US Treasury yield curve to steepen next year as Fed cuts rates, says BofA
By Davide Barbuscia NEW YORK (Reuters) – The U.S. Treasury yield curve, which plots the yields of different government bond maturities, will likely steepen in …
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Goldman Sachs execs see steeper Treasuries curve, softer demand
By Lananh Nguyen and Davide Barbuscia NEW YORK (Reuters) – Goldman Sachs expects the U.S. Treasuries curve to steepen in the long term, driven by …
Fed’s Kashkari: a lot of uncertainty about what is driving yield curve
Minneapolis Federal Reserve Bank President Neel Kashkari on Friday said there is a lot of uncertainty over what is driving longer-term bond yields, whose rise …
Marketmind: Yield curve control morphs
A look at the day ahead in European and global markets from Tom Westbrook Japan’s yield cap has evolved into a reference rate, with the …
Marketmind: Five alive: US yield curve nears historic level
By Jamie McGeever (Reuters) – A look at the day ahead in Asian markets from Jamie McGeever, financial markets columnist. Another watershed day for U.S. …
Column-Bear steepening U.S. yield curve dashes ‘soft landing’ hopes: McGeever
By Jamie McGeever ORLANDO, Florida (Reuters) – The surge in long-dated U.S. bond yields currently underway and driving the so-called ‘bear steepening’ of the yield …
Euro zone bond yields slip ahead of U.S. data
By Stefano Rebaudo and Harry Robertson (Reuters) – Euro zone borrowing costs broadly fell on Thursday, after a bond selloff paused the day before as …
India bond yield curve inversion to persist on tight liquidity, inflation fears – traders
By Dharamraj Dhutia MUMBAI (Reuters) – Tight liquidity conditions and sticky inflation will keep the four-year to 10-year part of the Indian government bond yield …
Marketmind: Markets yield to U.S. curve
By Jamie McGeever (Reuters) – A look at the day ahead in Asian markets from Jamie McGeever, financial markets columnist. A clutch of top-tier Chinese …
Marketmind: Dodging the US curve ball
By Jamie McGeever (Reuters) – A look at the day ahead in Asian markets from Jamie McGeever, financial markets columnist. Investors in Asia may well …
Explainer-After surprise tweak, what now for BOJ’s yield curve control?
By Leika Kihara TOKYO (Reuters) – The Bank of Japan (BOJ) has tweaked its bond yield control policy and will allow interest rates to rise …
Explainer-How does Japan’s yield curve control work?
By Leika Kihara TOKYO (Reuters) – One of Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda’s main challenges will be to phase out yield curve control (YCC), …
Fed’s Waller: inverted yield curve may signal belief in falling inflation
(Reuters) – Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller on Wednesday said that while inverted yield curves in the context of stable inflation often point to a …
Column-Funds take record short position across U.S. Treasuries curve: McGeever
By Jamie McGeever ORLANDO, Florida (Reuters) – There’s a large swathe of the investment community convinced that 2023 will be a solid year for U.S. …
Funds bet heavily on U.S. curve steepeners: McGeever
By Jamie McGeever ORLANDO, Fla. (Reuters) -A key part of the U.S. yield curve is the most inverted in decades and for hedge funds, enough …
BOJ tweaks operational functions of yield curve control
TOKYO (Reuters) – The Bank of Japan said on Tuesday it will widen the band at which it will allow the 10-year government yield to …
Canada’s deep yield curve inversion adds to BoC rate hike dilemma
By Fergal Smith TORONTO (Reuters) – As the Bank of Canada considers ditching oversized interest rate hikes, it is dealing with an economy likely more …
BOJ’s Kuroda: Making yield curve control more flexible a future option
TOKYO (Reuters) – Bank of Japan Governor Haruhiko Kuroda said on Wednesday making the bank’s yield curve control policy more flexible could be an option …
Fed may be alert to favoured yield curve alarm :Mike Dolan
By Mike Dolan LONDON (Reuters) -If the U.S. Federal Reserve tends to tighten hard until something breaks, as some investors still believe despite the central …
India OIS curve may steepen on overcooked rate hike bets – BofA
MUMBAI (Reuters) – A part of India’s overnight indexed swaps curve, a gauge for future policy rates, may steepen as investors are pricing in a …
Column-Hedge funds strike it right on dollar, yield curve: McGeever
By Jamie McGeever ORLANDO, Fla. – Hedge funds slashed their long dollar positions and bet harder on a flatter yield curve, two macro trades that …
Column – Deep U.S. curve inversion hastens the recession it predicts: McGeever
By Jamie McGeever ORLANDO, Fla. – An inverted U.S. Treasury yield curve almost always heralds recession, but the yawning gap between high short-term funding costs …
CARTER: The Debt Curve From Hell
CARTER: The Debt Curve From Hell James Carter on August 8, 2022 The Congressional Budget Office’s (CBO) newly issued long-term budget outlook ought to be …
Column-Fed may face yield curve, recession ‘mea culpa’: McGeever
By Jamie McGeever ORLANDO, Fla. – U.S. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen this week issued a ‘mea culpa’ on getting it wrong on inflation. If the …
Marketmind: How far behind the curve exactly?
A look at the day ahead in markets from Julien Ponthus. On Friday, St. Louis Fed President James Bullard argued that the U.S. Federal Reserve …
U.S. recession not imminent despite yield curve inversion, BlackRock executive says
NEW YORK – A U.S. recession is not imminent despite the inversion of a part of the U.S. Treasury yield curve which has been “artificially …
Column-Cold comfort in re-steepening U.S. yield curve: Mike Dolan
By Mike Dolan LONDON – Pretending it did not happen probably does not help much. Given its track record in preceding the last four recession …
Analysis-Aggressive Fed balance sheet runoff could jolt flattened yield curve
By Karen Brettell and Davide Barbuscia (Reuters) – Investors are gauging whether comparatively quick balance sheet reduction by the Federal Reserve could perk up the …
Column-Funds get steamrollered on steeper U.S. yield curve bets. Again: McGeever
By Jamie McGeever ORLANDO, Fla. – It will probably come good one day, but hedge funds’ latest attempt to position for a steeper U.S. yield …
U.S. 2s/10s Treasury yield curve inverts again
(Reuters) – A key part of the U.S. yield curve inverted on Friday morning in Asia, the second time in a few hours, according to …
Factbox-Recession after fleeting yield curve inversion? It is complicated
By Karen Brettell (Reuters) – The closely watched two-year/10-year part of the U.S. Treasury yield curve briefly inverted on Tuesday, which in the past has …
Explainer-Why an inverted yield curve may not be all bad for U.S. banks
By David Henry and Michelle Price (Reuters) – The U.S. Treasury yield curve, widely watched as a barometer of the economy’s health, briefly “inverted” on …
Column-Funds flock back to curve flatteners after Fed lift-off: McGeever
By Jamie McGeever ORLANDO, Fla. – Hedge funds bet correctly on the U.S. yield curve flattening after the Fed kicked off its interest rate-raising cycle …
Wall Street worries that Fed was behind the curve on inflation
– Wall Street analysts and investors who believe the U.S. Fed Reserve has acted too slowly to combat high inflation are now forecasting even more …
Column-Hedge funds go long dollars, curve steepeners before Fed lift-off: McGeever
By Jamie McGeever ORLANDO, Fla. – Hedge funds went into the Fed’s interest rate lift-off wagering on a stronger dollar and steeper U.S. yield curve, …
Yield curve recession signal intensifies as war fuels ‘stagflation’ fears
By Davide Barbuscia NEW YORK -Recession concerns are showing up more prominently in the U.S. Treasury yield curve, as soaring commodity prices in the wake …
‘Contrarian’ quant giant Dimensional focuses on U.S. curve short end, corporate debt
By Davide Barbuscia NEW YORK – Dimensional Fund Advisors, a pioneer of quantitative investment with $680 billion in assets under management, has increased exposure to …
Funds win again with U.S. curve flatteners: McGeever
By Jamie McGeever ORLANDO, Fla. -Another week, another big win for hedge funds betting on a flatter U.S. yield curve. Futures market data for the …
Analysis-U.S. yield curve prices for Fed tightening, shows fears of policy error
By Karen Brettell NEW YORK – A dramatic flattening in key parts of the U.S. Treasury yield curve is reflecting worries that the Federal Reserve …
Explainer-The U.S. yield curve has been flattening: Why you should care
By Davide Barbuscia and David Randall NEW YORK – The U.S. Treasury yield curve has been flattening over the last few months as the Federal …
U.S. yield curve inversion may be ‘false positive’ recession signal – Credit Suisse
NEW YORK – A U.S. Treasuries yield curve inversion this time around may not be the perfect predictor of a recession, a Credit Suisse strategist …
U.S. Treasury yield curve to flatten, possibly invert this year – Standard Chartered
NEW YORK – The U.S. Treasury yield curve is expected to be completely flat by mid year as the U.S. Federal Reserve hikes interest rates …