DUBAI -The United States is responsible for the pause in talks between Tehran and world powers in Vienna aimed at reviving their 2015 nuclear deal, an Iranian foreign ministry spokesperson said on Monday.

“America is responsible for the halt of these talks … a deal is very much within reach,” Saeed Khatibzadeh told a weekly news conference.

“Washington should make political decision for the deal’s revival,” he said, adding that Tehran would “not wait forever”.

The U.S. State Department said on Thursday that a small number of outstanding issues remain in the nuclear talks, adding that the onus was on Tehran to make those decisions.

Iran has said that there are still outstanding issues, including Washington removing a foreign terrorist organisation (FTO) designation against Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC).

Also Tehran has been pushing for guarantees that any future U.S. president would not withdraw from the agreement. The extent to which sanctions would be rolled back is another unresolved issue.

Khatibzadeh also said Tehran was ready to resume talks with its key regional rival, Saudi Arabia, if Riyadh showed willingness to resolve outstanding bilateral issues.

A Russian demand forced world powers to pause nuclear negotiations in early March, But Moscow later said it had written guarantees that its trade with Iran would not be affected by Ukraine-related sanctions, suggesting Moscow could allow a revival of the tattered pact to go forward.

(Writing by Parisa HafeziEditing by Raissa Kasolowsky and John Stonestreet)

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LONDON – U.S. two-year Treasury yields climbed to their highest level since early 2019 on Monday, continuing to push higher on expectations that the Federal Reserve will deliver bigger rate hikes in the months ahead to tame inflation.

U.S. bond yields were higher across the curve, with two-year yields rising to as high as 2.495%.

A closely-watched part of the yield curve, the gap between 2 and 10-year bond yields remained inverted and was last at mints 6.75 basis points.

Friday’s strong jobs report for March supported the view that the Fed will need to aggressively hike rates to stem soaring inflation and a tight labor market.

(Reporting by Dhara Ranasinghe; Editing by Saikat Chatterjee)

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BERLIN – German exports and imports jumped more than expected in February, the Federal Statistics Office said on Monday, as the effects of the war in Ukraine have yet to be reflected in foreign trade figures.

Seasonally adjusted exports rose 6.4% on the month, compared to a rise of 1.5% predicted by economists.

Imports increased 4.5% on the month, compared to an average forecast for a 1.4% increase.

The trade surplus increased to 11.5 billion euros ($12.70 billion) from a downwardly revised 8.8 billion euros the previous month.

($1 = 0.9078 euros)

(Reporting by Miranda Murray; Editing by Maria Sheahan)

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By Jamie McGeever

ORLANDO, Fla. – It will probably come good one day, but hedge funds’ latest attempt to position for a steeper U.S. yield curve has once again backfired badly.

Futures market data for the week through March 29 show that funds expanded their net short position in 10-year Treasuries to the largest since 2018, and only modestly increased the size of their net short position in the two-year space.

The explosion in bets on a higher 10-year yield was the biggest since 2016 and the second largest since the Commodity Futures Trading Commission contract was launched in 1986.

It was the fifth week in six that CFTC funds have positioned for the “2s/10s” curve to steepen, but the spread between the short- and long-dated yields continued to shrink.

The 10-year yield fell 5 basis points over the period while the two-year yield jumped around 15 bps. The curve inverted on March 29 for the first time since 2019 and by the end of last week the spread was negative eight basis points, the deepest inversion since 2007.

The CFTC report showed that funds increased their net short 10-year Treasuries position by 212,723 contracts to 476,557 and increased their net short position in two-year futures to 59,202 contracts from 47,448.

Graphic:CFTC 10-Year Treasuries – Net Position- https://fingfx.thomsonreuters.com/gfx/mkt/movanbdbepa/10Y.png

Graphic: GRAPHIC-CFTC 10-Year Treasuries – Weekly Change- https://fingfx.thomsonreuters.com/gfx/mkt/egvbkbqbqpq/CFTC10Y.png

WATCH THE DATA

A short position is essentially a bet that an asset’s price will fall, and a long position is a bet it will rise. In bonds, yields rise when prices fall, and move lower when prices rise.

Inversion of this part of the yield curve has preceded all six U.S. recessions since the mid-1970s. Many observers, including some Federal Reserve officials, argue that the curve’s predictive powers are not as strong now because interest rates and yields are historically so low.

Many economists expect the curve to invert further, but don’t think recession will follow.

Graphic: GRAPHIC-U.S. yield curve & recessions-https://fingfx.thomsonreuters.com/gfx/mkt/dwpkrqlqyvm/YC.jpg

With inflation nudging 8%, traders expect the Fed to raise the so-called “terminal” rate – the anticipated peak in interest rates before they start to come down again – past the “neutral” level that neither runs the economy too hot nor too cold.

The terminal rate implied by Eurodollar futures rose further above 3% and is expected to be reached around June-September 2023.

CFTC data shows that funds cut their net short three-month Eurodollar futures position by 233,321 contracts to 2.423 million, the largest reduction since last July. The net short position a week earlier had been the biggest since October 2018.

“We need to get closer to neutral but we need to watch the whole way,” New York Fed President John Williams said on Saturday. “There is no question that is the direction we are moving. Exactly how quickly we do that depends on the circumstances.”

Related columns:

– Elusive bond risk premium misses its curtain call (Reuters, March 30)

– ‘Japanification’ still lurks behind hawkish Fed frenzy (Reuters, March 29)

– Cruel to be kind – Fed seems tempted by 1994 playbook (Reuters, March 23)

– To neutral … and beyond! U.S. rate outlook rises after Fed liftoff (Reuters, March 16)

(The opinions expressed here are those of the author, a columnist for Reuters.)

(By Jamie McGeever; Editing by Lisa Shumaker)

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LONDON – Military conscripts in the Russian-backed Donbas region have been sent into front-line combat against Ukrainian troops with no training, little food and water, and inadequate weapons, six people in the separatist province told Reuters.

The new accounts of untrained and ill-equipped conscripts being deployed are a fresh indication of how stretched the military resources at the Kremlin’s disposal are, over a month into a war that has seen Moscow’s forces hobbled by logistical problems and held up by fierce Ukrainian resistance.

One of the people, a student conscripted in late February, said a fellow fighter told him to prepare to repel a close-quarter attack by Ukrainian forces in southwest Donbas but “I don’t even know how to fire an automatic weapon.”

The student and his unit fired back and evaded capture, but he was injured in a later battle. He did not say when the fighting took place.

While some information indicating poor conditions and morale among Donbas conscripts has emerged in social media and some local media outlets, Reuters was able to assemble one of the most comprehensive pictures to date.

Besides the student draftee, Reuters spoke to three wives of conscripts who have mobile phone contact with their partners, one acquaintance of a draftee, and one source close to the pro-Russian separatist leadership who is helping to organize supplies for the Donbas armed forces.

Reuters verified the identity of the student, as well as the other sources and the draftees they are associated with. The news agency was unable to confirm independently the accounts of what happened to the men once they were drafted.

The six sources all asked that their full names not be published, saying that they feared reprisals for speaking to foreign media.

The Donbas armed forces are fighting alongside Russian soldiers but are not part of the Russian armed forces, which have different rules about which troops they send into combat.

Several Donbas draftees have been issued with a rifle called a Mosin, which was developed in the late 19th century and went out of production decades ago, according to three people who saw conscripts from the separatist region using the weapon. Images shared on social media, that Reuters has not been able to verify independently, also showed Donbas fighters with Mosin rifles.

The student said he was forced to drink water from a fetid pond because of lack of supplies. Two other sources in contact with draftees also told Reuters the men had to drink untreated water.

Some Donbas conscripts were given the highly dangerous mission of drawing enemy fire onto themselves so other units could identify the Ukrainian positions and bomb them, according to one of the sources and video testimony from a prisoner of war published by Ukrainian forces.

Asked to comment about the treatment and low morale of the Donbass draftees, Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov said it was a question for the Donetsk People’s Republic (DNR), the self-proclaimed separatist entity in Donbas. The Russian defence ministry did not respond to a request for comment.

A spokeswoman for the DNR administration, after viewing Reuters questions, said there would be no response on Friday. She did not say when the administration would reply. Messages left with a spokesman for the separatist military went unanswered.

After being pushed to the front line near the port of Mariupol — scene of the heaviest fighting in the war — a group of about 135 Donbas conscripts laid down their arms and refused to fight on, according to Veronika, the partner of a conscript, who said her husband was among them. Marina, partner of another conscript, said she had been in contact with a friend who was part of the same group.

“We’re refusing (to fight),” the friend wrote in a text message to Marina, seen by Reuters.

The men were kept in a basement by military commanders as punishment, Veronika and Marina said. Commanders verbally threatened them with reprisals but subsequently allowed the group out of the basement, pulled them back from the front line and billeted them in abandoned homes, Veronika said.

Neither the Kremlin nor separatist authorities answered Reuters questions about the incident.

    CALL-UP

All sides in the Ukraine war have systems of conscription, where young men are required by law to do military service.

Ukraine’s government has declared a general mobilisation, meaning that conscripts and reservists have been deployed to fight.

Russia says it is not deploying conscripts in Ukraine, though it has acknowledged a small number were mistakenly sent to fight.

The Donetsk separatist authorities announced in late February they were drafting all fighting age men for immediate deployment.

Military recruitment officers appeared at workplaces around the Donetsk region and told employees to report for duty, while police ordered people in the streets to report to their local draft office, according to a Reuters reporter who was there in late February. Anyone not complying risks prosecution.

    Reuters could not determine how many people have been called up, nor what proportion of Donbas forces is comprised of draftees.

None of the five draftees had prior military experience or training, and four of the five were given no training before they were sent into combat, according to the injured draftee, the three wives of conscripted men, and the acquaintance.

    “He never served in the army,” said one of the partners, who gave her name as Olga and lives in the town of Makeevka. “He doesn’t even really know how to hold an automatic weapon.”

    Two of the wives said their partners were deployed to the front line, where they saw heavy fighting.

    “I’m in the war,” read a text message, seen by Reuters, that Marina, also from Makeevka, said came from her drafted husband.

    Marina said she learned from messages from her husband that his unit, fighting in the Donbas region, was ordered to draw enemy fire on to themselves.

    Ukrainian forces on March 12 published a video showing a prisoner of war. He said his name was Ruslan Khalilov, that he was a civil servant from Donbas and that he was sent with zero training to Mariupol where his role was to draw enemy fire to facilitate the bombing of Ukrainian targets.

    A person in Donbas who knows Khalilov confirmed to Reuters his identity, that he was drafted and has no military training. Reuters established that the person knows Khalilov.

    “SLAUGHTERHOUSE”

    The student draftee who spoke to Reuters said that a day after reporting for duty he was put in a mortar unit then sent towards the fighting. “We were taught nothing,” he wrote to Reuters via messenger app.

    “Up to that point I had only seen mortars in movies. Obviously, I didn’t know how to do anything with them.”

    He said that before he left, his unit had been under repeated attack by Ukrainian troops. “There were lots of casualties,” he wrote. “I hate the war. I don’t want it, curse it. Why are they sending me into a slaughterhouse?”

    All the accounts gathered by Reuters mentioned an acute shortage of supplies. The sources described little or no safe drinking water, field rations for one man being shared among several, and units having to scavenge food.

    “We drank water with dead frogs in it,” said the student conscript.

    “Supplies for the soldiers right now are a disaster,” said the source close to the Donetsk separatist leadership, who spoke on condition of anonymity.

    Neither the Kremlin nor the separatist authorities replied to Reuters’ questions about supplies and equipment for the draftees from Donbas.

    WORLD WAR TWO RIFLE

    The same source said some conscripts were issued with the Mosin rifle from reserve stocks that date back to the Second World War.

    The student conscript said he has seen fellow fighters using the rifle: “It’s like we’re fighting with World War Two muskets.”

    A soldier in the Russian armed forces who is fighting near Mariupol told Reuters he had seen soldiers from the Donetsk separatist military carrying Mosin rifles.

   A video posted on social media on Tuesday by Russian military journalist Semyon Pegov showed a man who said he was a Donbas draftee brandishing a Mosin rifle.

    Soon after the men were drafted in late February, many of their wives, mothers, and sisters started writing petitions to the separatist leadership, to Donbas draft offices, and to the Kremlin, describing their treatment and seeking help.

    “Bring us back our men,” said one petition addressed to Russian President Vladimir Putin, seen by Reuters.

    The three wives of draftees who spoke to Reuters said they received no definitive answers.

    On March 11, about 100 women gathered outside the separatist administration’s offices in Donetsk to demand answers, in a rare public show of dissent.

    Two women who took part in the gathering said Alexander Malkovsky, the head of the DNR draft office, came out and told them that men aged 18 to 27 would be exempted from the draft. Reuters couldn’t determine if this has been implemented, and was unable to reach Malkovsky.

    Two of the conscripts’ wives said that since the gathering they learned from their partners that conditions had improved: some units were pulled back from the front line and allowed to sleep in abandoned homes, instead of in trenches.

(Editing by Daniel Flynn)

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BERLIN – Delivery Hero said on Monday it had launched a debt financing syndication equal to 1.4 billion euros ($1.55 billion) with proceeds to be used to bolster its liquidity position.

The proceeds from a $825-million-term facility and 300-million-euro term facility, which have a maturity of 5.25 years, would also be used for potential refinancing of convertible debt at maturity, working capital and guarantees, among other general corporate purposes, said the German takeaway company.

Delivery Hero said it would also enter a revolving credit facility in the amount of 375 million euros with a consortium of banks.

($1 = 0.9053 euros)

(Writing by Miranda Murray; Editing by Kim Coghill)

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ZURICH -Novartis said on Monday it was integrating its pharmaceuticals and oncology units into an innovative medicines (IM) business to simplify its structure, targeting savings of at least $1 billion by 2024.

“Integrating pharmaceuticals and oncology business units into an innovative medicines (IM) business with separate U.S. and international commercial organizations will increase focus, strengthen competitiveness and drive synergies,” the Swiss pharmaceutical company said in a statement.

It said it expects selling, general and administrative savings of at least $1 billion to be fully embedded by 2024 as a result of these changes.

The company based in Basel appointed Marie-France Tschudin as president of innovative medicines international and chief commercial officer, and Victor Bulto as president of innovative medicines in the United States.

Steffen Lang will take over as president operations, while

Shreeram Aradhye becomes president global drug development and chief medical officer. Susanne Schaffert, Robert Weltevreden and John Tsai are leaving Novartis, the company said.

Value creation through these operational improvements should ensure at least 4% sales growth in constant currency through 2026. Novartis also expects to deliver at the high end of its IM margin guidance of high 30s in the medium term and 40% or more in the mid- to long-term.

(Reporting by Silke Koltrowitz, Editing by Miranda Murray)

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(Corrects and clarifies Bank of America forecast.)

By Chen Lin and Aradhana Aravindan

SINGAPORE -Singapore’s central bank is likely to tighten its policy settings at its review this month, the third time in a row, as inflationary pressures intensify due to global supply-side disruptions and an easing of the city-state’s border controls.

All 15 economists polled by Reuters forecast the Monetary Authority of Singapore to tighten its policy, but they are divided on how aggressive the central bank is likely to be and which of its various settings it will change.

Instead of interest rates, the MAS manages policy by letting the local dollar rise or fall against the currencies of its main trading partners within an undisclosed band, known as the Nominal Effective Exchange Rate.

It adjusts its policy via three levers: the slope, mid-point and width of the policy band.

Of the economists polled, three expect the MAS to only raise the slope of the band, while another five expect the MAS to raise the slope of the band along with an upward re-centering of its mid-point.

“Downside growth risks due to current geopolitical tensions are manageable, in our view,” ANZ economist Khoon Goh said in a research note. “Tightening resource pressures in the economy and upside inflation risks mean the MAS has to be more forceful in normalising monetary policy.”

Adjusting the mid-point is typically seen as a more “aggressive” tool than only adjusting the slope, while width is usually used to control how much the Singapore dollar can fluctuate.

Five forecast the MAS re-centering the mid-point higher, with no change to the width or the slop.

Morgan Stanley expects the slope to be steepened alongside a widening of the band — a move last made in 2010, while Barclays is predicting a change to all three parameters.

“With the heightened uncertainty from geopolitics, the upside risk to inflation, and the downside risk to growth, we now think that MAS could undertake both a slope steepening and a band widening,” Morgan Stanley analysts said.

While Bank of America only expects the slope to be adjusted, it said re-centreing is a “close call” and will “likely be calibrated”, while not ruling out a band widening as well.

The central bank is expected to release its next semi-annual monetary policy statement no later than April 14.

The MAS tightened monetary policy in January this year in an out-of-cycle move, which followed a tightening in October.

February headline prices rose at their fastest pace in nine years due to higher private transport costs, while core prices eased for the first time since June last year.

The MAS is expecting core inflation to come in within 2–3% this year, up from 0.9% last year, while headline inflation is projected to average between 2.5% and 3.5%.

The government had projected gross domestic product to expand 3-5% in 2022 in a forecast provided before Russia’s invasion of Ukraine.

Singapore’s finance minister Lawrence Wong said in March the city-state’s economy should continue to expand this year but that authorities were ready to deploy more fiscal and monetary policy measures if a worsening Russia-Ukraine crisis impacted growth and inflation.

Last month, Singapore made its biggest reopening moves from the COVID-19 pandemic, easing local restrictions and allowing vaccinated travellers from anywhere in the world to enter without having to quarantine.

(Reporting by Chen Lin and Aradhana Aravindan in Singapore; Editing by Sam Holmes)

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By Asif Shahzad and Gibran Naiyyar Peshimam

ISLAMABAD -Pakistan’s political turmoil deepened on Sunday, when Prime Minister Imran Khan avoided an attempt to oust him and sought fresh elections after dissolving parliament, a move the opposition called treasonous and vowed to fight.

The deputy speaker of parliament, a member of Khan’s party, blocked an opposition no-confidence motion that Khan had widely been expected to lose, ruling it was part of a foreign conspiracy and unconstitutional.

That stymied the opposition’s attempt to come to power, and set up a potential legal showdown over the Constitution in the country of 220 million people.

Opposition leader Shehbaz Sharif called the blocking of the vote “nothing short of high treason” and said on Twitter there would be consequences for “blatant & brazen violation of the Constitution.” He added he hoped the Supreme Court would uphold the Constitution.

Bilawal Bhutto Zardari, head of the opposition Pakistan People’s Party, promised a sit-in at parliament and told reporters, “We are also moving to the Supreme Court today.”

The Supreme Court’s chief justice said on Sunday evening the court would hear the matter on Monday and that any directions given by the president and prime minister would be subject to the court’s orders.

The opposition blames Khan for failing to revive the economy and crack down on corruption. Khan has said, without showing evidence, that the move to oust him was orchestrated by the United States, a claim Washington denies.

CONSPIRACY

Khan said later on Sunday his evidence of the conspiracy was accepted by the National Security Committee.

“When the country’s highest national security body confirms this, then the [parliamentary] proceedings were irrelevant, the numbers were irrelevant,” Khan said.

U.S. officials on Sunday denied any involvement.

“There is no truth to these allegations,” a State Department spokesperson told Reuters on Sunday, adding “we respect and support Pakistan’s constitutional process and the rule of law.”

The opposition and analysts say Khan, an international cricket champion turned politician who rose to power in 2018 on the military’s support, had fallen out with it, a charge he and the military deny.

“Army has nothing to do with the political process,” Major General Babar Iftikhar, the head of the military’s public relations wing, said when asked about any involvement in Sunday’s events.

No prime minister has finished a full five-year term since Pakistan’s independence from Britain in 1947, and generals on several occasions have ruled the country, which is perennially at odds with fellow nuclear-armed neighbour India.

KHAN STAYS

President Arif Alvi, also of Khan’s party, approved the prime minister’s request to dissolve parliament and cabinet. Khan will remain prime minister, said Fawad Chaudhry, the former minister of information and law.

Farrukh Habib, another former minister, said fresh elections would be held in 90 days, although that decision rests with the president and the election commission.

Deputy Attorney General Raja Khalid, a top prosecutor, resigned, calling the government’s dissolving of parliament unconstitutional. “What has happened can only be expected in the rule of a dictator,” he told local media.

The political fight comes as Pakistan faces high inflation, dwindling foreign reserves and widening deficits. The country is in a tough International Monetary Fund bailout programme.

Islamabad also faces international pressure to prod the Taliban in neighbouring Afghanistan to meet human rights commitments while trying to limit instability there.

Khan lost his majority in parliament after allies quit his coalition government and he suffered a spate of defections within his Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf party.

A prominent newspaper had recently said Khan was “as good as gone”, but he had urged his supporters to take to the streets on Sunday ahead of the planned vote.

On the streets of the capital Islamabad, there was a heavy police and paramilitary presence, with shipping containers used to block off roads, according to a Reuters witness.

Police were seen detaining three supporters of Khan’s ruling Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf party outside parliament, but the streets were otherwise calm.

(Reporting by Asif Shahzad and Gibran Naiyyar Peshimam in Islamabad and Syed Raza Hassan in Karachi; Additional reporting by Jonathan Landay in Washington; Writing by Alasdair Pal; Editing by William Mallard, Alexandra Hudson)

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By Asha Sistla

(Reuters) – Gold prices fell on Monday as the dollar and Treasury yields firmed after a solid U.S. payrolls report raised expectations of aggressive rate hikes, although the Ukraine crisis and talks of more sanctions against Russia supported safe-haven demand.

A stronger dollar makes gold less attractive for other currency holders, while higher yields increase the opportunity cost of holding non-paying bullion.

Spot gold was down 0.3% at $1,917.55 per ounce by 0434 GMT. U.S. Gold futures slipped 0.2% to $1,920.30.

“While the conflict in Eastern Europe may be providing a modest tailwind to gold prices on dips, it is very clear now that the main pricing inputs into gold have swung to the impact of higher U.S. yields and a higher U.S. dollar,” said OANDA senior analyst Jeffrey Halley.

The dollar made a firm start to the week while Treasury yields were also higher, as the monthly U.S. jobs report indicated a strong labor market and is likely to keep the Federal Reserve on track to maintain its hawkish policy stance. [USD/] [US/]

U.S. job data showed the unemployment rate falling to a new two-year low of 3.6% and wages re-accelerating, positioning the Fed to raise interest rates by a hefty 50 basis points in May.

Investors are looking forward to any discussion of a 50 basis point rate hike when the Fed releases minutes from its March meeting on Wednesday.

Meanwhile, Germany’s defence minister said on Sunday the European Union must discuss banning imports of Russian gas, after Ukrainian and European officials accused Russian forces of atrocities.

Spot gold may fall to $1,898 as it has broken a support at $1,924 per ounce, according to Reuters’ technical analyst Wang Tao. [TECH/C]

Spot silver edged 0.2% lower to $24.57 per ounce, platinum was down 0.1% at $984.49, while palladium rose 1.3% to $2,306.19.

(Reporting by Asha Sistla in Bengaluru; Editing by Sherry Jacob-Phillips)

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By Kirsty Needham

SYDNEY -Digicel Group said it is considering legal options after Papua New Guinea (PNG) imposed a tax of almost $100 million that the telco said could affect its planned A$2.1 billion ($1.57 billion) sale of the Pacific’s biggest mobile network to Australia’s Telstra.

Telstra Corp Ltd said last October it would buy the Pacific operations of Jamaica-headquartered Digicel in a deal largely funded by the Australian government and seen by observers as a way to block China’s rising influence in the region. The operations include 2.5 million mobile phone subscribers across PNG, Fiji, Vanuatu, Tonga, Samoa and Nauru.

Digicel’s Irish founder, Denis O’Brien, met with PNG Prime Minister James Marape last week to try to resolve the matter, Digicel said in a statement emailed to Reuters on Monday.

“In parallel with these discussions, Digicel is also considering its legal options in the event that this discriminatory tax is not removed,” Digicel said.

Its statement said a “new arbitrary, company-specific tax” was introduced on March 25, which was “perplexing not just for Digicel, but also for the Papua New Guinea economy given the reputational and credit rating implications of this sudden, bizarre and unprecedented tax”.

The act imposes a one-time tax liability on Digicel of 350 million kina ($96.43 million) with a further penalty of 50 million kina for non-payment, the statement said.

“This matter requires urgent resolution given its implications for the sale of Digicel’s Pacific operations to Telstra but also given the knock-on consequences for all foreign direct investment exiting Papua New Guinea,” Digicel said.

The statement said the prime minister in the meeting assured Digicel the tax would not proceed and that “Digicel is now engaged in discussions with the Papua New Guinea Government and other relevant stakeholders.”

Marape’s office did not immediately respond to a request for comment.

Papua New Guinea treasurer Ian Ling-Stuckey told parliament last month it would impose a “fair tax” on Digicel Pacific as part of national budget repair measures, in recognition of the company’s high historic level of profitability. The tax was half the rate of an ongoing levy on the company proposed last year, he said.

An official in Ling-Stuckey’s office told Reuters on Monday there had been no announced change in this position, although “they have been deliberating over the past week on the tax”.

Telstra has not changed its business plan for the deal since the new tax was announced. A Telstra spokesperson said in an emailed statement that the PNG tax was a matter for the current owner of Digicel Pacific. In response to Reuters’ questions it said it was still awaiting PNG regulatory approvals for the deal.

“The acquisition of Digicel Pacific by Telstra in partnership with the Australian government has not yet received all of its regulatory approvals and has not (been) completed yet,” it said.

The ongoing levy on Digicel Pacific, flagged by the government last November, would be dropped if the sale to Telstra went ahead, Ling-Stuckey told parliament in March. Telstra had agreed to invest in infrastructure including 115 mobile towers in Papua New Guinea, and other taxes worth more annually, he said.

“Telstra is committed to investing to improve connectivity in the areas that Digicel Pacific operates in, including remote areas of PNG,” Telstra said in a statement.

($1 = 1.3358 Australian dollars)

($1 = 3.6298 kinas)

(Reporting by Kirsty Needham; Editing by Kenneth Maxwell and Sam Holmes)

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By Indradip Ghosh

BENGALURU – India’s factory activity expanded at a slower pace in March as rising prices meant new orders and output grew at their weakest rate since September, according to a survey released on Monday that also showed optimism at a two-year low.

The survey provides the latest evidence the recovery in Asia’s third-largest economy is slowing. Hikes in oil prices, primarily driven by uncertainties around the Russia-Ukraine war, have already taken a toll on consumer spending – the biggest contributor to GDP growth.

Compiled by S&P Global, the Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index declined to 54.0 in March from 54.9 in February. However, it has remained above the 50-level separating growth from contraction for nine straight months.

Despite that decline, the sector had its best annual fiscal year performance since FY 2011/12.

“Manufacturing sector growth in India weakened at the end of fiscal year 2021/22, with companies reporting softer expansions in new orders and production,” noted Pollyanna De Lima, economics associate director at S&P Global.

“The slowdown was accompanied by an intensification of inflationary pressures, although the rate of increase in input costs remained below those seen towards the end of 2021.”

Sub-indexes tracking new orders and output were at six-month lows and foreign demand contracted for the first time since June 2021, highlighting a weakening global economic recovery and a slowdown in China.

But factories increased headcount for the first time in four months.

Still, rising cost pressures remained one of the main concerns as firms faced a faster increase in input prices last month, forcing them to transfer some of that burden to consumers. Output prices rose at the quickest rate in five months.

“For now, demand has been sufficiently strong to withstand price hikes, but should inflation continue to gather pace we may see a more significant slowdown, if not an outright contraction in sales,” added De Lima. “Companies themselves appeared very concerned about price pressures, which was a key factor dragging down business confidence to a two-year low.”

Like other major economies, India is experiencing a persistent surge in inflation due to elevated supply disruptions and a jump in oil prices – the biggest component of the country’s imports.

(Reporting by Indradip Ghosh; Editing by Sam Holmes)

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By Nick Carey and Barbara Lewis

WASHINGTON, England – An electric car is a clean car, right? If only it were so simple.

From motor magnets with toxic histories to batteries made using copious fossil-fuel power, many challenges face carmakers seeking to purge dirtier materials from their supply chains to satisfy regulators and investors.

These obstacles represent opportunities for a growing group of companies in the electric vehicle (EV) ecosystem that bet they can capitalise on that demand.

They include Advanced Electric Machines (AEM) in northern England, which is working with Volkswagen luxury brand Bentley and others in the auto industry to develop recyclable electric motors free of rare earth metals, which are often produced using polluting chemicals.

“Our customers need ways to ditch internal combustion engines that are cost-effective and sustainable without putting tons of this nasty rare earth stuff into their cars,” CEO James Widmer said.

The increasing scrutiny of supply chains comes as the European Union, which announced draft laws last year to enforce net-zero emissions targets, considers charging for excess carbon on imports, as well as legislation requiring ethical sourcing and a recycling plan for EV batteries.

Globally, the prospect looms of national carbon taxes that could cost lagging automakers dearly, while investors and financiers increasingly favour companies with strong environmental, social and governance (ESG) credentials.

“The focus on ESG has become more intense,” said Moshiel Biton, CEO of Israeli battery technology company Addionics, which makes three-dimensional electrodes that Biton says are more efficient, making cleaner but less energy-dense battery chemistries commercially viable.

“But it’s nothing compared to what’s coming.”

Yet it remains to be seen how many of the companies looking to tap the market for cleaning up electric cars will succeed in a rapidly evolving EV technology arena; what’s cutting edge today could be obsolete tomorrow.

Given fierce competition, any projects not advanced enough at the right time will risk missing their chance, according to MacMurray Whale, environmental sustainability strategist at Cormark Securities in Toronto.

“You won’t be able to attract the investor interest because there’s a lot of them and they’re all trying to argue they’re the best,” he said.

‘ROAD MAP TO NET ZERO’

The demand is real, though, from carmakers who face a daunting task to navigate the challenges of making everything from steel to aluminium using cleaner processes, to finding less environmentally damaging battery chemistries.

“We only source new business with suppliers with a road map to net zero,” said Andy Palmer, an electric vehicle pioneer who is CEO of Switch Mobility, a British-based EV maker owned by Indian commercial vehicle maker Ashok Leyland.

Switch buys credits to offset the carbon used to make metal components and factors in that cost when assessing new parts, he added.

Squeezing carbon out of the supply chain is a “vital part” of BMW’s carbon-reduction strategy, sustainability vice president Thomas Becker said.

The German carmaker has negotiated with all its battery suppliers and many of its steel and aluminium suppliers that their materials are made using renewable energy, Becker told a conference in London in March.

The problem with EVs is they are so carbon intensive to make, they have to drive thousands of miles before they do less harm to the environment than a gas-guzzling saloon.

BMW has measured the CO2 footprint throughout its supply chain. If it took no action, its footprint per vehicle would be 18 tonnes of CO2 in 2030, versus 12 tonnes per vehicle in 2019, according to the carmaker. But its carbon reduction plans should cut that number to nine tonnes by 2030, it says.

The need for greener EVs has sent some carmakers back to the drawing board.

Pennsylvania-based engineering company Ansys, which develops modelling software for various industries, has seen surging demand from carmakers seeking to simulate cars and components with greener or lighter materials, such as aluminium instead of steel, said Pepi Maksimovic, director of application engineering.

“There’s an intensification of the effort to address these issues in terms of … bringing better cleaner, greener, meaner technology to the market faster, earlier,” she added.

‘CARBON TAX IS COMING’

Previous corporate sustainability efforts have often been derided as vague and as “greenwashing”.

Costa Caldis, chief operating officer of supply chain tracing company SAFE, said carmakers were moving in the right direction, but not fast enough.

“Stakeholders are demanding supply chain visibility and not just statements.”

Douglas Johnson-Poensgen, CEO of Circulor, which maps supply chains for the likes of BMW and Volvo, said financing from investors was increasingly tied to ESG targets.

“Everybody recognises they need to know where they’re sourcing things from and what they’re inheriting from their supply chain.”

Makram Azar, CEO of London-based investment group Full Circle Capital, said companies in the auto sector that “tick all the right ESG boxes” should find raising capital easier.

“Big asset managers who have allocated huge sums of money to invest in ESG compliant companies have found there aren’t enough of them,” said Azar.

More carbon levies could help to change that.

Full Circle has invested in Britishvolt, a British startup that’s building an EV battery plant that will run only using renewable energy.

Peter Rolton, Britishvolt’s executive chairman, said national governments would need alternatives to fuel taxes that raise vast sums, and taxing carbon would help to squeeze it out of supply chains.

“Carbon taxation is an inevitable part of a 2050 net-zero vision,” he added. “You can see that one coming.”

MINING IN MADAGASCAR

AEM, based in Washington, a city with roots in northeast England’s industrial history, has developed a recyclable motor for EVs using electrical steel and aluminium instead of copper and magnets, thus removing rare earth metals. CEO Widmer said AEM’s motors would be cheaper than conventional ones and in carmakers’ tests have been up to 15% more efficient.

As well as the environmental considerations, many carmakers and suppliers want to reduce reliance on China, which controls 90% of global rare earths metals supply.

China’s dominance extends to graphite, crucial for anodes for EV batteries, which is typically produced using electricity from coal.

Canadian-listed mine developer NextSource plans to start commercial production of graphite in Madagascar from 2023 to capitalise on demand from companies looking to diversify supplies.

Executive vice president Brent Nykoliation said contracts with carmakers should be lucrative and long as they seek to lock in supplies tailor-made to their requirements.

“The conversation has changed dramatically in the last 12 months,” Nykoliation said, referring to carmakers’ engagement with mineral production.

($1 = 0.7595 pounds)

(Reporting By Nick Carey and Barbara Lewis; Editing by Pravin Char)

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By Yoruk Bahceli

(Reuters) -Companies raced to bond markets last month, undeterred by the Ukraine war as they tried to lock in relatively cheap borrowing, though the March rush did not prevent first-quarter sales in the euro market from slumping to a four-year low.

Bond markets globally endured immense volatility in the January-March quarter, stoked by hawkish turns from the U.S. Federal Reserve and European Central Bank, as well as Russia’s Feb. 23 invasion of Ukraine. That, coupled with lower funding needs, pushed bond issuance lower across all debt categories, with Refinitiv data showing it as the slowest first quarter in three years.

In the euro area, where debt markets froze for longer following the invasion, fundraising by investment-grade companies amounted to 93.6 billion euros, the worst first quarter since 2018, according to Refinitiv.

But March turned out to be the busiest month since September 2020 for euro investment-grade sales with some 43.5 billion euros raised.

The U.S. market enjoyed its highest monthly volume on record at any time except during the pandemic liquidity crunch in early 2020, with $130.6 billion of sales in March. First-quarter sales however dropped to a three-year low.

“None of the syndicates expected it to go quite as well, said Helene Jolly, head of EMEA investment-grade corporate syndicate at Deutsche Bank, citing volatility, some bond outflows and inflationary pressures.

The March issuance pickup came as credit markets stabilised and risk premia, the additional yield companies pay on top of government bonds, have slipped below levels seen at the start of the invasion.

Still, borrowing costs in the euro area have tripled for investment-grade companies this year, with the average yield on BofA’s index at 1.50%.

For issuers, “it’s that dynamic of saying: yes (borrowing costs) are higher… but on a historical basis it still looks good and anyone who has come this year has looked smart pretty much immediately in terms of what rates have done,” Jolly said.

Some companies have been bringing forward their near-term funding plans, she added.

But for companies with sub-investment grade credit ratings, the backdrop remains challenging. The euro area saw virtually no “junk” debt sales last month, while just $10.6 billion was raised by U.S. junk names.

Issuance slumped 70% compared to first-quarter 2021 in both markets, to the slowest since 2016 in the U.S. and 2019 in the euro area.

A positive sign for the European market waiting to reopen came in recent weeks as two companies carrying split ratings -investment-grade and high yield – managed to place bonds.

However, a third such company, shopping center owner IGD, postponed a deal after it received less demand than the amount it originally sought to raise, according to a lead manager.

Daniel Rudnicki Schlumberger, head of EMEA leveraged finance at JPMorgan, said based on client discussions, he expects the European high yield market to restart around Easter.

“If the current market conditions don’t worsen, we’re going to go through a period of slow issuance that will show gradual progress.”

Rudnicki Schlumberger said he expects most of the issuance to come from mergers and acquisitions financing, as the rise in borrowing costs and hefty issuance during the pandemic makes refinancing deals less likely.

(Reporting by Yoruk Bahceli; editing by Sujata Rao and Louise Heavens)

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By Maria Caspani

(Reuters) – Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy on Sunday made a surprise video appearance at the music industry’s star-studded Grammy Awards celebration in Las Vegas and appealed to viewers to support his country “in any way you can.”

“What is more opposite to music? The silence of ruined cities and killed people,” said Zelenskiy in the video that introduced John Legend’s performance of “Free” and featured Ukrainian musicians and a reading by Ukrainian poet Lyuba Yakimchuck.

“Fill the silence with your music. Fill it today, to tell our story. Support us in any way you can. Any, but not silence,” Zelenskiy, wearing his now trademark olive green T-shirt, said in English, his voice hoarse.

War broke out in Ukraine over a month ago after Russian military forces invaded, displacing millions of civilians and reducing cities to rubble. Russia calls its actions in Ukraine a “special operation”.

Actor-turned-wartime-leader Zelenskiy, 44, has used nightly videos to great effect at home, often appearing unshaven and wearing a T-shirt, and has also beamed his image directly to parliaments around the world.

He has pleaded with allies in speeches at the U.S. Congress, Japanese National Diet, British and Australian parliaments and Israeli Knesset, and on Sunday chose an event dedicated to the universal language of music to spur support for his country.

“Our musicians wear body armor instead of tuxedos, they sing to the wounded, in hospitals, even to those who can’t hear them but the music will break through,” he said.

(Reporting by Maria Caspani, Rami Ayyub and Daniel Trotta; Editing by Christopher Cushing and Stephen Coates)

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By Hannah Lang

(Reuters) – Almost half of all cryptocurrency owners in the United States, Latin America and Asia Pacific purchased the digital assets for the first time in 2021, according to a new survey from U.S. cryptocurrency exchange Gemini.

The survey of nearly 30,000 people across 20 countries, which was conducted between November 2021 and February 2022, shows 2021 was a blockbuster year for crypto, with inflation in particular driving adoption in countries that have experienced currency devaluation, the report found.

Brazil and Indonesia lead the world in crypto adoption, Gemini found, with 41% of people surveyed in those countries reporting crypto ownership, compared with 20% in the United States and 18% in the United Kingdom.

Gemini found that 79% of people who reported owning crypto last year said they chose to purchase the digital assets for their long-term investment potential.

People who do not currently own crypto and live in countries that have experienced currency devaluation against the U.S. dollar were more than five times as likely to say they planned to purchase crypto as a hedge against inflation.

Only 16% of respondents in the United States and 15% in Europe agreed that cryptocurrencies hedge against inflation, compared with 64% in Indonesia and India, for example.

The Indian rupee has declined 17.5% against the dollar in the last five years, while the Indonesian rupiah depreciated 50% against the dollar between 2011 and 2020.

Only 17% of Europeans reported that they owned digital assets in 2021, and only 7% of those who do not currently own crypto said they intended to buy digital assets at some point.

It remains to be seen if the adoption momentum can keep pace this year.

While the most popular cryptocurrency, bitcoin, hit an all-time high of more than $68,000 in November, helping to push the value of the cryptocurrency market to $3 trillion, according to CoinGecko, it has traded in the narrow range of $34,000-$44,000 for most of 2022 so far.

(Reporting by Hannah Lang in Washington; Editing by Leslie Adler)

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(Reuters) – Citigroup Inc on Monday named Tony Osmond as chair of its Banking, Capital Markets and Advisory (BCMA) unit in Australia and New Zealand, and Alex Cartel to be the unit’s head, as the U.S. bank focuses on strengthening its institutional business.

The appointments also come as Citi looks to execute a global overhaul https://www.reuters.com/business/finance/citigroup-profit-triples-385-bln-reserve-release-2021-04-15 and exit some overseas businesses.

Osmond has led the BCMA business since 2012 and helmed teams that advised on multi-billion dollar deals, including PE firm Blackstone’s buyout of Crown Resorts and Woolworths’ demerger of Endeavour Group.

Cartel, a Deutsche Bank veteran who joined Citi in 2020, had advised iron ore behemoth BHP on the unification of dual listing, and Santos’ merger with Oil Search.

“These appointments are reflective of our continuous investment in our institutional business… and will ensure we have the capacity to meet the increasing activity,” said Marc Luet, chief executive officer of Citi Australia and New Zealand.

(Reporting by Navya Mittal; editing by Uttaresh.V)

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By Sharon Bernstein

SACRAMENTO, Calif. -Sacramento police said on Sunday that multiple shooters were involved in early morning violence in which six people were killed and 12 were wounded but the suspects remain at large.

Police Chief Kathy Lester provided no information about any suspects or the motive for the shooting, a few blocks from the state capitol, as bars began to close and revelers poured onto the streets.

“We know that a large fight took place just prior to the shooting, and we have confirmed there were multiple shooters,” Lester told a news conference.

Lester said there were three men and three women among those killed. She did not identify any of the victims.

President Joe Biden said the United States was once again mourning a community hurt by gun violence and he called on Congress to pass stricter gun legislation.

“Ban ghost guns. Require background checks for all gun sales. Ban assault weapons and high-capacity magazines. Repeal gun manufacturers’ immunity from liability,” Biden said in a statement.

The shooting occurred at about 2 a.m. (0900 GMT), Lester said, near the Golden 1 Center, an arena where the Sacramento Kings basketball team plays and concerts are held.

Police said in a statement that they had recovered at least one gun at the scene and had located 12 victims “with varying degrees of injuries.”

Officers cordoned off several blocks and the scene was dotted with blue and red plastic cones that marked evidence.

Relatives waited outside the police lines seeking news about missing loved ones.

Among them was Pamela Harris, who said her daughter had called her at 2:15 a.m. to say that her 38-year-old son, Sergio, had been shot and killed outside a nightclub.

“She said he was dead. I just collapsed,” Harris said. She said she was still waiting on official confirmation from police.

“I cannot leave here now until I know what’s going on. I’m not going anywhere. It seems like a dream.”

Community activist Berry Accius said he had rushed to the scene shortly after the shooting.

“The first thing I saw was a young lady draped in her blood and others’ blood. She was just on the phone saying ‘My sister is dead! My sister is dead!’,” said Accius, whose Voice of the Youth leadership program is focused on gun violence prevention.

The area of the shooting has recently been revitalized as an entertainment center. Over the past week, pandemic masks had started coming off and bars and restaurants began filling with people long isolated by COVID-19.

“The numbers of dead and wounded are difficult to comprehend. We await more information about exactly what transpired in this tragic incident,” Mayor Darrell Steinberg said on Twitter. “Rising gun violence is the scourge of our city, state and nation, and I support all actions to reduce it.

The incident comes a little more than a month after a man shot and killed his three children and a fourth person before taking his own life in the same city.

In a separate shooting overnight in Dallas, Texas, a man was killed and 11 people were injured when a person opened fire into a crowd at a concert, Dallas police said. The incident is being investigated.

(Reporting by Sharon Bernstein and Nathan Frandino in Sacramento, Katharine Jackson and Rami Ayyub in Washington, Barbara Goldberg in New York and Brad Brooks in Lubbock, Texas; writing by Scott Malone; Editing by Kirsten Donovan, Raissa Kasolowsky, Daniel Wallis, Marguerita Choy and Diane Craft)

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By Nina Chestney

LONDON -Europe and Russia will both lose heavily if President Vladimir Putin follows through on his threat to cut gas supplies to countries he judges “unfriendly” unless they pay in roubles.

Even at the height of the Cold War, Moscow never cut gas to Europe, but on Thursday, Putin signed a decree ordering foreign buyers to pay in roubles instead of euros from April 1 or face going without Russian supplies.

European capitals rejected the ultimatum and on Friday Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov said it would not affect settlements until later this month.

Although the threat of shortages comes after the peak demand European winter season, Europe still has much to lose when its businesses and households are already reeling from record energy prices, while Moscow could be cutting off one of its main sources of revenue.

Russia exported around 155 billion cubic metres (bcm) of gas to Europe last year, providing more than a third of its gas supply.

Without it, Europe would have to buy more gas on the spot market where prices are already around 500% higher than last year.

Germany and Austria, both heavily reliant on Russian gas, have activated emergency plans, which include rationing if necessary, and other European countries have plans in place.

“Buyers’ unwillingness to abide by (Putin’s) order risks suspending supplies. Both buyers and Gazprom will face losses as a result,” said Dmitry Polevoy, analyst at Moscow-based brokerage Locko-Invest.

DASH FOR GAS

European countries will have to compete with Asia to attract additional liquefied natural gas (LNG) from Qatar or the United States, and even among themselves for alternative pipeline supplies from places such as Norway and Algeria.

U.S. LNG exporters have already emerged as big winners of Europe’s supply crisis, while Norway has also benefitted.

Greece said on Friday it could avoid gas supply problems if Russian flows are halted provided sufficient gas is available on the world market.

Last week, the United States said it will work to supply 15 bcm of LNG to the European Union this year but this would not fully replace what Russia sends to Europe via pipelines.

Apart from trying to get more in an already stretched global gas market, several European countries have also said they will have to use more coal, potentially extend the life of nuclear plants and increase renewables output.

“A disruption of Russian natural gas flows towards Europe remains a tail risk. Europe has more options for alternative supplies, and with demand seasonally low for the coming months, has no risk of running out of supplies this year,” said Norbert Rücker at Swiss private bank Julius Baer.

But that risk would increase towards the winter months when gas demand usually rises.

Gas in European storage might be enough for spring and summer without demand curtailment, but Europe will risk entering next winter with only around 10% of gas in store by the end of October without some energy conservation measures, said Kateryna Filippenko, principal analyst at Wood Mackenzie.

To attract more LNG from elsewhere, European wholesale gas prices would need to remain higher than the Asian benchmark LNG price. Rocketing gas prices are already hurting consumers and industries and governments have spent billions of euros on measures to try and shield them.

“We have to be aware that the companies who have signed long-term contracts with Gazprom do receive gas at significantly lower prices than we have to pay in the LNG market. So there will be impact on our energy prices,” EU energy commissioner Kadri Simson told EU lawmakers last month.

SELF SABOTAGE?

Russia faces the loss of an important revenue stream for its domestic finances.

In the first nine months of 2021, the latest data available from Russian gas producer Gazprom show its revenue from sales to Europe, Turkey and China was 2.5 trillion roubles ($31 billion) from exporting 176 bcm of gas between January and September.

“For Russia, a decision to restrict supply would be like shooting itself in the foot,” said analysts at SEB Research.

If the payment mechanism is designed to shore up the rouble, that could also be short-lived. Prior to the invasion, the Russian central bank required 80% of foreign currency from gas to be converted into roubles. Now it would all have to be switched into the Russian currency.

“The move will cut Russia off from a vital source of foreign exchange (FX) at a time when sanctions have already massively restricted the Russian Central Bank’s access to its FX reserves,” said analysts at Fitch Solutions.

European buyers have repeatedly said the move constitutes a breach of contract. Gazprom risks being involved in arbitration suits where it could be forced to pay large fines in the future.

Another question is what Russia can do with the gas it usually supplies to Europe. The speaker of Russia’s upper house of parliament, Valentina Matviyenko, said last week that Moscow could redirect supplies to Asian markets among others.

However, there is no pipeline that allows Russia to send the gas supplied to Europe to Asia. A pipeline from Russia to China sends gas from other fields that do not supply Europe and there is no interconnector to re-route those flows.

Asian markets might also be reluctant to buy more.

“You make yourself impossible as a gas supplier to other countries. How likely is it, for example, that China or India would choose to rely on Russian gas if Russia so clearly shows that it does not hesitate to use the gas as a weapon,” said SEB Research analysts.

Instead, Russia might be forced to pump the gas into domestic storage sites that can hold around 72 bcm. Gazprom-owned storage sites in Europe could hold another 9 bcm.

Gazprom expects domestic gas demand to increase to 260 bcm by 2026 from 238 bcm in 2020 and has plans to expand storage.

But in the short term, if European gas were re-directed to existing storage, it would be full in three to four months and some gas production could then be shut down, damaging long-term growth, analysts said.

($1 = 81.5210 roubles)

(Reporting by Nina Chestney, Reuters reporters; Editing by Veronica Brown and Barbara Lewis)

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By Leika Kihara

TOKYO -Haruhiko Kuroda built a career battling a strong yen and the Bank of Japan governor is unlikely to change course in his final year at the helm, eight sources said, despite political pressure to acknowledge that the weak currency is now a problem.

Sources familiar with the bank’s thinking and people close to Kuroda, whose decade in charge ends next April, said he is likely to protect his legacy by avoiding tweaks to a monetary policy that continues to treat a strong yen as enemy No. 1.

The BOJ’s dovish signals may give markets a chance to drive down the yen further, as prospects of steady policy tightening by the Federal Reserve widen the Japan-U.S. interest rate gap.

“The BOJ looks at inflation, not yen moves, in guiding policy,” one of the sources said.

Kuroda’s career as a finance bureaucrat was marked by fighting rises in the yen that threatened Japan’s export-reliant economy.

After landing the BOJ top job in 2013, he maintained that stance and engineered a dramatic yen fall by pumping in massive monetary stimulus, a policy that is considered among the key successes of former premier Shinzo Abe’s pro-growth “Abenomics”.

Now, Kuroda is increasingly alone in repeating the benefits of a weak currency, as government officials escalate their warnings against excessive yen declines that help push up import costs and consumer prices for energy and food.

The weak yen has emerged as a political hot-button as lawmakers demand measures to cushion the blow from rising inflation ahead of upper house elections due in July.

The mood among companies is starting to change, too. Kengo Sakurada, head of business lobby Keizai Doyukai, said on Tuesday that current yen levels were hurting retailers and can “hardly be seen as appropriate”.

Even former finance ministry colleagues, most of whom like Kuroda struggled to combat a strong yen, are beginning to brand currency weakness as indicative of Japan’s waning economic might.

Kuroda appears unfazed, and continues to argue that while a weak yen may hurt households and retailers, the benefits to the economy outweigh the cost.

The BOJ is still relentless in defending its 0% cap for long-term interest rates, set under its ultra-easy policy.

Undeterred by the yen’s slide to a six-year low against the dollar on Monday, it offered unlimited, fixed-rate purchases of 10-year government bonds through Thursday and ramped up bond-buying for other maturities.

“In a sense, the BOJ is driving down the yen with unlimited bond buying,” said former top currency diplomat Naoyuki Shinohara, who was Kuroda’s colleague at the finance ministry. “It probably doesn’t see the yen’s current levels as dangerous.”

UNWAVERING AND PRAGMATIC

So far, there is little sign of discontent within the BOJ over Kuroda’s stance. Dovish board members, such as Goushi Kataoka, see the weak yen as a key channel through which the bank’s easy policy boosts growth.

A summary of opinions of a March meeting made no mention of the pros and cons of a weak yen.

Prime Minister Fumio Kishida’s administration meanwhile continues to defend the BOJ’s ultra-easy policy as a necessary support to a still-fragile economic recovery.

“It’s hard to tighten monetary policy to deal with cost-push inflation, which means monetary policy must remain loose,” said deputy chief cabinet secretary Seiji Kihara, who is considered among the premier’s closest aides.

Pressure to tweak the yield cap could become overwhelming if the yen, now hovering near 122 to the dollar, plunges to around 130, some analysts say.

But Eisuke Sakakibara, who is known as “Mr. Yen” for master-minding currency interventions in the 1990s, argues that hiking BOJ interest rates will do little to stop yen declines.

For now, Kuroda is expected to ensure the BOJ stays the course on ultra-easy policy. While political pressure may mount for him to budge, current law does not give the government power to fire the central bank governor. Kuroda is unlikely to be reappointed, having already served an unusually long term.

Kuroda’s predecessor, Masaaki Shirakawa, voluntarily left the job several weeks before his term ended, after facing a barrage of criticism for doing too little, too late to beat deflation.

Stepping down early, or hiking interest rates in the face of political pressure, is not in Kuroda’s nature, say people who have regular interactions with the governor.

“He may be under heat but that’s probably not a concern to him,” one of the people said. “He’s extremely pragmatic and unwavering, so I can’t see why he would choose to step down or tweak policy now.”

(Reporting by Leika Kihara; Additional reporting by Tetsushi Kajimoto, Kantaro Komiya and Daniel Leussink; Editing by Catherine Evans)

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BELGRADE -Serbia’s incumbent President Aleksandar Vucic is set to win the presidential vote on Sunday with 59.8% of the votes, according to a projection by pollsters Ipsos and CeSID, based on a sample of the partial polling station count.

Zdravko Ponos, a retired army general representing the pro-European and centrist Alliance for Victory coalition, is set to come second with 17.1% of the votes.

In the parliamentary vote Vucic’s Serbian Progressive Party (SNS) is set to come first with 43.6% of votes, Ipsos and CeSID projections showed.

The United for Victory opposition alliance trailed behind with 12.9% of the votes.

The Socialist Party of Serbia, a long-time ally of the SNS, is seen third with 11.6% of the votes. The Nada (Hope) rightist coalition and Moramo (We Must), an alliance of green movements and parties, garnered around 5.4% and 4.3% of votes respectively.

As the SNS would likely fail to secure enough of the 250-seat parliament to rule alone, it will have to seek coalition partners.

According to the State Election Commission preliminary data, turnout stood at 58.54%.

Vucic ran for a second five-year term on a promise of peace and stability just as Russia invaded Ukraine on Feb 24, which has put Serbia under pressure from the West to choose between its traditional ties with Moscow and aspirations to join the European Union (EU).

Vucic acknowledged conflict in Ukraine impacted the campaign and said Serbia has no plans to deviate from its balancing game between the EU membership bid and close ties with Russia and China, a major investor.

“We will maintain policy that is important for the Europeans, Russians and Americans, and that is … military neutrality.”

“Serbia will try to preserve friendly and partnership relations in many areas with the Russian Federation,” Vucic said.

Serbia is almost entirely dependent on Russian gas, while its army maintains ties with Russia’s military.

The Kremlin also supports Belgrade’s opposition to the independence of Kosovo by blocking its membership to the United Nations.

Although Serbia backed two United Nations resolutions condemning Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, it refused to impose sanctions against Moscow.

CeSID and CRTA pollsters reported several irregularities, including photographing of ballots.

The opposition largely boycotted a parliamentary election in 2020, allowing Vucic’s SNS party and its allies to secure 188 seats in the 250-seat parliament.

A veteran politician who served as information minister in 1998 under former strongman Slobodan Milosevic, Vucic has transformed himself from a nationalist firebrand to a proponent of EU membership, military neutrality and ties with Russia and China.

Ponos has accused Vucic of using the war in Ukraine in his campaign to capitalise on people’s fears.

Opposition and rights watchdogs also accuse Vucic and his allies of an autocratic style of rule, corruption, nepotism, controlling the media, attacks on political opponents and ties with organised crime. Vucic and his allies have repeatedly denied all those allegations.

(Reporting by Aleksandar Vasovic and Ivana Sekularac; Editing by Emelia Sithole-Matarise, Diane Craft and Chizu Nomiyama)

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By Justyna Pawlak and Krisztina Than

BUDAPEST -Hungary’s nationalist Prime Minister Viktor Orban scored a fourth consecutive landslide win in Sunday’s election, as voters endorsed his ambition of a conservative, “illiberal” state and shrugged off concerns over Budapest’s close ties with Moscow.

Russia’s Feb. 24 invasion of Ukraine had appeared to upend Orban’s campaign in recent weeks, forcing him into awkward manouvering to explain decade-old cosy business relations with President Vladimir Putin.

But he mounted a successful campaign to persuade his Fidesz party’s core electorate that the six-party opposition alliance of Peter Marki-Zay promising to mend ties with the European Union could lead the country into war, an accusation the opposition denied.

Surrounded by leading party members, a triumphant Orban, 58, said Sunday’s victory came against all odds.

“We have scored a victory so big, that it can be seen even from the Moon,” he said. “We have defended Hungary’s sovereignty and freedom.”

Preliminary results with about 98% of national party list votes counted showed Orban’s Fidesz party leading with 53.1% of votes versus 35% for Marki-Zay’s opposition alliance. Fidesz was also winning 88 of 106 single-member constituencies.

Based on preliminary results, the National Election Office said Fidesz would have 135 seats, a two-thirds majority, and the opposition alliance would have 56 seats. A far-right party called Our Homeland would also make it into parliament, winning 7 seats.

His comfortable victory could embolden Orban, 58, in his policy agenda which critics say amounts to a subversion of democratic norms, media freedom and the rights of minorities, particularly gay and lesbian people.

Conceding defeat, Marki-Zay, 49, said Fidesz’s win was due to what he called its vast propaganda machine, including media dominance.

“I don’t want to hide my disappointment, my sadness … We knew this would be an uneven playing field,” he said. “We admit that Fidesz got a huge majority of the votes. But we still dispute whether this election was democratic and free.”

The Organisation for Security and Cooperation in Europe (OSCE) sent a full-scale election monitoring mission for the vote, only the second such effort in an European Union member state.

ONE-PARTY RULE

One of Europe’s longest-serving leaders, Orban has emerged as a vocal supporter of anti-immigration policies and an opponent of tough energy sanctions against Moscow.

Critics say he has sought to cement one-party rule by overhauling the constitution, taking control of a majority of media outlets and rejigging election rules, as well as staffing key government posts with loyalists and rewarding businessmen close to Fidesz with lucrative state contracts.

Still, he wins favour with many older, poorer voters in rural areas who espouse his traditional Christian values and with families who benefit from a host of tax breaks and price caps on fuel and some foodstuffs.

The election comes at a time when global energy woes and steep labour shortages in the region have fuelled inflation increases throughout central Europe. Consumer price growth reached an almost 15-year high of 8.3% in February in Hungary.

Critics say the public perception of the war has been influenced by state-controlled media which have amplified Orban’s accusations that an opposition-led government would support sanctions on Russian gas shipments and put Hungary at risk by shipping weapons to Ukraine.

With voting under way throughout Hungary, Ukraine accused Russian forces of carrying out a “massacre” in the town of Bucha, while Western nations reacted to images of dead bodies there with calls for new sanctions against Moscow.

Orban has condemned the Russian invasion, which the Kremlin describes as a “special military operation” and has not vetoed any European Union sanctions against Moscow even though he said he did not agree with them.

But he has banned any transport of arms to Ukraine via Hungarian territory, facing criticism from his nationalist allies in Poland, and said benefits of close ties with Russia include gas supply security.

His victory, however, is a relief for Warsaw’s nationalist Law and Justice government which has relied on his backing in Brussels to counter penalties over rule of law breaches.

(Reporting by Krisztina Than; Additional reporting by Anita Komuves and Gergely Szakacs; Writing by Krisztina Than and Justyna Pawlak; Editing by Daniel Wallis and Stephen Coates)

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By Sudarshan Varadhan

NEW DELHI -India’s southern Andhra Pradesh has cancelled bids made for two separate tenders by India’s Adani Enterprises to supply imported coal as the prices quoted were too high, two state government officials told Reuters.

It is the first time in recent years that a major government tender for imported coal has been cancelled over high prices. Details on the cancellation have not been previously reported.

India has asked utilities to step up coal imports to address a domestic shortfall. However, expensive imports could add to the financial woes of state government-owned, debt-laden power distributors, which have overdue payments of nearly $15 billion to power generators.

Adani, India’s largest coal trader, offered to supply last month 500,000 tonnes of South African coal at 40,000 rupees ($526.50) per tonne and another 750,000 tonnes at 17,480 rupees ($230.08) in January, the officials said.

Benchmark South African coal prices started rising in January to hit a monthly high of $176.50 per tonne in the wake of an export ban by Indonesia, extending the rise to a record $441.65 per tonne in March due to the Russia-Ukraine war.

Both tenders were cancelled because the prices quoted were too high, the officials said. Adani was the only bidder for the 500,000 tonnes tender, while Agarwal Coal, which had also bid for the 750,000 tonnes tender, had quoted a higher price than Adani, they said.

Adani and Agarwal Coal did not immediately respond to emails and calls seeking comment on Sunday.

India has cut supplies to the non-power sector as it faced two of its worst power shortages in recent years in October and March, despite record production by state-run near-monopoly Coal India Ltd.

One of the officials, B Sreedhar, managing director at Andhra Pradesh Power Generation Corp Ltd, said the current power shortage was not as bad as the one in October, but said the state was living a “hand-to-mouth existence”.

“We have not been able to build up stocks. Even though coal is available locally because of more mining, transportation is an issue,” Sreedhar told Reuters.

Andhra Pradesh, which faced an electricity deficit of 7% during the last three days of March, floated a tender this week “for urgent procurement” of 100,000 tonnes of imported coal, the officials said.

Indian state government-owned utilities could import at least 2.6 million tonnes in the coming months to address summer power demand, equalling total buying in the last 24 months, other state government officials said.

The western Maharashtra state has floated a tender to procure 2 million tonnes of coal, while southern Tamil Nadu state could float tenders to procure 480,000 tonnes, senior officials there said.

Federal government-run NTPC Ltd floated a tender last month to import 1.25 million tonnes of coal.

($1 = 75.9731 Indian rupees)

(Reporting by Sudarshan Varadhan; Ediitng by Emelia Sithole-Matarise)

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By Steve Scherer

OTTAWA -Canada on Monday will announce its support for General Motors Co’s multi-billion-dollar investment in two plants, including one that will produce electric commercial vehicles (EVs), a government source said.

Both the federal government and Ontario’s provincial government will invest in the two GM plants in Ingersoll and Oshawa, said the source, who provided no further details and was not authorized to speak on the record.

Scott Bell, GM’s Vice President Global Chevrolet, Canada’s federal Industry Minister Francois-Philippe Champagne and Ontario Premier Doug Ford will make an announcement about “an important investment in the future of Canada’s automotive manufacturing sector” at 11 a.m. EST (3 p.m. GMT) on Monday, according to a statement.

The announcement will take place at a GM vehicle test track in Oshawa, the company said. GM declined to comment further.

GM said early last year it would invest C$1 billion ($799 million) to convert its CAMI Assembly Plant in Ingersoll, Ontario, to produce its BrightDrop EV600 commercial delivery vans.

Toward the end of last year, GM reopened its Oshawa plant – after it had been shuttered for two years – to produce the Chevrolet Silverado pickup.

Canada is trying to safeguard the future of its manufacturing heartland in Ontario as the world seeks to cut emissions by investing in the electric vehicle (EV) supply chain.

Ontario is geographically close to U.S. automakers in Michigan and Ohio, including GM.

Last month GM and South Korea’s POSCO Chemical said they would build a $400 million facility to produce battery materials in Canada as the carmaker ramps up plans to produce mainly electric vehicles (EVs) in the future.

GM plans to have capacity to build 1 million electric vehicles in North America by the end of 2025.

($1 = 1.2518 Canadian dollars)

(Reporting by Steve Scherer; Editing by Daniel Wallis and Chizu Nomiyama)

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By Jonathan Landay and Gibran Naiyyar Peshimam

WASHINGTON/ISLAMABAD – Pakistan Prime Minister Imran Khan blocked a no-confidence vote he looked sure to lose on Sunday and advised the president to order fresh elections, fueling anger among the opposition and deepening the country’s political crisis.

His actions have created huge uncertainty in Islamabad, with constitutional experts debating their legality and pondering whether Khan and his rivals can find a way forward.

The nuclear-armed nation of more than 220 million people lies between Afghanistan to the west, China to the northeast and nuclear rival India to the east, making it of vital strategic importance.

Since coming to power in 2018, Khan’s rhetoric has become more anti-American and he has expressed a desire to move closer to China and, recently, Russia – including talks with President Vladimir Putin on the day the invasion of Ukraine began.

At the same time, U.S. and Asian foreign policy experts said that Pakistan’s powerful military has traditionally controlled foreign and defence policy, thereby limiting the impact of political instability.

Here is what the upheaval, which many expect to lead to Khan’s exit, means for countries closely involved in Pakistan:

AFGHANISTAN

Ties between Pakistan’s military intelligence agency and the Islamist militant Taliban have loosened in recent years.

Now the Taliban are back in power, and facing an economic and humanitarian crisis due to a lack of money and international isolation, Qatar is arguably their most important foreign partner.

“We (the United States) don’t need Pakistan as a conduit to the Taliban. Qatar is definitely playing that role now,” said Lisa Curtis, director of the Indo-Pacific Security Program at the Center for a New American Security think-tank.

Tensions have risen between the Taliban and Pakistan’s military, which has lost several soldiers in attacks close to their mutual border. Pakistan wants the Taliban to do more to crack down on extremist groups and worries they will spread violence into Pakistan. That has begun to happen already.

Khan has been less critical of the Taliban over human rights than most foreign leaders.

CHINA

Khan has consistently emphasised China’s positive role in Pakistan and in the world at large.

At the same time, the $60-billion China-Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC) which binds the neighbours together was actually conceptualised and launched under Pakistan’s two established political parties, both of which want Khan out of power.

Opposition leader and potential successor Shehbaz Sharif struck deals with China directly as leader of the eastern province of Punjab, and his reputation for getting major infrastructure projects off the ground while avoiding political grandstanding could in fact be music to Beijing’s ears.

INDIA

The neighbours have fought three wars since independence in 1947, two of them over the disputed Muslim-majority territory of Kashmir.

As with Afghanistan, it is Pakistan’s military that controls policy in the sensitive area, and tensions along the de facto border there are at their lowest level since 2021.

But there have been no formal diplomatic talks between the rivals for years because of deep distrust over a range of issues including Khan’s extreme criticism of Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi for his handling of attacks on minority Muslims in India.

Karan Thapar, an Indian political commentator who has closely followed India-Pakistan ties, said the Pakistani military could put pressure on a new civilian government in Islamabad to build on the successful ceasefire in Kashmir.

On Saturday, Pakistan’s powerful army chief General Qamar Javed Bajwa said his country was ready to move forward on Kashmir if India agrees.

The Sharif political dynasty has been at the forefront of several dovish overtures towards India over the years.

UNITED STATES

U.S.-based South Asia experts said that Pakistan’s political crisis is unlikely to be a priority for President Joe Biden, who is grappling with the war in Ukraine, unless it led to mass unrest or rising tensions with India.

“We have so many other fish to fry,” said Robin Raphel, a former assistant secretary of State for South Asia who is a senior associate with the Center for Strategic and International Studies think-tank.

With the Pakistani military maintaining its behind-the-scenes control of foreign and security policies, Khan’s political fate was not a major concern, according to some analysts.

“Since it’s the military that calls the shots on the policies that the U.S. really cares about, i.e. Afghanistan, India and nuclear weapons, internal Pakistani political developments are largely irrelevant for the U.S.,” said Curtis, who served as former U.S. President Donald Trump’s National Security Council senior director for South Asia.

She added that Khan’s visit to Moscow had been a “disaster” in terms of U.S. relations, and that a new government in Islamabad could at least help mend ties “to some degree”.

Khan has blamed the United States for the current political crisis, saying that Washington wanted him removed because of the recent Moscow trip.

(Additional reporting and writing by Sanjeev Miglani; Editing by Mike Collett-White)

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