told Reuters on Feb. 9 it was concerned that Mecklenburg-Vorpommern had largely given up control over the Foundation’s assets. This meant there was no guarantee that the Foundation would always work in the public interest, said Sebastian Jahn, the court’s spokesman, in a telephone interview.

The Foundation said on Wednesday it would stop helping the pipeline project, but declined to say exactly what it had done to aid it so far. In an account of its first year on its website, it said that to complete the pipeline, “the U.S.’s illegal threats had to be countered with a wide range of measures, which for obvious reasons cannot be made the subject of public explanation.”

Public records show it purchased a ship which entered the Baltic last July and which a U.S. State Department report to Congress last November said had engaged in pipe-laying activities, on Nord Stream 2 or another sanctioned project.

“We did what is necessary, the pipeline is practically completed,” Foundation Chairman Erwin Sellering told German broadcaster NDR on Wednesday, adding that this involved helping small and medium-sized companies do their work. “We can say we fulfilled our mandate,” he added.

As Russia continues to pressure Ukraine, other questions are mounting about the links between the pipeline, Germany’s ruling Social Democrat Party (SPD), and Moscow. The regional premier Schwesig is, like Chancellor Olaf Scholz, a member of the SPD, which traditionally advocates rapprochement with Russia.

So, too, is Gerhard Schroeder, a former Chancellor who has described himself as Putin’s personal friend. One of his last acts in office in 2005 was to sign the deal creating the Nord Stream 2 project. Soon after, he became chairman of the company behind it – the first of several directorial positions he has taken at Russian energy companies.

Now, opposition to his lobbying is becoming increasingly heated across Germany. Schwesig and Schroeder declined to comment for this story.

In 2019, Scholz rejected the U.S. sanctions as interference in Germany’s affairs. On Tuesday, after Russia formally recognised the two breakaway regions, he decided to halt certification of the pipeline.

But some analysts say the damage to Germany is already done.

“Russia has succeeded in using the personal interests of prominent German political figures against Germany,” said Marcel Dirsus, Non-Resident Fellow at the Institute for Security Policy at Kiel University.

“All this is doubly dangerous for Germany: It allows an adversarial foreign power to influence decision-making and it raises questions about Germany’s reliability among the country’s allies.”

TRANSPARENCY CHALLENGE

The Foundation, housed in a grey townhouse next to a kebab shop, was funded from 200,000 euros ($227,000) given by Mecklenburg-Vorpommern, plus 20 million euros from Nord Stream 2. It said its prime goal was to act against climate change, arguing that even though gas is a fossil fuel, it’s needed as a clean alternative to coal until Germany can manage on renewable energy.

It promised a free tree and 500 euros to every kindergarten in the state, and said its secondary goal was to make sure the Nord Stream 2 pipeline was completed, “regardless of external efforts.” Even though Nord Stream 2 made up the majority of the Foundation’s funding, the Foundation would not reveal any information about its activities to beat U.S. sanctions.

“Transparency is very important to us,” Foundation Chief Executive Christine Klinger said in a telephone interview. But she added in a later email that as a foundation, her group was not obliged to respond to requests under the regional Freedom of Information laws.

In German law, an endowed foundation must spend all it earns from its capital on a public good: Deutsche Umwelthilfe, an environmentalist group, argues the Foundation was in violation of this law. The group brought a legal challenge against the Foundation in March 2021, arguing that it served the interests of the Nord Stream 2, a private business, not the public. That case continues.

Transparency watchdog Transparency International (TI) said the Foundation may have violated anti money-laundering legislation, since its claimed purpose was different from its actual purpose, which was to help Nord Stream 2.

“The mere fact that a foundation that is meant to be devoted to climate and environmental protection is … supporting the efforts of a Russian state company to build a gas pipeline and dodge international sanctions is questionable,” said Transparency International’s finance expert Stephan Ohme. “But the fact that the Foundation obscures who it is actually benefiting is a possible violation of German and European money-laundering laws.”

TI also argued that others with influence over the Foundation, such as Gazprom’s Chief Executive Alexei Miller and the Russian state, should also have been listed on the Foundation’s records in Germany’s national transparency register.

Foundation Chair Sellering dismissed TI’s claims as “total nonsense” in his TV interview, saying it was not true that the Foundation’s financial backers had any influence over its actions and that it was simply not wise to comment step-by-step when “disputing a world power.” He was referring to the United States.

The state government is not responsible for listing names in the transparency register or for policing it, a government spokesperson said, and declined further comment.

At least three senior members of the regional SPD are closely linked to the Foundation: Schwesig, the premier who backed legislation creating it; Sellering, its chairman, a former state premier; and Christian Pegel, a lawyer and former economy minister who introduced the legislation in the regional parliament and whom political colleagues describe as the brains behind it.

Sellering told Reuters earlier this month the Ukraine crisis was being used as an excuse by “significant forces in the United States and Germany who have always opposed the pipeline.” None of the politicians responded to Reuters requests for comment on Wednesday.

“GAS, NOT BLOOD”

As Chancellor Scholz suspended Nord Stream 2, pressure grew on him to take his predecessor Schroeder to task for lobbying for Gazprom.

Politicians from the opposition and junior coalition party the Free Democrats called on the government to strip Schroeder of his privileges as a former chancellor, such as an office with car and staff. Some said he should repay taxpayer money spent in previous years if the spending can in any way be linked to his lobbying activities.

Last week, at a meeting with Scholz in the Kremlin, Putin lavished praise on Schroeder and Scholz distanced himself from the former Chancellor. “He speaks for himself, not the government,” he said.

In Mecklenburg-Vorpommern, support for Nord Stream 2 is broad-based, including the regional CDU – Merkel’s party. Merkel, who has been critical of Putin, did not respond to a request for comment. People in the region have a different relationship to Russia from those in western Germany, said Franz-Robert Liskow, CDU parliamentary leader.

Just over 70% of regional respondents to a January 2021 poll by Forsa for the Ostsee Zeitung newspaper thought the pipeline would be important for Germany’s energy supply. In eastern Germany more broadly, 74% backed the pipeline last year, another poll found. After the U.S. moved to sanction the line, a third poll found 24% of East Germans thought Germany should respond with counter-sanctions.

The region’s ties to Russia are ancient. Even in the Middle Ages the cities of the German Baltic coast were intimately linked with Russia by sea. For many years, the region’s Baltic Sea ports had direct ferry and cargo routes to the Russian ports of St. Petersburg and Kaliningrad.

Its sea port of Mukran, the East German government’s last major infrastructural project, started in 1982, was meant to create a direct trade link to Russia bypassing Poland, then in a state of turmoil following the declaration of a state of emergency.

Deprived of its purpose after the Soviet Union collapsed, Mukran played an important role in construction of a previous pipeline and was used as a place to store materials before they were shipped to lay Nord Stream 2, a spokesperson told Reuters.

For Torsten Koplin, regional head of the hard-left Die Linke party that is the successor to the East German Communist Party, the Russian connection goes beyond economic gains. He argued that local people see the trade Nord Stream 2 represents as an opportunity to preserve peace.

On the street near the Foundation, office worker Roland Bentler echoed that view. He wondered aloud if freezing the pipeline “really was the most urgent decision” that Germany’s government needed to take in the Ukraine crisis.

“Positions will harden,” he said, “but I hope that reason will win out in the end and that gas will flow, not blood.”

(The story corrects to show state was site of Merkel’s constituency, not birthplace.)

(With additional reporting by Andreas Rinke in Berlin and Vladimir Soldatkin in Moscow; Edited by Sara Ledwith)

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By Joseph White

DETROIT – Autonomous vehicle venture Motional and ride services company Via said they will launch on Thursday a robo-taxi service in Las Vegas, the latest step by Motional toward commercial deployment of its autonomous vehicle systems.

Via will use vehicles outfitted with Motional autonomous driving systems to offer free rides between several locations in downtown Las Vegas. Motional is a joint venture of Hyundai Motor Co and automotive technology supplier Aptiv PLC.

Motional CEO Karl Iagnemma told Reuters the company is on track to launch fully driverless rides late next year using Hyundai electric vehicles on Lyft Inc’s network in Las Vegas in a separate initiative.

Motional is one of several autonomous driving technology companies pushing to start revenue-generating services in the United States using driverless vehicles over the next one to two years.

“Everything in this industry has accelerated,” Iagnemma said. “Now the question is how quickly can you scale?”

Motional’s co-parent Hyundai plans to begin assembling Hyundai Ioniq 5 electric vehicles with sensors and software engineered by Motional for use as driverless people carriers or driverless food delivery vehicles. The Motional Ioniqs will be assembled on the same production line as conventional Ioniqs.

Motional and Uber Technologies have agreed to deploy Motional autonomous Ioniq 5 vehicles to deliver goods to Uber Eats customers in Santa Monica. The vehicles will have operators on board at first, with the goal to take human drivers out, Iagnemma said.

Uber has separate partnerships with Aurora Innovation Inc to use self-driving Toyota minivans on its ride hailing system and deploy trucks driven by Aurora robotic systems on the Uber Freight shipping platform.

(Reporting By Joe White; Editing by Cynthia Osterman)

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By Lawrence Hurley and Valerie Volcovici

WASHINGTON – President Joe Biden’s climate-related agenda, already under threat due to congressional failure to pass key legislation, now faces the prospect of a hostile reception at the U.S. Supreme Court that could have lasting consequences on the use of federal power to tackle environmental issues.

The court’s 6-3 conservative majority, suspicious of broad federal agency power, will weigh at oral arguments next Monday the Environmental Protection Agency’s (EPA) authority to regulate greenhouse gas emissions from existing coal- and gas-fired power plants under the landmark Clean Air Act.

An eventual ruling restricting EPA authority could hobble the administration’s ability to curb the power sector’s emissions – representing about a quarter of U.S. greenhouse gases.

“Could it be damaging? If it’s an adverse decision, of course it could be,” John Kerry, the Biden administration’s special envoy on climate change, told Reuters.

The United States, trailing only China in greenhouse gas emissions, is a crucial player in global efforts to combat climate change.

The case before the Supreme Court was brought by Republican-led states led by coal producer West Virginia. Other challengers include coal companies and coal-friendly industry groups. Coal is among the most greenhouse gas-intensive fuels.

Democratic-led states and major power companies https://www.reuters.com/business/sustainable-business/us-utilities-side-with-environment-agency-supreme-court-climate-case-2022-01-27 including Consolidated Edison Inc, Exelon Corp and PG&E Corp sided with Biden’s administration, as did the Edison Electric Institute, an investor-owned utility trade group. The utility industry believes regulatory certainty will help companies devise investment plans.

The justices will review the U.S. Court of Appeals for the District of Columbia Circuit’s 2021 ruling striking down Republican former President Donald Trump’s Affordable Clean Energy rule. That regulation would have imposed limits on a Clean Air Act provision called Section 111 that gives the EPA authority to regulate emissions from existing power plants.

The rule proposed by Trump, a supporter of the U.S. coal industry who also questioned climate change science, was meant to replace Democratic former President Barack Obama’s Clean Power Plan requiring big cuts in carbon emissions from the power industry.

The Supreme Court blocked implementation https://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-court-carbon/supreme-court-blocks-obama-carbon-emissions-plan-idUSKCN0VI2A0 of the Clean Power Plan in 2016 without ruling on its lawfulness.

Coal-aligned groups now want the justices to rule that Biden’s administration cannot take a sweeping approach to regulating carbon emissions under Section 111. Such a decision would prevent the EPA from enforcing industry-wide changes, confining it to measures targeting individual plants.

That would be a huge blow for Biden’s administration, which has a goal of decarbonizing the U.S. power sector by 2035. The White House’s incentive-base proposal to achieve that goal was rejected in Congress during budget and infrastructure legislation negotiations.

INDIRECT CURBS?

The Supreme Court already has shown hostility to broad agency actions, most recently on Jan. 13 by blocking Biden’s COVID-19 vaccine-or-test mandate https://www.reuters.com/world/us/us-supreme-court-blocks-biden-vaccine-or-test-policy-large-businesses-2022-01-13 for large employers. The court said congressional authorization was required for any policy imposing “a significant encroachment on the lives – and health – of a vast number of employees.”

The court previously has cited what is called the “major questions” doctrine in blocking other government actions, including a 2014 ruling limiting an earlier EPA regulation aimed at reducing carbon emissions from new plants.

The challengers in the latest case are making similar arguments that Congress did not explicitly empower the EPA to issue sweeping regulations under Section 111.

“Major policy choices affecting the national economy should not be made by unelected agency officials,” lawyers for the North American Coal Corporation, one of the challengers, wrote in court papers.

The court could stop short of a “serious check” on the power of the EPA and other federal agencies while reaching “a more technical result that says something along the lines of ‘you can’t do ambitious climate policy under Section 111,'” said University of South Carolina law professor Nathan Richardson.

The justices also could dismiss the appeal altogether if they conclude the challengers lack proper legal standing considering there is no regulation currently on the books.

If Biden’s administration loses the case, Congress would need to pass new legislation for the government to impose sweeping climate-related regulations – an unlikely prospect in the near-term given the deep divisions among lawmakers.

Climate experts have said the EPA meanwhile could attempt to regulate carbon emissions from power plants indirectly by ramping up efforts to curb other air pollutants like soot that tend to rise and fall with carbon dioxide, or by requiring efficiency upgrades.

Biden’s administration also could seek action from other agencies and departments like fast-tracking electric transmission projects that could connect far-flung solar and wind farms to consumers.

“A number of different agencies have pieces of the decarbonization puzzle,” said Kyle Danish, a lawyer who represents companies on environmental issues.

Such efforts on their own are insufficient to reach the administration’s emission-reduction targets, which is why broad EPA authority to regulate power plants remains important, said David Doniger, a lawyer at the Natural Resources Defense Council, one of the environmental groups that challenged Trump’s rule.

“The target that they set is not going to be achieved by a silver bullet,” Doniger said. “It’s going to be a lot of silver buckshot.”

(This story corrects date of arguments, Monday instead of Tuesday)

(Reporting by Lawrence Hurley and Valerie Volcovici in Washington; Additional reporting by Aidan Lewis in Cairo; Editing by Will Dunham)

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By Pavel Polityuk and Polina Nikolskaya

KYIV/DONETSK – Separatists in Ukraine asked Moscow to help repel “aggression” on Wednesday and explosions rocked the breakaway eastern city of Donetsk as the United States warned everything is in place for a major attack by Russia on its neighbor.

Hours after the breakaway regions issued their plea, at least five explosions were heard in the separatist-held eastern Ukraine city of Donetsk on Thursday morning, a Reuters witness said. Four military trucks were seen heading to the scene.

Airlines should stop flying over any part of Ukraine because of the risk of an unintended shootdown or a cyber attack targeting air traffic control amid tensions with Russia, a conflict zone monitor said.

“Russia has positioned its forces at the final point of readiness,” U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken told NBC Nightly News. “Everything seems to be in place for Russia to engage in a major aggression against Ukraine.”

The United Nations Security Council will discuss the stand-off on Wednesday night, diplomats said, in the 15-member body’s second late night meeting on the crisis this week.

Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen spoke separately with her counterparts from Britain and Canada, with officials planning to stay in close touch on potential further responses. G7 leaders are also due to talk on Thursday.

Convoys of military equipment including nine tanks were seen moving towards Donetsk earlier on Wednesday from the direction of the Russian border, a Reuters witness reported.

Shelling has intensified since Russian President Vladimir Putin recognised two separatist regions as independent and ordered the deployment of what he called peacekeepers, a move the West calls the start of an invasion.

Moscow has long denied that it has plans to invade despite massing tens of thousands of troops near its neighbor.

“I am asking for help to repel the Ukrainian regime’s military aggression against the population of the Donetsk People’s Republic,” said Denis Pushilin who heads the area Moscow recognised as independent, according to TASS news agency.

The White House rejected the separatist plea for help as another Russian “false flag” operation, a fake crisis manufactured to justify greater intervention.

“This is an example of it,” White House press secretary Jen Psaki told reporters. “That is suggesting that they feel under threat. By whom? The Ukrainians that the Russians are threatening to attack?”

U.N. chief Antonio Guterres has dismissed claims of a genocide in eastern Ukraine. Under international law, genocide is an intent to destroy, in whole or in part, a national, ethnical, racial or religious group.

WAR FOOTING?

A total of 80% of the soldiers assembled are in a position to launch a full-scale invasion on Ukraine, a senior U.S. defence official said.

Satellite imagery taken on Wednesday showed new deployments in western Russia, many of them within 10 miles (16 km) of the border with Ukraine and less than 50 miles from the Ukrainian city of Kharkiv, U.S. satellite company Maxar said.

The images showed field deployment, military convoys, artillery and armoured personnel carriers with support equipment and troops. The images could not be independently verified by Reuters.

Russia has partially closed airspace in the Rostov flight information region to the east of its border with Ukraine “in order to provide safety” for civil aviation flights, according to its notice to airmen.

A 30-day state of emergency in Ukraine restricting the freedom of movement of conscripted reservists, curbing the media and imposing personal document checks, according to a draft text, begins on Thursday.

The Ukrainian government has also announced compulsory military service for all men of fighting age.

While the West has held off the most stringent sanctions measures it could impose, the United States stepped up the pressure by imposing sanctions on the firm building the Nord Stream 2 gas pipeline and its corporate officers.

Germany on Tuesday froze approvals for the pipeline, which has been built but was not yet in operation, amid concerns it could allow Moscow to weaponize energy supplies to Europe.

The rouble plunged more than 3% as the European Union blacklisted Russian lawmakers, freezing their assets and banning travel. Wall Street slipped on news of security measures taken by Ukraine’s government.

‘SILENCE’ ON TALKS

Ukrainian government websites, which have experienced outages in recent weeks blamed by Kyiv on cyber attacks, were again offline on Wednesday. Ukraine’s parliament, cabinet and foreign ministry websites were affected.

Moscow has described warnings of an invasion as anti-Russian hysteria. On Wednesday, it took down flags from its embassy in Kyiv, having ordered its diplomats to evacuate for safety reasons.

Ukraine’s military said one soldier had been killed and six wounded in increased shelling by pro-Russian separatists using heavy artillery, mortar bombs and Grad rocket systems in the two breakaway areas in the last 24 hours.

Russia says the crisis is a dispute with the West, demanding security guarantees, including a promise never to allow Ukraine to join NATO.

But the recognition of the separatist regions was accompanied by much stronger language against Ukraine, which Putin called an artificial construct wrongly carved out of Russia by its enemies.

While both sides have said they are still open to diplomacy to resolve the crisis, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy said Moscow had approved an offensive and not replied to an invitation for talks.

“Today I initiated a telephone conversation with the President of the Russian Federation. The result was silence,” he said.

(Reporting by Reuters bureaus, Writing by Costas Pitas and Stephen Coates; Editing by Rosalba O’Brien and Lincoln Feast)

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MEXICO CITY – Mexican core price inflation in the first half of February climbed to levels not seen in over 20 years, according to official data published on Thursday, underscoring the challenges the Bank of Mexico faces to tame rising consumer prices.

The closely watched core price index, which strips out some volatile food and energy prices, climbed 0.43% in early February, the national statistics agency INEGI said. That was above expectations in a Reuters poll for a 0.31% increase.

Annual core inflation accelerated to 6.52%, beating expectations for a 6.40% rise. The last time the annual core price index reached that level was in the first half of July 2001.

Headline consumer price inflation rose 0.42% during the first half of February, above expectations for a 0.38% increase, while annual headline inflation jumped to 7.22%, versus a forecast for 7.17%.

The jump in inflation suggests Mexico’s “central bank is struggling in its battle to contain price pressures,” said Nikhil Sanghani, emerging markets economist at Capital Economics.

Earlier this month, Banxico, as the Bank of Mexico is known, raised its benchmark interest rate for the sixth consecutive time, citing inflation.

Banxico targets inflation of 3% with a one percentage point tolerance range above and below that.

“The recent surge in global commodity prices as a result of the Russia-Ukraine crisis will keep inflation high in the coming months, meaning Banxico’s tightening cycle has much further to run,” said Sanghani.

Banxico will make its next monetary policy decision on March 24, a week after the U.S. Federal Reserve is expected to raise interest rates after years of sitting near zero.

(Reporting by Anthony Esposito and Noe Torres; Editing by Alexandra Hudson and Mark Potter)

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CHICAGO – The value of U.S. farm exports will reach a record $183.5 billion in 2022, the government said on Thursday.

Overseas demand from traditional trading partners has remained strong despite recent price increases, U.S. Agriculture Department chief economist Seth Meyer said at the agency’s annual Agricultural Outlook Forum.

(Reporting by Mark Weinraub)

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PARIS – A European arms procurement agency representing France, Germany, Spain and Italy signed a long-awaited contract with Airbus for the development of a new European military drone, Airbus said on Thursday.

The contract with procurement agency OCCAR includes the development and manufacturing of 20 Medium Altitude, Long Endurance systems and 5 years of initial in-service support.

Eurodrone will generate more than 7,000 high-tech jobs and strengthen European industrial sovereignty, Mike Schoellhorn, CEO of Airbus Defence and Space, said in a statement following a signing that coincided with the outbreak of conflict in Ukraine after lengthy delays in negotiations.

Airbus represents Germany and Spain, with Dassault Aviation involved for France and Leonardo for Italy.

(Reporting by Dominique Vidalon, Editing by Tim Hepher)

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WASHINGTON – U.S. President Joe Biden convened a meeting of the National Security Council on Thursday morning to discuss the latest developments in Ukraine, a White House official said as Russia continued a large-scale invasion of its neighbor.

(Reporting by Trevor Hunnicutt; Writing by Doina Chiacu; Editing by Raissa Kasolowsky)

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By Vera Eckert and Kate Abnett

FRANKFURT/BRUSSELS – Russian forces invaded Ukraine on Thursday, sending European gas prices higher and increasing the focus on gas supply in countries including Germany, which is Europe’s largest economy and imports most of the gas it consumes.

Dutch gas prices rose 30%-40% on Thursday amid concerns over supply disruptions, although export flows of Russian gas, oil and other commodities to the West remained steady in the hours after the invasion began.

Russia supplies more than a third of Europe’s gas.

German Chancellor Olaf Scholz on Tuesday halted the new Nord Stream 2 pipeline designed to bring more Russian natural gas to Germany, after Moscow formally recognised two breakaway regions in eastern Ukraine.

Here is the current state of play in Germany’s gas sector.

WHAT ARE THE NUMBERS?

In 2021, Germany imported 142 billion cubic metres (bcm) of gas, 6.4% less than in 2020, foreign trade statistics office BAFA, which does not identify the origins of imports, said.

Domestic gas usage was 100 bcm in 2021, utility industry group BDEW said.

Germany has 24 bcm of underground caverns of gas storage. A fifth of that is represented by Rehden, a unit owned by storage company Astora which is in turn owned by Russian company Gazprom. As such, total storage capacity could meet a quarter of Germany’s annual gas usage.

Germany’s storage caverns currently stand at 30% full, according to industry group Gas Infrastructure Europe data.

Domestic gas production peaked in the 1990s and now covers only 5% of annual consumption.

The chief executive of German utility Uniper last month pegged Russia’s share of Germany’s gas supply at half, although this can fluctuate from month to month.

ICIS analysis data for German supply showed that in December 2021 Russian pipeline gas accounted for 32%, Norwegian gas 20% and Dutch 12%, with storage 22% and the rest from other smaller sources including domestic production.

“Russia in its (gas supplier) role cannot be replaced during the next few years,” Maubach said.

German gas storage levels- https://graphics.reuters.com/GERMANY-GAS/dwpkrkmyyvm/chart.png

WHY DOES GERMANY NEED GAS?

Gas burning accounted for 15.3% of German electricity generation last year, according to BDEW.

Losing a large chunk of gas imports – from whatever source – could require a short-term increase in coal-fired generation at home or imports of power from neighbours to fill the gap.

The situation is more acute in home heating, where gas keeps half of Germany’s 41.5 million households warm, and in manufacturing industries where sectors such as ceramics cannot produce without the fuel.

German gas supply by source, Dec 2021 – https://graphics.reuters.com/GERMANY-GAS/movanwroepa/chart.png

WHAT OTHER TIES DOES GERMANY HAVE WITH RUSSIA?

Germany and Russia have had a strong energy supply partnership for decades. It was struck during the Cold War and remained strong despite ups and downs in bilateral relations.

Germany does not only need gas from Russia. BAFA showed that 34% of Germany’s crude oil came from Russia in 2021 and coal group VDKi said 53% of hard coal received by German power generators and steelmakers came from Russia last year.

WILL GAS DEMAND FALL?

Eventually it should, to comply with Germany’s pledges to reduce greenhouse gas emissions. Heating with gas will be phased out long-term in favour of heat pumps and other alternatives.

But in power generation, gas use is expected to rise for a transition period under plans to phase out coal and nuclear energy.

Future consumption will depend on the speed of Germany’s renewable energy roll-out and whether low-emission hydrogen produced from renewable sources such as wind and solar can be harnessed to replace fossil gas.

The International Energy Agency has said countries’ climate pledges would cut European gas demand to 504 bcm in 2030 from 596 bcm in 2020 although, going by governments’ “stated policies”, it would decrease only marginally to 587 bcm. The IEA has no breakdown for individual countries.

WHAT ALTERNATIVES DOES GERMANY HAVE?

EU officials have sought alternative gas supplies in recent months from countries including the United States, Qatar, Azerbaijan and Japan, amid escalating tensions with Russia, the EU’s biggest gas supplier.

Europe’s liquefied natural gas (LNG) imports hit a record high of nearly 11 bcm in January, with nearly half coming from the United States.

In Europe, LNG is received in Britain, along the northwestern European coast and in the Mediterranean – a still young and growing industry. Germany does not have domestic LNG infrastructure, but the Dutch Gate landing terminal with 12 bcm handling capacity supplies western German customers.

Europe competes with Asian buyers to secure cargoes in global LNG markets, where swings in demand can cause volatile and high prices.

As for pipeline gas, European utilities have rolling purchasing agreements with Russia for up to 30 years at a time with take-or-pay options and linked to agreed-upon benchmarks such as oil or spot prices at virtual European gas trading hubs.

Knowledge of when which contracts are renewed and at what terms is up to counterparties to publish, and transparency can be minimal.

(Reporting by Vera Eckert and Kate Abnett; Editing by Alexander Smith)

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– Estee Lauder Cos Inc has placed its executive group president, John Demsey, on unpaid leave due to content posted on his Instagram account, a regulatory filing showed on Thursday.

The Wall Street Journal reported that Demsey was suspended after backlash over a post on his personal Instagram account that contained a racial slur and jokes about COVID-19.

Demsey did not immediately respond to Reuters’ request for comment through Instagram and LinkedIn.

The executive’s verified Instagram profile has over 73,000 followers and includes images on Estee Lauder’s MAC Cosmetics and Clinique brands, as well as several memes.

Demsey oversees a wide portfolio of brands, including MAC Cosmetics, Clinique, Too Faced and Smashbox. He joined Estee Lauder in 1991 and has held several positions before the cosmetics maker named him executive group president in 2015.

In the filing Estee Lauder said his suspension was effective Feb. 22.

(Reporting by Praveen Paramasivam and Uday Sampath in Bengaluru; Editing by Anil D’Silva)

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OTTAWA – Canadian factory sales most likely rose 1.3% in January from December, largely driven by higher sales in the petroleum and coal product industry, along with wood products, Statistics Canada said in a flash estimate on Thursday.

The estimate was calculated based on a weighted response rate of 71.7%. The average weighted response rate for the survey over the previous 12 months has been 94.1%.

(Reporting by Julie Gordon in Ottawa, editing by Dale Smith)

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MOSCOW – Russian government has over 4.5 trillion roubles ($53 billion) of freely available budget funds and has enough resources to secure macroeconomic stability and support companies hit by sanctions, it said.

Russian forces invaded Ukraine by land, air and sea on Thursday, triggering a massive sell-off across Russian assets.

“Today, Russia has financial resources enough to maintain the financial system in the light of sanctions and external threats,” the government said in the statement on Thursday.

($1 = 85.5430 roubles)

(Reporting by Darya Korsunskaya; Writing by Katya Golubkova; Editing by Alison Williams)

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By David French

– Quantum Energy Partners is raising a $2.25 billion fund that will lend to U.S. oil and gas firms as well as energy companies transitioning away from fossil fuels, allowing investors to pick whether they back activities that lead to higher greenhouse gas emissions, according to people familiar with the matter.

Founded in 1998, Quantum continues to be one of the most active private equity firms in the oil and gas sector but, like others which have traditionally invested in hydrocarbons, it is spending more time focused on cleaner forms of energy.

Quantum’s fundraise comes as U.S. crude prices near $100 per barrel for the first time since 2014, driven by supply constraints and geopolitical concerns such as Russia’s claims over Ukraine.

Many banks are still not comfortable lending to small and medium-sized U.S. oil and gas exploration and production companies because they are nursing losses from previous energy price plunges, ceding market share to private equity firms such as Quantum that are willing to step up and provide credit.

Concerns over the impact of the energy industry on climate change has also given some banks pause.

While private equity firms still find eager investors for their energy credit funds among sovereign wealth funds and insurance companies, investors, including some public pension funds, have become wary of supporting the production of fossil fuels that lead to greenhouse gas emissions.

Heeding these concerns, Quantum decided that its new fund will have two sleeves: a $1.5 billion tranche for lending to oil and gas producers and a further $750 million for companies supporting the transition away from fossil fuels, the sources said. Investors can choose if they want to invest in one or both.

The sources spoke on condition of anonymity to discuss confidential information. Quantum declined to comment.

The cash deployed will be in senior secured and direct lending, as opposed to the type of mezzanine loans extended using Quantum’s previous debt fund, the sources said. Senior secured debt is paid out before mezzanine in a bankruptcy, making it a safer bet for Quantum.

It is the second energy debt fund for Quantum. The Houston-headquartered investment firm raised a $1.6 billion fund in 2019 that was used to provide structured credit and mezzanine finance to oil and gas companies, including Devon Energy Corp and Antero Resources Corp.

(Reporting by David French in New York; Editing by Tim Ahmann)

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COPENHAGEN -Shipping group Maersk said on Thursday it has halted all port calls in Ukraine until the end of February and has shut its main office in Odessa on the Black Sea coast, as a consequence of the conflict with neighbouring Russia.

“Services in Russia remain available while we have decided not to call any ports in Ukraine until 28 February and stop acceptance orders to and from Ukraine up until further notice,” a Maersk spokesperson said.

All of the company’s 60 employees in Ukraine were at home and safe, the spokesperson added.

Maersk has two container shipping routes in Ukraine and they call at the port of Pivdenniy some 30 kilometres (19 miles) east of Odessa.

(Reporting by Stine Jacobsen and Jacob Gronholt-Pedersen; Editing by Alison Williams and Susan Fenton)

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LONDON – Wizz Air said it was working to evacuate its Ukrainian based crew, their families and four aircraft on Thursday after Russia’s invasion forced it to suspend all operations in the country.

“Due to the current events in Ukraine and the airspace closure, Wizz Air regrets to inform our customers that the airline must temporarily suspend all flight operations in the country,” the airline said.

According to aviation analytics firm Cirium, Wizz Air had operated the second highest number of flights between Europe and Ukraine, behind Ryanair.

The company said it was working to evacuate all of its Ukrainian-based crew, and their immediate families. It also has four aircraft on the ground there, three in Kyiv and one in Lviv.

Ukraine closed its airspace to civilian flights on Thursday after Russia launched a land, sea and air invasion of its neighbour, while Europe’s aviation regulator warned about hazards to flying in bordering regions.

(Reporting by Kate Holton and Guy Faulconbridge, Editing by Paul Sandle)

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– Myanmar’s military deployed ground troops and launched air and artillery strikes against rebel forces in the country’s east, witnesses, local media and an aid group said on Thursday, prompting thousands of people to flee.

Bombardments were carried out for a second day in Nan Mei Khon village in Kayah, a state bordering Thailand where soldiers have met months of resistance from the Karenni National Defence Force (KNDF), one of several militia groups that is challenging the junta’s rule.

Myanmar’s military council could not immediately be reached for comment on Thursday and state media outlets have not mentioned the fighting.

The Free Burma Rangers, a relief organisation operating in the area, shared footage from a day earlier of houses ablaze in the village with the sound of artillery exploding nearby.

“Bombing again today on 24 February 2022. Also mortar attacks and infantry assault in this area. Thousands fleeing again,” the group’s founder, David Eubank, said in a text message.

Eubank said two people were killed and three were wounded on Wednesday. The Myanmar Now news site reported three were killed in another village attacked by a jet on Wednesday.

A KNDF representative was unable to confirm reports of casualties but said heavy fighting had taken place since Wednesday. Reuters was unable to independently verify the information.

The military ruled Myanmar for five decades until 2011 but is struggling to consolidate power this time as it faces protests in cities, armed conflict on several fronts and sanctions imposed to isolate generals who overthrew a democratically elected government last year.

At least 90,000 people have since been displaced by fighting in Kayah state, according to the United Nations humanitarian agency, which estimates 441,000 people have fled unrest in Myanmar since the coup.

Human rights groups have accused the military of using disproportionate force in civilian areas. The military says it is fighting “terrorists”.

A rescue worker, who declined to be identified for safety reasons, told Reuters that heavy bombardment was complicating efforts to move civilians to relief camps.

“Thousands of people are stuck,” the rescue worker said.

“We weren’t able to get them out of the area yet…They are attacking the people by air, by land and also with heavy weapons.”

(Reporting by Reuters Staff; Writing by Martin Petty; Editing by Kanupriya Kapoor)

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By Makiko Yamazaki and David Dolan

TOKYO -Blackstone Inc has never approached Toshiba Corp about a potential buyout, the two companies said on Thursday, denying a media report.

Nikkei Business Publications reported on Thursday that U.S. private equity firm Blackstone had made a buyout offer for the Japanese conglomerate, citing multiple unidentified sources. It said executives of both companies met in January.

“Blackstone has never approached Toshiba about a take-private,” a Blackstone spokesperson said.

“Blackstone has never submitted an informal or formal proposal, verbally or in writing, and has no plans to do so,” the spokesperson added.

Toshiba said in a statement there was “no such” fact that any specific proposals, “including preliminary and initial ones were brought to Toshiba, including those from Blackstone, to take Toshiba private”.

The troubled $18 billion conglomerate was once one of corporate Japan’s mightiest companies before being weakened by scandal. Yet it retains a number of attractive businesses from defence equipment to semiconductors.

Toshiba has announced a revised restructuring plan that would see it split off its devices business. Previously it planned to also break off its flash memory chip unit and its energy and infrastructure business. Some investors are calling on it to resume a strategic review and solicit buyout bids.

Some shareholders, particularly foreign activist funds, have been opposed to Toshiba’s plan to split, seeing greater returns in a buyout. A deal to go private would also allow shareholders to exit their investment relatively quickly, as opposed to having to wait out a break-up that could take some years.

Management has said the break-up would be the best option to maximise value.

(Reporting by David Dolan and Makiko YamazakiWriting by Elaine LiesEditing by David Goodman, Mark Potter and Susan Fenton)

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By David Milliken

LONDON – British government bonds were on course for their biggest daily gains since late November on Thursday, joining a broader rally in safe-haven assets after Russia invaded Ukraine.

Benchmark 10-year gilt yields were 8 basis points lower on the day at 1.40% at 1223 GMT and earlier in the day fell as low as 1.375%, as prices rose in line with German Bunds and slightly lagged behind U.S. Treasuries.

Ten-year gilt yields last fell more on Nov. 26, when they dropped 14 basis points on the day due to concerns about the Omicron variant of coronavirus.

“Inflation in the UK will now probably rise beyond the 7.5% peak we had expected in April and will remain higher for longer,” Thomas Pugh, economist at accountants RSM UK, said.

Russia and Ukraine account for a quarter of world wheat exports and the conflict risked pushing up food prices in Britain, he added.

“All this will exacerbate the cost of living crisis and depress GDP growth,” he said.

Two-year gilt yields, which are sensitive to interest-rate expectations, dropped 7 basis points on the day to 1.24% and earlier touched their lowest since the BoE’s last policy statement Feb. 4 at 1.199%.

Financial markets still expect the BoE to raise interest rates again after its next meeting ends on March 17, taking the Bank Rate to 0.75% from 0.5%.

“The conflict will not derail plans for policy tightening this year, but the events of the past 24 hours have tipped the balance towards erring on the side of caution,” Capital Economics said in a note.

“The risks are greatest for the euro-zone because of its closer ties to Russia.”

As tensions between Russia and Ukraine have increased in recent days, markets have scaled back their expectations of how high rates will rise this year to 1.75% from around 2%, and see less chance of a half-point rate rise at future BoE meetings.

(Reporting by David Milliken; editing by William James and Frank Jack Daniel)

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– Poland’s two largest fashion retailers, LPP and CCC, are suspending all business in Ukraine, company officials said on Thursday, after Russia’s attack on its neighbour sent their shares plummeting.

Two of the most rapidly growing apparel companies in the region, LPP and CCC manage multiple fashion brands, including Reserved, HalfPrice, eobuwie.pl, Modivo and Sinsay.

LPP shares were down 23% at 1230 GMT making them the worst performer on Poland’s blue chip index. CCC shares were down 13%.

LPP moved its administration offices from Kyiv to Lviv amid Russia’s attack on Ukraine, company’s PR manager Monika Wszeborowska told Reuters.

Both retailers suspended all trading in Ukraine and said their stores would remain closed and all shipping to Ukraine was halted.

LPP’s press office said its priority was the safety of personnel.

“The situation is developing, which is why we are closely following all reports from the eastern border, including information from our office in Ukraine and we are acting on it,” said Wszeborowska.

“One thing is sure, our plans this year to develop our network in Ukraine are now cancelled,” Wszeborowska said.

Ukraine and Russia were one of the largest foreign sales performance drivers for LPP in the third quarter, its financial statement showed.

In emailed statement, CCC’s representative said Ukraine and Russia constitute about 3% of CCC’s business and about 1% of the whole group’s operations.

(Reporting by Patrycja Zaras and Adrianna Ebert; editing by Jason Neely)

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