Goldman Sachs execs see steeper Treasuries curve, softer demand
By Lananh Nguyen and Davide Barbuscia NEW YORK (Reuters) – Goldman Sachs expects the U.S. Treasuries curve to steepen in the long term, driven by rising fiscal spending, top executives said. “Fiscal…
Marketmind: Five alive: US yield curve nears historic level
By Jamie McGeever (Reuters) – A look at the day ahead in Asian markets from Jamie McGeever, financial markets columnist. Another watershed day for U.S. Treasuries on Thursday – the entire curve…
Column-Bear steepening U.S. yield curve dashes ‘soft landing’ hopes: McGeever
By Jamie McGeever ORLANDO, Florida (Reuters) – The surge in long-dated U.S. bond yields currently underway and driving the so-called ‘bear steepening’ of the yield curve will dramatically reduce the economy’s chances…
Euro zone bond yields slip ahead of U.S. data
By Stefano Rebaudo and Harry Robertson (Reuters) – Euro zone borrowing costs broadly fell on Thursday, after a bond selloff paused the day before as yields hit crucial levels and as traders…
India bond yield curve inversion to persist on tight liquidity, inflation fears – traders
By Dharamraj Dhutia MUMBAI (Reuters) – Tight liquidity conditions and sticky inflation will keep the four-year to 10-year part of the Indian government bond yield curve inverted, traders said on Monday. “The…
Marketmind: Markets yield to U.S. curve
By Jamie McGeever (Reuters) – A look at the day ahead in Asian markets from Jamie McGeever, financial markets columnist. A clutch of top-tier Chinese economic data, second-quarter growth figures from Indonesia…
Marketmind: Dodging the US curve ball
By Jamie McGeever (Reuters) – A look at the day ahead in Asian markets from Jamie McGeever, financial markets columnist. Investors in Asia may well have one aim in mind Friday –…
Explainer-After surprise tweak, what now for BOJ’s yield curve control?
By Leika Kihara TOKYO (Reuters) – The Bank of Japan (BOJ) has tweaked its bond yield control policy and will allow interest rates to rise more freely, action that market participants have…
Explainer-How does Japan’s yield curve control work?
By Leika Kihara TOKYO (Reuters) – One of Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda’s main challenges will be to phase out yield curve control (YCC), which has come under criticism for distorting…
Fed’s Waller: inverted yield curve may signal belief in falling inflation
(Reuters) – Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller on Wednesday said that while inverted yield curves in the context of stable inflation often point to a bad economic outlook, the current yield curve…
Column-Funds take record short position across U.S. Treasuries curve: McGeever
By Jamie McGeever ORLANDO, Florida (Reuters) – There’s a large swathe of the investment community convinced that 2023 will be a solid year for U.S. Treasuries as falling inflation and likely recession…
Funds bet heavily on U.S. curve steepeners: McGeever
By Jamie McGeever ORLANDO, Fla. (Reuters) -A key part of the U.S. yield curve is the most inverted in decades and for hedge funds, enough is enough. Commodity Futures Trading Commission positioning…
BOJ tweaks operational functions of yield curve control
TOKYO (Reuters) – The Bank of Japan said on Tuesday it will widen the band at which it will allow the 10-year government yield to move around its 0% yield target, as…
Canada’s deep yield curve inversion adds to BoC rate hike dilemma
By Fergal Smith TORONTO (Reuters) – As the Bank of Canada considers ditching oversized interest rate hikes, it is dealing with an economy likely more overheated than previously thought but also the…
BOJ’s Kuroda: Making yield curve control more flexible a future option
TOKYO (Reuters) – Bank of Japan Governor Haruhiko Kuroda said on Wednesday making the bank’s yield curve control policy more flexible could be an option in the future, but not now. “If…
Fed may be alert to favoured yield curve alarm :Mike Dolan
By Mike Dolan LONDON (Reuters) -If the U.S. Federal Reserve tends to tighten hard until something breaks, as some investors still believe despite the central bank’s denials, then it may have heard…
India OIS curve may steepen on overcooked rate hike bets – BofA
MUMBAI (Reuters) – A part of India’s overnight indexed swaps curve, a gauge for future policy rates, may steepen as investors are pricing in a more hawkish-than-expected central bank stance, BofA Securities…
Column-Hedge funds strike it right on dollar, yield curve: McGeever
By Jamie McGeever ORLANDO, Fla. – Hedge funds slashed their long dollar positions and bet harder on a flatter yield curve, two macro trades that have come up trumps. The dollar last…
Column – Deep U.S. curve inversion hastens the recession it predicts: McGeever
By Jamie McGeever ORLANDO, Fla. – An inverted U.S. Treasury yield curve almost always heralds recession, but the yawning gap between high short-term funding costs and falling long-term borrowing rates may accelerate…
CARTER: The Debt Curve From Hell
CARTER: The Debt Curve From Hell James Carter on August 8, 2022 The Congressional Budget Office’s (CBO) newly issued long-term budget outlook ought to be required reading for members of Congress. Why?…
Column-Fed may face yield curve, recession ‘mea culpa’: McGeever
By Jamie McGeever ORLANDO, Fla. – U.S. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen this week issued a ‘mea culpa’ on getting it wrong on inflation. If the economy tips into recession in the next…
Marketmind: How far behind the curve exactly?
A look at the day ahead in markets from Julien Ponthus. On Friday, St. Louis Fed President James Bullard argued that the U.S. Federal Reserve is “not as far behind the curve…
U.S. recession not imminent despite yield curve inversion, BlackRock executive says
NEW YORK – A U.S. recession is not imminent despite the inversion of a part of the U.S. Treasury yield curve which has been “artificially pressured” by some investors, BlackRock Inc, the…
Column-Cold comfort in re-steepening U.S. yield curve: Mike Dolan
By Mike Dolan LONDON – Pretending it did not happen probably does not help much. Given its track record in preceding the last four recession since 1990, the brief inversion of the…
Analysis-Aggressive Fed balance sheet runoff could jolt flattened yield curve
By Karen Brettell and Davide Barbuscia (Reuters) – Investors are gauging whether comparatively quick balance sheet reduction by the Federal Reserve could perk up the flattening Treasury yield curve, which has been…
Column-Funds get steamrollered on steeper U.S. yield curve bets. Again: McGeever
By Jamie McGeever ORLANDO, Fla. – It will probably come good one day, but hedge funds’ latest attempt to position for a steeper U.S. yield curve has once again backfired badly. Futures…
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