Harris leads trump by 12 points in latest new jersey poll

Harris leads Trump by 12 points in latest New Jersey poll

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1 min read
October 10, 2024

NEWARK, N.J. – Vice President Kamala Harris holds a 12-point lead over former President Donald Trump in a new presidential poll of New Jersey likely voters, according to results released October 3 by ActiVote.

The poll, conducted among 400 likely voters, showed Harris with significant support across most demographic groups except for rural voters, men, older voters, Republicans, White voters, and those with a high school education or less, where Trump held the advantage. The poll has an expected error margin of 4.9% and was conducted from September 4 to October 2, with a median field date of September 18.

Harris performed strongly among left-leaning voters, securing 96% support from those identified as left or moderate-left. Trump garnered 93% of his core support from right and moderate-right voters. Centrists favored Trump by a small margin of 8%.

The overall lead for Harris is attributed to New Jersey’s larger share of left-leaning voters compared to right-leaning voters.

The survey also highlighted the high level of support Harris received from Black voters in the state. In the sample, which represented 6% of respondents, all Black voters indicated support for Harris, though the pollsters noted the small sample size could contribute to a higher margin of error for this group.

The results reflect a smaller lead for Democrats than in the past two presidential elections. In 2020, Joe Biden defeated Trump in New Jersey by 15.9%, while Hillary Clinton won by 14.1% in 2016.

Phil Stilton

Phil Stilton is the Editor and Publisher of Shore News Network, an independent digital newsroom providing original reporting on New Jersey, national news, government, public policy, public safety, courts, and community affairs.

As founder of the publication, Stilton leads editorial strategy, investigative reporting, and daily newsroom operations while overseeing coverage that reaches millions of readers annually.

With extensive experience covering municipal government, county government, state legislatures, elections, law enforcement, emergency management, and public records, Stilton specializes in translating complex government actions into clear, factual reporting. His work frequently relies on primary source documents, including court filings, legislation, public meeting records, election finance disclosures, government databases, police reports, and Freedom of Information and Open Public Records Act (OPRA) requests. He has reported extensively on local government accountability, taxpayer spending, campaign finance, public corruption investigations, infrastructure, public safety, and the policies affecting New Jersey residents.

Under Stilton's editorial leadership, Shore News Network has grown into one of New Jersey's largest independent digital news organizations, publishing thousands of original news articles each year while providing breaking news coverage, investigative reporting, and analysis across state and local government. The publication's reporting is routinely sourced from official government agencies, public officials, court records, and firsthand documentation, with a commitment to transparency, attribution, corrections when warranted, and clearly distinguishing factual reporting from opinion.

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