Poll Shows Tight Race Between Harris and Trump in Michigan Following Biden’s Decision

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July 26, 2024

DETROIT, MI — A new poll by WDIV/Detroit News reveals a dead heat in Michigan between Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump for the upcoming presidential election. The survey, conducted from Monday to Wednesday following President Joe Biden’s announcement not to seek re-election, shows Harris and Trump each securing 41% of voter support.

Harris, while not yet officially nominated by the Democratic Party, is widely viewed as the presumptive candidate with strong backing from key party members.

The poll outlines the current standing of candidates among Michigan voters. Kamala Harris leads with 41.6%, followed closely by Donald Trump with 41.3%. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. captures 9.7% of the vote, while Chase Oliver and Jill Stein garner 0.7% and 0.5% respectively. Other candidates receive 0.3%, and 5.9% of voters remain undecided. Among Independent voters, Kennedy holds a slight lead, although nearly 18% of this group remains undecided.

The survey reveals significant demographic divides. Among men, Trump leads with 50.3% support, while Harris has 35.3%. Among women, Harris leads with 47.4%, compared to Trump’s 33.0%. Harris is favored by 82.1% of African American voters, with Kennedy receiving 11.5%. Trump did not register any support from this group in the survey.

The poll also gauged voter reactions to Biden’s decision to step aside. A substantial 88.3% of respondents agree with Biden’s choice, while 6.5% disagree. Regarding the impact on voting motivation, 25.6% of voters report increased motivation, 0.7% feel less motivated, and 73.2% report no change in their motivation. The decision has notably increased motivation among specific voter groups, including strong Democratic supporters, voters aged 18-29, and African American voters. In these groups, 46.4% of voters aged 18-29, 38.5% of African American voters, and 36.6% of strong Democratic voters feel more motivated to vote.

As the 2024 election approaches, the Michigan race remains highly competitive, reflecting national trends and voter dynamics.

Phil Stilton

Phil Stilton is the Editor and Publisher of Shore News Network, an independent digital newsroom providing original reporting on New Jersey, national news, government, public policy, public safety, courts, and community affairs.

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